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Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 131-123 (OT)
33-40 27-28 26-27 32-23 13-5
Position#26
Record22-44
FormWLLWL
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game118.0
vs
Position#21
Record30-35
FormWWWLW
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves
29 Mar 2027
ATL v MIN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
ATL126
MIN102
23 Dec 2024
ATL117
MIN104
30 Oct 2023
ATL127
MIN113
12 Jul 2023
ATL99
MIN93
13 Mar 2023
ATL115
MIN136
19 Jan 2022
ATL134
MIN122
18 Jan 2021
ATL108
MIN97
25 Nov 2019
ATL113
MIN125
27 Feb 2019
ATL131
MIN123
29 Jan 2018
ATL105
MIN100
21 Dec 2016
ATL84
MIN92
09 Nov 2015
ATL107
MIN117
25 Jan 2015
ATL112
MIN100
01 Feb 2014
ATL120
MIN113
21 Jan 2013
ATL104
MIN96
14 Jan 2012
ATL93
MIN91
14 Nov 2010
ATL111
MIN105
24 Feb 2010
ATL98
MIN92
23 Mar 2009
ATL109
MIN97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
118-112
118
112
+6
A03/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
137-129
137
129
+8
A05/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
H08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
120-129
120
129
-9
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
108-124
108
124
-16
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
117-113
117
113
+4
H13/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H15/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
122-125
122
125
-3
H23/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
120-112
120
112
+8
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
111-119
111
119
-8
A26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-30
25-27
28-31
32-24
35-20
26-37
38-32
38-40
33-22
35-38
17-28
16-31
31-46
37-27
18-33
34-23
25-26
23-37
26-35
34-26
38-32
27-37
35-26
17-18
13-28
38-26
22-28
18-24
34-33
36-35
25-32
27-25
33-33
30-26
23-28
34-25
28-39
32-21
25-35
26-24
233.3Avg total
114.5Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)111.1118.0229.1-7.033%
Season at home (30)112.5117.5230.1-5.040%
Season away (36)109.9118.5228.4-8.628%
Last 10 (10)114.5118.8233.3-4.340%
Last 5 (5)112.2115.0227.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)112.3119.6231.9-7.327%
vs Similar ◀ (8)114.9112.8227.6+2.175%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
H31/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
106-107
106
107
-1
H03/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
106-108
106
108
-2
A06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
112-122
112
122
-10
A08/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
117-122
117
122
-5
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
130-120
130
120
+10
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
121-111
121
111
+10
H14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
115-104
115
104
+11
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
128-140
128
140
-12
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
112-105
112
105
+7
H26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
20-28
27-25
22-24
38-29
26-32
24-28
18-18
19-32
35-34
29-19
23-23
31-32
27-39
27-31
27-20
35-22
27-40
26-28
29-32
29-26
34-29
36-36
31-29
28-29
24-29
35-26
34-27
29-33
37-25
28-25
21-21
32-35
38-34
39-38
19-33
19-30
44-23
30-27
19-25
228.2Avg total
114.6Scored
113.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)111.9112.8224.8-0.946%
Season at home (32)113.2109.3222.5+3.962%
Season away (33)110.7116.3227.0-5.530%
Last 10 (10)114.6113.6228.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)121.2116.0237.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)112.2120.2232.4-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)113.5112.5226.0+1.147%
vs Weaker (4)117.0100.8217.8+16.2100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
Atlanta HawksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A03/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A05/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
48-63
48
63
-15
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H13/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H15/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H23/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A26/02
NBA
123.2Avg total
61.2Scored
62.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.459.7119.1-0.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.360.1120.4+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)58.659.4118.0-0.962%-
Last 10 (10)61.262.0123.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)61.862.0123.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)59.160.5119.6-1.455%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)60.057.6117.6+2.475%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H03/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A08/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H26/02
NBA
119.3Avg total
59.6Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.259.1116.3-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.957.1115.0+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)56.560.9117.4-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)59.659.7119.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)62.858.6121.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)55.362.6117.9-7.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.658.8115.4-2.135%-
vs Weaker (4)63.552.8116.2+10.875%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.924.9
49.9%
51.7%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.515.2
41.6%
35.4%45.6
🏀 Free throws24.919.1
76.7%
76.6%19.1
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.034.5
53.1%
51.7%69.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.4
35.6%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.517.4
77.3%
76.6%17.4
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWLLWLLLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWLLLLW
#26
League position
#21
-4.2
Net rating
+1.0
110.9
Offensive rating
112.4
115.0
Defensive rating
111.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
12.4%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.6%
3-point %
35.6%
59.9%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 112.4Defence115.0 · 111.4Shooting55.2% · 53.2%3-point %41.6% · 35.6%Ball care15.7% · 12.4%Off. rebounds23.7% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/19AHouston Rockets111-119
24/02/19HPhoenix Suns120-112
23/02/19HDetroit Pistons122-125
15/02/19HNew York Knicks91-106
13/02/19HLos Angeles Lakers117-113
11/02/19HOrlando Magic108-124
10/02/19HCharlotte Hornets120-129
08/02/19HToronto Raptors101-119
05/02/19AWashington Wizards137-129
03/02/19APhoenix Suns118-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/19HSacramento Kings112-105
24/02/19AMilwaukee Bucks128-140
23/02/19ANew York Knicks115-104
14/02/19HHouston Rockets121-111
12/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers130-120
09/02/19ANew Orleans Pelicans117-122
08/02/19AOrlando Magic112-122
06/02/19AMemphis Grizzlies106-108
03/02/19HDenver Nuggets106-107
31/01/19HMemphis Grizzlies99-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663036
Win %33%40%28%
Points / game111.1112.5109.9
Allowed / game118.0117.5118.5
Point differential-7.0-5.0-8.6
Avg total229.1230.1228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%10%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)71% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW46%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653233
Win %46%62%30%
Points / game111.9113.2110.7
Allowed / game112.8109.3116.3
Point differential-0.9+3.9-5.5
Avg total224.8222.5227.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%34%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)50% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks64491577%117.5107.3+10.2
2 Toronto Raptors66481873%114.3108.4+5.9
3 Denver Nuggets64451970%112.2106.8+5.4
4 Golden State Warriors65442168%118.3112.1+6.2
5 Indiana Pacers65422365%108.3103.4+4.9
6 Oklahoma City Thunder64412364%115.5110.5+5.0
7 Philadelphia 76ers64412364%115.7112.4+3.4
8 Portland Trail Blazers65402562%113.7110.0+3.7
9 Houston Rockets65392660%113.4110.7+2.6
10 Boston Celtics65382758%111.9107.0+4.9
11 Utah Jazz62362658%110.6106.3+4.3
12 Los Angeles Clippers65372857%114.0113.0+1.0
13 San Antonio Spurs67363154%111.8110.9+0.8
14 Brooklyn Nets66343252%111.5112.2-0.7
15 Sacramento Kings65323349%113.0115.2-2.3
16 Charlotte Hornets66323448%111.3111.5-0.2
17 Los Angeles Lakers66323448%112.2113.5-1.3
18 Detroit Pistons64313348%107.0108.0-1.0
19 Minnesota Timberwolves65303546%111.9112.8-0.9
20 Miami Heat65293645%105.8106.8-1.0
21 Orlando Magic66293744%105.4106.3-1.0
22 Dallas Mavericks63273643%109.0109.7-0.7
23 Washington Wizards64273742%113.8116.5-2.7
24 New Orleans Pelicans67274040%115.4115.7-0.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies67264139%101.4104.8-3.4
26 Atlanta Hawks66224433%111.1118.0-7.0
27 Chicago Bulls66184827%103.6111.3-7.7
28 Cleveland Cavaliers65164925%103.6113.0-9.5
29 New York Knicks66165024%105.9113.5-7.6
30 Phoenix Suns66135320%105.7115.9-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Atlanta Hawks3327263213131
Minnesota Timberwolves402827235123
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