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Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 126-102
33-26 37-23 28-24 28-29
Position#12
Record15-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game120.6
vs
Position#10
Record21-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves
29 Mar 2027
ATL v MIN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
ATL126
MIN102
23 Dec 2024
ATL117
MIN104
30 Oct 2023
ATL127
MIN113
13 Mar 2023
ATL115
MIN136
19 Jan 2022
ATL134
MIN122
18 Jan 2021
ATL108
MIN97
25 Nov 2019
ATL113
MIN125
27 Feb 2019
ATL131
MIN123
29 Jan 2018
ATL105
MIN100
21 Dec 2016
ATL84
MIN92
09 Nov 2015
ATL107
MIN117
25 Jan 2015
ATL112
MIN100
01 Feb 2014
ATL120
MIN113
21 Jan 2013
ATL104
MIN96
14 Jan 2012
ATL93
MIN91
14 Nov 2010
ATL111
MIN105
24 Feb 2010
ATL98
MIN92
23 Mar 2009
ATL109
MIN97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
131-116
131
116
+15
131avg 111
A07/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
115-142
115
142
-27
107avg 111
A13/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
120-117
120
117
+3
118avg 111
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
126-133
126
133
-7
119avg 111
A19/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-126
98
126
-28
86avg 111
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
150-152
150
152
-2
144avg 111
H21/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
123-126
123
126
-3
118avg 111
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
111-126
111
126
-15
106avg 111
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
125-128
125
128
-3
120avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
129-140
129
140
-11
119avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-28
35-27
27-38
34-23
33-34
27-35
19-35
36-38
39-29
20-26
35-36
26-26
32-37
37-43
26-27
31-26
19-32
25-36
28-34
26-24
38-38
35-45
42-33
35-36
36-30
32-25
37-37
18-34
32-32
19-31
33-27
27-36
27-33
28-35
34-30
36-30
38-35
36-35
29-43
26-27
253.4Avg total
122.8Scored
130.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)119.1120.6239.7-1.644%
Season at home (16)116.9122.2239.1-5.231%
Season away (18)120.9119.3240.2+1.756%
Last 10 (10)122.8130.6253.4-7.820%
Last 5 (5)127.6134.4262.0-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)114.7127.1241.9-12.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)117.9118.3236.2-0.457%
vs Weaker (9)126.9118.4245.3+8.467%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
105-108
105
108
-3
101avg 110
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
127-120
127
120
+7
124avg 110
A13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
117-103
117
103
+14
107avg 110
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
110-116
110
116
-6
98avg 110
H18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
112-107
112
107
+5
100avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
103-100
103
100
+3
96avg 110
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
115-104
115
104
+11
102avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
138-142 OT
138
142
-4
128avg 110
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
107-123
107
123
-16
96avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-101
136
101
+35
133avg 110
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
34-32
27-23
21-24
28-27
33-36
27-28
39-29
20-27
31-25
37-32
29-19
27-29
35-32
21-27
27-28
23-33
25-18
35-34
29-22
23-29
25-31
27-15
28-25
31-28
27-24
27-27
30-25
29-32
26-25
23-35
37-23
30-33
33-29
23-36
21-25
21-23
34-27
40-28
41-23
229.4Avg total
117.0Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)119.3114.2233.5+5.064%
Season at home (18)115.4110.1225.6+5.367%
Season away (15)123.9119.2243.1+4.760%
Last 10 (10)117.0112.4229.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)119.8114.0233.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)115.0114.7229.7+0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (9)117.2117.9235.1-0.733%
vs Weaker (15)123.3111.3234.5+12.080%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.9+5.9
Atlanta HawksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A13/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A19/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-68
44
68
-24
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H21/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A30/12
NBA
128.9Avg total
62.3Scored
66.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.059.7119.7+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.359.3117.6-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)61.560.1121.6+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)62.366.6128.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)64.267.8132.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.666.6123.1-10.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)57.856.2114.0+1.643%-
vs Weaker (9)66.159.9126.0+6.278%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H20/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
NBA
112.7Avg total
55.8Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.4114.1+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.156.2115.3+2.847%-
Last 30 away (13)56.056.5112.5-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)55.856.9112.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.856.2112.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.856.2110.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)55.258.8114.0-3.622%-
vs Weaker (15)60.855.0115.8+5.860%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 122.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.529.5
56.2%
54.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.715.3
37.6%
35.8%45.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.9
81.0%
78.1%17.9
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.929.1
56.1%
54.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.512.9
32.7%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws28.120.1
71.5%
78.1%20.1
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLLLLLLWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLWWL
#12
League position
#10
-7.3
Net rating
+4.4
114.8
Offensive rating
112.7
122.0
Defensive rating
108.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
11.0%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.6%
3-point %
32.7%
71.9%
Assist %
64.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 112.7Defence122.0 · 108.2Shooting56.3% · 53.0%3-point %37.6% · 32.7%Ball care13.8% · 11.0%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AOklahoma City Thunder129-140
28/12/25HNew York Knicks125-128
27/12/25HMiami Heat111-126
24/12/25HChicago Bulls123-126
21/12/25HChicago Bulls150-152
20/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs98-126
19/12/25ACharlotte Hornets126-133
14/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers120-117
13/12/25ADetroit Pistons115-142
07/12/25AWashington Wizards131-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AChicago Bulls136-101
28/12/25HBrooklyn Nets107-123
26/12/25ADenver Nuggets138-142 OT
24/12/25HNew York Knicks115-104
22/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks103-100
20/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-107
18/12/25HMemphis Grizzlies110-116
15/12/25HSacramento Kings117-103
13/12/25AGolden State Warriors127-120
09/12/25HPhoenix Suns105-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %44%31%56%
Points / game119.1116.9120.9
Allowed / game120.6122.2119.3
Point differential-1.6-5.2+1.7
Avg total239.7239.1240.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%12%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game119.3115.4123.9
Allowed / game114.2110.1119.2
Point differential+5.0+5.3+4.7
Avg total233.5225.6243.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%39%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3127487%122.0108.4+13.6
2 Detroit Pistons3325876%119.1112.7+6.5
3 New York Knicks3021970%120.6114.3+6.3
4 San Antonio Spurs3021970%119.4113.6+5.8
5 Denver Nuggets32221069%125.7118.5+7.2
6 Houston Rockets30201067%120.5112.0+8.6
7 Los Angeles Lakers30201067%116.8116.8+0.0
8 Minnesota Timberwolves33211264%119.3114.2+5.0
9 Boston Celtics32201262%116.9110.8+6.2
10 Phoenix Suns31191261%116.0112.5+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors33201361%114.5112.6+2.0
12 Miami Heat32181456%121.4117.6+3.8
13 Orlando Magic31171455%116.6114.8+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers31171455%116.4116.3+0.1
15 Golden State Warriors34181653%115.6113.4+2.1
16 Cleveland Cavaliers34181653%119.4117.3+2.1
17 Chicago Bulls32151747%118.3122.4-4.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies33151845%115.9116.5-0.7
19 Atlanta Hawks34151944%119.1120.6-1.6
20 Milwaukee Bucks33141942%113.0115.9-2.9
21 Portland Trail Blazers33141942%116.8120.1-3.3
22 Utah Jazz32122038%120.4127.1-6.7
23 Dallas Mavericks34122235%113.7117.7-4.0
24 Los Angeles Clippers32112134%112.1114.0-1.9
25 Charlotte Hornets33112233%115.8118.9-3.2
26 Brooklyn Nets30102033%109.7113.9-4.2
27 Sacramento Kings3382524%111.0122.3-11.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans3482624%115.5122.8-7.3
29 Washington Wizards3172423%113.2125.0-11.9
30 Indiana Pacers3362718%110.1119.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks33372828126
Minnesota Timberwolves26232429102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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