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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 120-123 (OT)
27-42 32-29 30-18 23-23 8-11
Position#21
Record16-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game111.1
vs
Position#26
Record9-24
FormLWWWL
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game118.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks
10 Mar 2027
MIN v ATL
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIN138
ATL116
27 Jan 2025
MIN100
ATL92
12 Apr 2024
MIN109
ATL106
22 Mar 2023
MIN125
ATL124
06 Dec 2021
MIN110
ATL121
22 Jan 2021
MIN98
ATL116
05 Feb 2020
MIN120
ATL127
28 Dec 2018
MIN120
ATL123
28 Mar 2018
MIN126
ATL114
26 Dec 2016
MIN104
ATL90
25 Nov 2015
MIN99
ATL95
09 Feb 2015
MIN105
ATL117
26 Mar 2014
MIN107
ATL83
08 Jan 2013
MIN108
ATL103
05 Nov 2010
MIN103
ATL113
22 Dec 2009
MIN87
ATL112
04 Feb 2009
MIN86
ATL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
121-104
121
104
+17
124avg 100
H06/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
105-113
105
113
-8
93avg 100
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
108-116
108
116
-8
103avg 100
A11/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
130-141
130
141
-11
123avg 100
A13/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
99-107
99
107
-8
84avg 100
A16/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
132-105
132
105
+27
138avg 100
H18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
123-129 OT
123
129
-6
107avg 100
H20/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
98-124
98
124
-26
84avg 100
A22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
114-112
114
112
+2
107avg 100
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
119-94
119
94
+25
115avg 100
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
31-33
24-22
35-18
27-30
24-23
29-28
25-32
24-30
33-33
20-28
31-25
31-35
19-28
42-33
38-45
30-28
28-28
24-29
17-22
38-23
36-21
29-33
29-28
26-27
36-26
30-25
26-40
21-29
23-33
27-25
27-37
35-25
18-38
33-17
28-32
29-18
31-19
23-28
36-29
229.4Avg total
114.9Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)111.1111.1222.2+0.047%
Season at home (17)113.7107.5221.2+6.271%
Season away (17)108.5114.7223.2-6.224%
Last 10 (10)114.9114.5229.4+0.440%
Last 5 (5)117.2112.8230.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)105.0111.5216.5-6.533%
vs Similar (14)115.1113.0228.1+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)107.898.0205.8+9.875%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
111-128
111
128
-17
97avg 96
H04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
117-131
117
131
-14
107avg 96
H06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
106-98
106
98
+8
104avg 96
H09/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
107-114
107
114
-7
94avg 96
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
108-129
108
129
-21
98avg 96
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
127-144
127
144
-17
127avg 96
A16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
118-110
118
110
+8
115avg 96
H19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
114-107
114
107
+7
112avg 96
A22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
98-95
98
95
+3
90avg 96
A23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
121-129
121
129
-8
119avg 96
H27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-34
30-27
30-36
34-31
25-33
24-39
45-31
23-28
25-35
26-21
35-21
20-21
26-28
26-23
26-30
29-33
19-42
37-25
26-41
26-21
23-42
43-30
30-39
31-33
35-24
23-30
24-28
36-28
28-39
32-30
27-20
27-18
28-21
29-22
22-23
19-29
31-32
36-32
21-31
33-34
231.2Avg total
112.7Scored
118.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)109.0118.2227.2-9.227%
Season at home (15)111.3119.0230.3-7.733%
Season away (18)107.1117.6224.7-10.422%
Last 10 (10)112.7118.5231.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)115.6117.0232.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)107.8118.3226.1-10.625%
vs Similar (6)109.2115.5224.7-6.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H06/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A11/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A13/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A16/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
74-44
74
44
+30
H18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H20/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A27/12
NBA
112.9Avg total
57.1Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.555.3110.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.353.1109.4+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)54.657.5112.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)57.155.8112.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)58.651.8110.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)51.857.4109.2-5.625%-
vs Similar (14)58.655.7114.4+2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)55.247.5102.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
49-72
49
72
-23
H06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H09/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/12
NBA
117.2Avg total
56.3Scored
60.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.258.8114.0-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.160.8115.9-5.740%-
Last 30 away (15)55.356.8112.1-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)56.360.9117.2-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)61.660.4122.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)55.559.1114.6-3.542%-
vs Similar (6)53.857.7111.5-3.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.733.6
51.9%
51.7%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.2
35.1%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws25.520.1
78.8%
76.6%20.1
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.329.4
52.2%
51.7%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.8
36.2%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.818.5
74.6%
76.6%18.5
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLLWLLLLW
Atlanta Hawks
LWWWLLLWLL
#21
League position
#26
+0.4
Net rating
-5.4
110.7
Offensive rating
105.8
110.3
Defensive rating
111.3
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
11.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
36.2%
63.6%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 105.8Defence110.3 · 111.3Shooting52.1% · 53.0%3-point %35.1% · 36.2%Ball care11.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/18AChicago Bulls119-94
24/12/18AOklahoma City Thunder114-112
22/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs98-124
20/12/18HDetroit Pistons123-129 OT
18/12/18HSacramento Kings132-105
16/12/18APhoenix Suns99-107
13/12/18ASacramento Kings130-141
11/12/18AGolden State Warriors108-116
09/12/18APortland Trail Blazers105-113
06/12/18HCharlotte Hornets121-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/18HIndiana Pacers121-129
23/12/18ADetroit Pistons98-95
22/12/18ANew York Knicks114-107
19/12/18HWashington Wizards118-110
16/12/18ABrooklyn Nets127-144
15/12/18ABoston Celtics108-129
13/12/18ADallas Mavericks107-114
09/12/18HDenver Nuggets106-98
06/12/18HWashington Wizards117-131
04/12/18HGolden State Warriors111-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLLWW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %47%71%24%
Points / game111.1113.7108.5
Allowed / game111.1107.5114.7
Point differential+0.0+6.2-6.2
Avg total222.2221.2223.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%41%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL27%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLLWW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %27%33%22%
Points / game109.0111.3107.1
Allowed / game118.2119.0117.6
Point differential-9.2-7.7-10.4
Avg total227.2230.3224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks34241071%116.5107.7+8.8
2 Toronto Raptors37261170%113.4107.7+5.6
3 Indiana Pacers36241267%107.3100.9+6.4
4 Denver Nuggets32211166%109.8104.5+5.3
5 Golden State Warriors36231364%115.4111.5+3.9
6 Philadelphia 76ers36231364%114.5111.6+2.9
7 Oklahoma City Thunder33211264%111.9105.8+6.1
8 Boston Celtics34201459%111.6105.7+6.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers34201459%115.9114.7+1.2
10 Los Angeles Lakers35201557%113.3111.2+2.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers35201557%110.9110.8+0.1
12 Houston Rockets34191556%109.8108.6+1.2
13 San Antonio Spurs35191654%111.3109.3+2.0
14 Sacramento Kings35191654%115.3116.7-1.4
15 Memphis Grizzlies34181653%101.7101.7+0.0
16 Charlotte Hornets34171750%113.0110.8+2.2
17 Dallas Mavericks33161748%111.0110.2+0.8
18 Miami Heat33161748%106.4106.3+0.1
19 Detroit Pistons33161748%107.7109.5-1.8
20 Utah Jazz36171947%106.9105.9+1.0
21 Minnesota Timberwolves34161847%111.1111.1+0.0
22 Brooklyn Nets37172046%110.5111.3-0.8
23 Orlando Magic34151944%103.3107.0-3.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans35152043%116.4115.6+0.8
25 Washington Wizards36132336%112.1117.2-5.1
26 Chicago Bulls36102628%100.7109.7-9.0
27 Atlanta Hawks3392427%109.0118.2-9.2
28 Phoenix Suns3592626%105.1113.6-8.5
29 New York Knicks3692725%107.8115.6-7.7
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3582723%102.3111.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minnesota Timberwolves273230238120
Atlanta Hawks4229182311123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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