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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 106-107
38-29 26-32 24-28 18-18
Position#21
Record25-26
FormWWLLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game111.3
vs
Position#4
Record36-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game106.1
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
115-119
115
119
-4
107avg 101
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
110-106
110
106
+4
100avg 101
H13/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
107-149
107
149
-42
85avg 101
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
103avg 101
H19/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
116-114
116
114
+2
102avg 101
H21/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
118-91
118
91
+27
114avg 101
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
120-105
120
105
+15
109avg 101
A25/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
102-106
102
106
-4
92avg 101
A26/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
111-125
111
125
-14
104avg 101
H28/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
83avg 101
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
24-33
28-24
37-34
27-29
27-23
33-37
23-17
27-40
31-43
32-32
17-34
31-28
27-30
32-30
23-28
29-31
35-36
27-29
25-18
32-27
32-22
29-22
25-20
28-29
30-32
26-21
36-23
24-31
21-21
24-38
33-16
22-25
28-28
35-37
26-35
24-16
20-28
27-25
22-24
223.9Avg total
111.1Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)111.5111.3222.8+0.249%
Season at home (26)113.3108.3221.6+4.965%
Season away (25)109.6114.4224.0-4.832%
Last 10 (10)111.1112.8223.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)110.0104.8214.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)108.0116.2224.2-8.230%
vs Similar (15)116.3110.1226.3+6.260%
vs Weaker (5)114.4105.8220.2+8.660%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
116-113
116
113
+3
108avg 108
H14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
111-142
111
142
-31
101avg 108
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
135-105
135
105
+30
132avg 108
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-102
124
102
+22
126avg 108
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
108-114
108
114
-6
101avg 108
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
132-95
132
95
+37
129avg 108
H26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
126-110
126
110
+16
121avg 108
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
95-92
95
92
+3
81avg 108
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 108
A31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
136-122
136
122
+14
142avg 108
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
24-28
35-28
23-25
38-51
22-28
23-33
28-30
28-30
33-17
42-26
32-32
37-25
33-21
31-30
23-26
24-30
34-35
22-23
28-26
37-32
33-23
28-26
34-14
41-37
36-31
30-28
19-14
16-30
25-30
19-17
35-15
29-26
24-30
33-19
19-24
35-43
48-28
30-24
23-27
228.2Avg total
118.8Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)112.0106.1218.1+5.871%
Season at home (27)116.5104.5221.0+12.085%
Season away (24)106.9108.0214.8-1.154%
Last 10 (10)118.8109.4228.2+9.480%
Last 5 (5)118.8103.6222.4+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)112.3111.5223.8+0.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)114.1105.7219.8+8.479%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H13/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H19/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H21/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A25/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A26/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H28/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/01
NBA
112.5Avg total
54.5Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.657.2112.8-1.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.255.5112.7+1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)54.058.9112.9-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)54.558.0112.5-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)52.251.8104.0+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)51.661.0112.6-9.40%-
vs Similar (15)56.555.1111.5+1.440%-
vs Weaker (5)61.056.0117.0+5.060%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
70-46
70
46
+24
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/02
NBA
123.8Avg total
63.1Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.157.6116.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.157.1120.2+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)55.158.0113.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)63.160.7123.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)64.862.0126.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)60.358.9119.2+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)57.756.1113.8+1.657%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.929.9
48.3%
51.7%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.0
32.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws26.021.3
81.9%
76.6%21.3
They take 92.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.233.4
58.4%
51.7%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
76.6%16.0
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWWLW
#21
League position
#4
-1.6
Net rating
+9.6
107.5
Offensive rating
121.5
109.1
Defensive rating
111.8
48.4%
Effective FG%
57.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
12.4%
Turnover %
10.7%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.5%
3-point %
37.9%
58.1%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 121.5Defence109.1 · 111.8Shooting48.4% · 57.8%3-point %32.5% · 37.9%Ball care12.4% · 10.7%Off. rebounds28.3% · 25.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/19HMemphis Grizzlies99-97 OT
28/01/19HUtah Jazz111-125
26/01/19AUtah Jazz102-106
25/01/19ALos Angeles Lakers120-105
23/01/19APhoenix Suns118-91
21/01/19HPhoenix Suns116-114
19/01/19HSan Antonio Spurs113-116
16/01/19APhiladelphia 76ers107-149
13/01/19HNew Orleans Pelicans110-106
12/01/19HDallas Mavericks115-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19HHouston Rockets136-122
31/01/19ANew Orleans Pelicans105-99
29/01/19AMemphis Grizzlies95-92
27/01/19HPhiladelphia 76ers126-110
26/01/19HPhoenix Suns132-95
24/01/19AUtah Jazz108-114
20/01/19HCleveland Cavaliers124-102
18/01/19HChicago Bulls135-105
16/01/19HGolden State Warriors111-142
14/01/19HPortland Trail Blazers116-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW49%
HomeWLWLW65%
AwayWLWWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %49%65%32%
Points / game111.5113.3109.6
Allowed / game111.3108.3114.4
Point differential+0.2+4.9-4.8
Avg total222.8221.6224.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%35%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)56% (9)33% (6)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512724
Win %71%85%54%
Points / game112.0116.5106.9
Allowed / game106.1104.5108.0
Point differential+5.8+12.0-1.1
Avg total218.1221.0214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%52%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)80% (5)89% (9)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks51381375%117.3107.4+9.8
2 Golden State Warriors52371571%118.7111.6+7.1
3 Denver Nuggets51361571%112.0106.1+5.8
4 Toronto Raptors53371670%113.7108.6+5.1
5 Philadelphia 76ers52341865%115.6111.9+3.7
6 Oklahoma City Thunder51331865%114.5109.3+5.2
7 Boston Celtics52331963%112.4105.5+6.9
8 Indiana Pacers52331963%107.9103.6+4.2
9 Portland Trail Blazers52322062%113.1110.0+3.1
10 San Antonio Spurs54322259%112.6110.1+2.6
11 Houston Rockets51292257%112.5111.4+1.1
12 Utah Jazz53302357%109.0105.8+3.2
13 Los Angeles Clippers53292455%114.2113.5+0.7
14 Brooklyn Nets54282652%111.4111.4+0.0
15 Sacramento Kings51262551%113.4115.0-1.6
16 Los Angeles Lakers53272651%112.1112.1+0.0
17 Charlotte Hornets52262650%111.5111.2+0.3
18 Minnesota Timberwolves51252649%111.5111.3+0.2
19 Miami Heat51242747%104.9105.5-0.6
20 Dallas Mavericks52242846%109.3108.7+0.6
21 New Orleans Pelicans53233043%116.2114.9+1.3
22 Detroit Pistons51222943%105.5108.3-2.8
23 Washington Wizards52223042%112.8115.6-2.9
24 Orlando Magic53223142%104.3107.4-3.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies53203338%100.4103.7-3.3
26 Atlanta Hawks51163531%110.3118.1-7.8
27 Chicago Bulls53124123%101.8111.1-9.3
28 Phoenix Suns53114221%106.1115.7-9.6
29 Cleveland Cavaliers53114221%102.5113.3-10.8
30 New York Knicks51104120%106.1115.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves38262418106
Denver Nuggets29322818107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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