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Southern Illinois vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 70-66
40-32 30-34
Position#211
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#180
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Murray State
12 Jan 2027
SOUT v MURR
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
SOUT81
MURR91
22 Jan 2025
SOUT64
MURR74
21 Feb 2024
SOUT72
MURR68
24 Jan 2023
SOUT68
MURR64
11 Dec 2020
SOUT70
MURR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#196
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A29/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
A03/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#464
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-41
25-25
16-28
22-27
25-43
42-26
40-37
30-16
34-26
18-38
37-45
31-32
31-39
28-45
27-24
32-40
29-31
42-40
56-34
46-27
134.2Avg total
67.0Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.570.0164.5+24.5100%
Season at home (1)102.061.0163.0+41.0100%
Season away (1)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.067.2134.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)75.073.0148.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)59.363.8123.1-4.433%
vs Similar (11)64.465.7130.1-1.455%
vs Weaker (8)71.156.8127.9+14.488%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
173-95
173
95
+78
H29/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H05/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-17
28-46
36-19
23-39
29-29
45-33
36-33
39-28
36-29
37-32
32-33
43-43
87-41
86-54
30-34
31-44
44-31
32-34
41-18
46-39
148.9Avg total
81.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.273.8173.0+25.575%
Season at home (3)112.072.3184.3+39.7100%
Season away (1)61.078.0139.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)81.367.6148.9+13.770%
Last 5 (5)94.474.2168.6+20.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)73.369.2142.5+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.665.9145.5+13.778%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +11.9+11.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.8+1.8
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +11.9+11.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.8+1.8
Southern IllinoisMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#196
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#464
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H06/12
NCAA
68.6Avg total
33.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)32.130.162.2+2.064%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.931.166.9+4.879%-
Last 30 away (14)28.329.157.4-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)33.834.868.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.670.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.129.259.3+0.967%-
vs Similar (11)32.133.065.1-0.945%-
vs Weaker (8)34.227.161.4+7.188%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
87-41
87
41
+46
H29/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H09/12
NCAA
68.7Avg total
40.3Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.029.967.9+8.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.029.671.6+12.482%-
Last 30 away (13)32.830.363.2+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)40.328.468.7+11.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.831.478.2+15.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)32.532.865.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.229.368.5+10.078%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Illinois wins
0
Murray State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/20HQuincy Hawks102-61
03/12/20ASoutheast Missouri State87-79 OT
06/03/20ABradley59-64
29/02/20AMissouri State59-84
27/02/20HIndiana State68-77
23/02/20ANorthern Iowa52-64
21/02/20HEvansville70-53
15/02/20HBradley67-69
13/02/20AValparaiso38-55
09/02/20HMissouri State68-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/20HAustin Peay87-57
05/12/20HIllinois State76-65
03/12/20AMiddle Tenn. St.61-78
29/11/20HGreenville173-95
08/03/20ABelmont75-76
07/03/20HAustin Peay73-61
01/03/20HAustin Peay75-61
28/02/20HEastern Kentucky74-62
22/02/20ASiu Edwardsville59-58
21/02/20AEastern Illinois60-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.5102.087.0
Allowed / game70.061.079.0
Point differential+24.5+41.0+8.0
Avg total164.5163.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%0%100%
Murray State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game99.2112.061.0
Allowed / game73.872.378.0
Point differential+25.5+39.7-17.0
Avg total173.0184.3139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois220100%94.570.0+24.5
2 Drake550100%84.661.6+23.0
3 Indiana State110100%80.066.0+14.0
4 Belmont54180%81.473.2+8.2
5 Murray State43175%99.273.8+25.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)43175%67.862.8+5.0
7 Bradley64267%78.258.7+19.5
8 Illinois State42250%97.887.5+10.2
9 Valparaiso52340%69.462.8+6.6
10 Evansville41325%65.075.2-10.2
11 Northern Iowa51420%77.674.4+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois403070
Murray State323466
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