Avellino Basket vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Avellino Basket host Pesaro in the Serie A2. Pythia makes Avellino Basket the favourite at 67% and projects 83-78, about 161 points in all (over 159.75: 53%). On the market's main spread (Avellino Basket -5.5) Pythia gives Avellino Basket 49% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Avellino Basket are 5-1 this season (81.0 scored, 73.5 allowed a game), form WWWWL; Pesaro are 5-1 this season (83.2 scored, 76.5 allowed a game), form WWWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon

66.7%fair 1.50

Best odds1.42

Implied68.3%

Edge-1.7pp

Pesaro winLost

33.3%fair 3.00

Best odds3.00

Implied31.7%

Edge+1.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino Basket Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasket

Date

Competition

Fortitudo Bologna

64-69

-5

55avg 74

A09/05

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

75-71

62avg 74

H12/05

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

76-67

59avg 74

H14/05

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

61-93

-32

53avg 74

A17/05

Serie A2

Vigevano

#16

87-69

+18

86avg 74

H27/09

Serie A2

Rimini

73-72

23avg 74

A04/10

Serie A2

Forli

94-81

+13

96avg 74

H11/10

Serie A2

Cividale

#13

77-62

+15

82avg 74

A17/10

Serie A2

Montecatini

#19

85-74

+11

105avg 74

H21/10

Serie A2

Brindisi

70-83

-13

55avg 74

A25/10

Serie A2

21-22

22-17

17-18

4-12

12-21

18-24

27-13

18-13

17-23

18-14

25-16

16-14

9-28

19-17

15-26

18-22

29-10

26-16

11-23

21-20

23-23

11-22

21-11

18-16

25-19

24-21

24-23

21-18

31-13

20-16

14-14

12-19

24-11

21-21

19-16

21-26

19-27

18-24

23-17

10-15

150.3Avg total

76.2Scored

74.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	81.0	73.5	154.5	+7.5	83%
Season at home (3)	88.7	74.7	163.3	+14.0	100%
Season away (3)	73.3	72.3	145.7	+1.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	74.1	150.3	+2.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	74.4	154.2	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.3	82.0	155.3	-8.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	77.4	78.2	155.5	-0.8	59%
vs Weaker (10)	85.0	76.7	161.7	+8.3	80%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPesaro

Date

Competition

Rimini

94-79

+15

88avg 77

H11/05

Serie A2

Rimini

75-93

-18

66avg 77

A14/05

Serie A2

Rimini

96-94

90avg 77

A16/05

Serie A2

Rimini

78-91

-13

68avg 77

H19/05

Serie A2

Cento

#17

96-81

+15

92avg 77

A27/09

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#20

87-84

32avg 77

H04/10

Serie A2

Caserta

#14

83-77

87avg 77

H11/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#15

86-76

+10

67avg 77

A18/10

Serie A2

Cividale

#13

76-68

76avg 77

H21/10

Serie A2

Basket Torino

71-73

-2

61avg 77

H25/10

Serie A2

22-16

35-27

15-25

22-11

15-26

28-26

18-27

14-14

21-26

33-19

17-31

25-18

18-20

11-27

22-21

27-23

31-14

25-25

20-19

20-23

24-23

21-18

15-26

27-17

23-24

23-15

16-21

21-17

13-15

27-31

22-17

24-13

22-21

20-18

13-15

21-14

15-20

21-20

18-19

17-14

165.8Avg total

84.2Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	83.2	76.5	159.7	+6.7	83%
Season at home (4)	79.2	75.5	154.8	+3.8	75%
Season away (2)	91.0	78.5	169.5	+12.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	81.6	165.8	+2.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	75.6	156.2	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	82.7	85.8	168.5	-3.1	47%
vs Weaker (13)	84.7	76.8	161.5	+7.9	100%

This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5

Over 154.5

64.7%

@ 1.47+2.5pp

Under 154.5

35.3%

@ 2.42-2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.42

Over/Under 159.75 · main lineActual: Under 159.75

Over 159.75

52.9%

@ 1.80+3.0pp

Under 159.75

47.1%

@ 1.79-3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.79

Over/Under 164.5Actual: Under 164.5

Over 164.5

40.9%

@ 2.37+2.1pp

Under 164.5

59.1%

@ 1.54-2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.37

Under

Marathon Be

1.54

Betano

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Avellino Basket total 78.5Actual: Avellino Basket over 78.5

Over 78.5

66.8%

@ 1.42+3.0pp

Under 78.5

33.2%

@ 2.57-3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.37

Avellino Basket total 82.5 · main lineActual: Avellino Basket under 82.5

Over 82.5

51.6%

@ 1.91+2.0pp

Under 82.5

48.4%

@ 1.84-2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

Under

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

WilliamHill

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Avellino Basket total 86.5Actual: Avellino Basket under 86.5

Over 86.5

36.2%

@ 2.60+0.3pp

Under 86.5

63.8%

@ 1.42-0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.40

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Pesaro total 73.5Actual: Pesaro under 73.5

Over 73.5

66.7%

@ 1.45+4.1pp

Under 73.5

33.3%

@ 2.50-4.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.41

Under

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.28

Pesaro total 77.5 · main lineActual: Pesaro under 77.5

Over 77.5

51.7%

@ 1.88+2.3pp

Under 77.5

48.3%

@ 1.85-2.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Under

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

Bet365

1.80

Pesaro total 81.5Actual: Pesaro under 81.5

Over 81.5

36.6%

@ 2.65+1.6pp

Under 81.5

63.4%

@ 1.40-1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.49

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Avellino Basket -8.5Actual: Avellino Basket -8.5

AVEL -8.5

37.6%

@ 2.30-2.2pp

PES +8.5

62.4%

@ 1.55+2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

AVEL

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.23

PES

Marathon Be

1.55

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.47

Spread Avellino Basket -5.5 · main lineActual: Avellino Basket -5.5

AVEL -5.5

48.7%

@ 1.91-1.6pp

PES +5.5

51.3%

@ 1.92+1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

AVEL

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

PES

Pinnacle

1.92

SBO

1.86

1xBet

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Spread Avellino Basket -2.5Actual: Avellino Basket -2.5

AVEL -2.5

59.7%

@ 1.60+0.5pp

PES +2.5

40.3%

@ 2.32-0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

AVEL

Pinnacle

1.60

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.53

1xBet

1.45

PES

Pinnacle

2.32

1xBet

2.26

Betano

2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Avellino BasketPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	17.9	40.9	+5.2	67%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	23.3	42.7	-4.0	20%	73%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.6	43.0	+5.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	25.7	47.3	-4.0	0%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	29%	59%
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	17.9	41.2	+5.4	80%	60%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.7	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.1	41.1	+3.0	69%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-1.9	29%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	41%	41%
vs Weaker (13)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	62%	54%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.3	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.3	37.7	-2.8	27%	27%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	33%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	35%	35%
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	40%	70%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	67%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.6	69%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	24.8	21.6	46.4	+3.2	64%	79%
Last 10 (10)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.8	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.2	20.8	42.9	+1.4	65%	59%
vs Weaker (13)	23.2	20.8	44.1	+2.4	69%	62%

Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fortitudo Bologna

43-39

A09/05

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

30-45

-15

H12/05

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

35-37

-2

H14/05

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

28-45

-17

A17/05

Serie A2

Vigevano

#16

55-26

+29

H27/09

Serie A2

Rimini

34-45

-11

A04/10

Serie A2

Forli

49-40

H11/10

Serie A2

Cividale

#13

51-29

+22

A17/10

Serie A2

Montecatini

#19

45-32

+13

H21/10

Serie A2

Brindisi

37-51

-14

A25/10

Serie A2

79.6Avg total

40.7Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.25
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	38.3	82.1	+5.5	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	43.6	80.4	-6.8	27%	47%
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.9	79.6	+1.8	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.4	82.6	+3.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	45.7	84.0	-7.3	0%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.1	42.1	80.2	-4.1	35%	41%
vs Weaker (10)	44.7	37.6	82.3	+7.1	70%	60%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rimini

57-43

+14

H11/05

Serie A2

Rimini

43-52

-9

A14/05

Serie A2

Rimini

54-45

A16/05

Serie A2

Rimini

29-47

-18

H19/05

Serie A2

Cento

#17

56-39

+17

A27/09

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#20

45-41

H04/10

Serie A2

Caserta

#14

46-39

H11/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#15

40-46

-6

A18/10

Serie A2

Cividale

#13

42-39

H21/10

Serie A2

Basket Torino

36-40

-4

H25/10

Serie A2

87.9Avg total

44.8Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.25
Last 30 (30)	43.1	40.6	83.7	+2.5	60%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	39.2	82.0	+3.6	69%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	42.1	85.6	+1.3	50%	64%
Last 10 (10)	44.8	43.1	87.9	+1.7	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.0	82.8	+0.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	41.8	41.6	83.4	+0.1	41%	53%
vs Weaker (13)	44.8	39.2	84.0	+5.7	85%	69%

This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Avellino Basket win

AVEL win

no forecast

@ 1.52

PES win

no forecast

@ 2.68

1st half Spread Avellino Basket -3 · main lineActual: Avellino Basket -3

AVEL -3

no forecast

@ 1.93

PES +3

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half Over/Under 80.25 · main lineActual: Over 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.81

Avellino Basket 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Avellino Basket over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Pesaro 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Pesaro under 38.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half: AVEL + total 80.5

AVEL & over

no forecast

@ 3.05

AVEL & under

no forecast

@ 3.05

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PES + total 80.5

PES & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

PES & under

no forecast

@ 4.75

1st half Over/Under 79Actual: Over 79

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.10

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Avellino Basket -2Actual: Avellino Basket -2

AVEL -2

no forecast

@ 1.75

PES +2

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Spread Avellino Basket -4.5Actual: Avellino Basket -4.5

AVEL -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

PES +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Over 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.60

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Spread Avellino Basket -5.5Actual: Avellino Basket -5.5

AVEL -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.35

PES +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

1st half Spread Avellino Basket -6.5Actual: Avellino Basket -6.5

AVEL -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.35

PES +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.42

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Avellino Basket (regulation)

AVEL

no forecast

@ 1.57

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.00

PES

no forecast

@ 2.50

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.7	50%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	67%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	33%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	33%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.4	41%	35%
vs Weaker (10)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	70%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-1.9	33%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.8	31%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.9	44.9	-1.0	36%	79%
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.1	39.7	-4.5	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	29%	88%
vs Weaker (13)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	38%	46%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.1	57%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.7	73%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.5	40%	27%
Last 10 (10)	15.9	17.5	33.4	-1.6	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	16.3	32.0	-0.7	33%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.9	17.3	37.2	+2.6	71%	35%
vs Weaker (10)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	40%	30%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.4	40.0	+1.1	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	69%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.1	36%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.4	38.2	+5.4	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.4	47%	65%
vs Weaker (13)	20.2	17.2	37.5	+3.0	62%	38%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	38.1	36.3	74.4	+1.8	57%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	35.1	74.5	+4.2	73%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	37.5	74.3	-0.6	40%	27%
Last 10 (10)	35.5	35.2	70.7	+0.3	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	36.6	35.0	71.6	+1.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.0	36.3	71.3	-1.3	67%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.2	35.2	73.4	+3.0	59%	24%
vs Weaker (10)	38.9	38.2	77.1	+0.7	50%	30%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.3	81.8	-0.8	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.2	62%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	43.9	85.6	-2.1	36%	79%
Last 10 (10)	39.4	38.5	77.9	+0.9	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	38.8	34.6	73.4	+4.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.9	44.1	85.1	-3.2	53%	82%
vs Weaker (13)	39.8	37.6	77.5	+2.2	46%	46%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

AVEL win + total 159.5

🔒 Pro

PES win + total 159.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: AVEL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PES leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (AVEL:PES): AVEL wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Pesaro over 71.5	73.5%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Pesaro over 72.5	70.2%	1.35	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Overtime: no	95.1%	1.04	WilliamHill 1.04	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	+4.2pp	-
Avellino Basket over 76.5	73.6%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Avellino Basket over 77.5	70.3%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Pesaro +12.5	75.0%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Pesaro +11.5	72.2%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Avellino Basket +2.5	72.8%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Avellino Basket +3.5	75.4%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Avellino Basket under 88.5	70.8%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 70.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game

47%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	26.3	14.1	53.6%	51.5%	28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.7	33.6%	34.5%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	16.1	12.8	79.5%	70.9%	12.8

They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game

47%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.1	52.2%	51.5%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.5	8.7	42.4%	34.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	19.5	15.4	79.0%	70.9%	15.4

They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	24.1	13.2	54.8%	51.5%	26.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.4	36.2%	34.5%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	17.9	11.9	66.5%	70.9%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	19.5	56.2%	51.5%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	7.6	32.8%	34.5%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	18.5	14.5	78.4%	70.9%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	17.7	52.6%	51.5%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.1	34.0%	34.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.9	78.0%	70.9%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	18.2	53.5%	51.5%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	9.4	40.5%	34.5%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.3	76.8%	70.9%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.8	15.8	51.4%	51.5%	31.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.7	35.1%	34.5%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.9%	70.9%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	20.3	54.4%	51.5%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.9	33.5%	34.5%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.2	75.2%	70.9%	13.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Avellino Basket

LWWWWWLWWL

Pesaro

LWWWWWLWLW

League position

+0.8

Net rating

+1.9

98.5

Offensive rating

106.7

97.6

Defensive rating

104.8

51.9%

Effective FG%

56.4%

54.5%

Opp. effective FG%

53.4%

12.4%

Turnover %

10.9%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.35

33.6%

3-point %

42.4%

66.8%

Assist %

52.6%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Avellino Basket ■ Pesaro

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino Basket wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
21/01/26	Avellino Basket v Pesaro	93-73
12/11/25	Pesaro v Avellino Basket	93-72
29/01/25	Avellino Basket v Pesaro	82-80
06/10/24	Pesaro v Avellino Basket	82-77

Avellino Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/26	A	Brindisi	70-83
21/10/26	H	Montecatini	85-74
17/10/26	A	Cividale	77-62
11/10/26	H	Forli	94-81
04/10/26	A	Rimini	73-72
27/09/26	H	Vigevano	87-69
17/05/26	A	Fortitudo Bologna	61-93
14/05/26	H	Fortitudo Bologna	76-67
12/05/26	H	Fortitudo Bologna	75-71
09/05/26	A	Fortitudo Bologna	64-69

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/26	H	Basket Torino	71-73
21/10/26	H	Cividale	76-68
18/10/26	A	Ruvo Di Puglia	86-76
11/10/26	H	Caserta	83-77
04/10/26	H	JuVi Cremona	87-84
27/09/26	A	Cento	96-81
19/05/26	H	Rimini	78-91
16/05/26	A	Rimini	96-94
14/05/26	A	Rimini	75-93
11/05/26	H	Rimini	94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket

Serie A2 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	83%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	81.0	88.7	73.3
Allowed / game	73.5	74.7	72.3
Point differential	+7.5	+14.0	+1.0
Avg total	154.5	163.3	145.7
Over 159.75	17%	33%	0%
Win by 10+	67%	100%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pesaro

Serie A2 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	83%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	83%	75%	100%
Points / game	83.2	79.2	91.0
Allowed / game	76.5	75.5	78.5
Point differential	+6.7	+3.8	+12.5
Avg total	159.7	154.8	169.5
Over 159.75	67%	50%	100%
Win by 10+	33%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	100%	81.7	67.0	+14.7
2	Avellino Basket	6	5	1	83%	81.0	73.5	+7.5
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	83%	83.2	76.5	+6.7
4	Basket Torino	5	4	1	80%	75.0	73.4	+1.6
5	Rimini	7	5	2	71%	82.6	71.0	+11.6
6	Fortitudo Bologna	6	4	2	67%	81.3	77.3	+4.0
7	Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	67%	75.3	76.5	-1.2
8	Brindisi	7	4	3	57%	76.6	73.3	+3.3
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	50%	78.2	69.8	+8.3
10	Forli	6	3	3	50%	83.3	79.5	+3.8
11	Sassari	6	3	3	50%	72.8	76.0	-3.2
12	Mestre	7	3	4	43%	73.0	76.3	-3.3
13	Cividale	7	3	4	43%	70.7	74.4	-3.7
14	Caserta	5	2	3	40%	80.8	81.2	-0.4
15	Ruvo Di Puglia	6	2	4	33%	79.2	84.3	-5.2
16	Vigevano	6	2	4	33%	77.2	85.3	-8.2
17	Cento	7	2	5	29%	73.6	83.6	-10.0
18	Montecatini	6	1	5	17%	72.0	84.2	-12.2
19	Urania Milano	7	1	6	14%	75.7	81.7	-6.0
20	JuVi Cremona	6	0	6	0%	74.8	81.5	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino Basket	21	27	16	15	79
Pesaro	19	18	13	20	70

← all games of the day

Avellino Basket vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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