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Avellino Basket vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-73
22-11 25-27 24-20 22-15
Position#6
Record12-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#3
Record16-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.0
ItalySerie A2Round 23· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2025-26
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Pesaro
01 Nov 2026
AVEL79
PES70
21 Jan 2026
AVEL93
PES73
29 Jan 2025
AVEL82
PES80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 74
H22/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
78-65
78
65
+13
78avg 74
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
85-62
85
62
+23
no box
H03/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
90-101
90
101
-11
80avg 74
A07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
84avg 74
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 74
A20/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
58avg 74
H28/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 74
A04/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
92avg 74
H11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
A18/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
22-17
10-17
34-20
24-14
14-12
19-17
21-22
24-20
29-11
12-18
20-13
18-29
26-28
21-24
25-20
23-11
18-23
22-21
27-24
21-12
25-21
18-19
18-23
10-18
21-14
20-25
21-23
21-28
15-17
22-24
19-13
23-19
25-19
28-24
9-23
17-25
10-26
20-14
20-15
162.3Avg total
82.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.678.3158.9+2.355%
Season at home (11)82.376.8159.1+5.564%
Season away (11)78.979.7158.6-0.845%
Last 10 (10)82.779.6162.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)79.482.2161.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.884.4165.2-3.620%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.079.7160.7+1.356%
vs Weaker (7)82.378.1160.4+4.157%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
59avg 78
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 78
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 78
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
64-68
64
68
-4
52avg 78
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 78
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
82avg 78
H21/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
75avg 78
A28/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
67avg 78
H04/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 78
A11/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
H18/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
12-18
20-19
17-19
24-24
23-20
24-17
20-27
17-29
26-22
19-22
19-17
16-16
15-15
15-16
18-21
15-15
18-21
23-18
24-12
18-13
25-19
25-19
23-22
20-19
16-20
20-13
23-36
31-22
14-23
14-17
14-6
27-15
26-25
22-27
20-23
25-14
19-8
15-26
20-20
157.9Avg total
80.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.277.0159.3+5.273%
Season at home (12)79.774.2153.9+5.475%
Season away (10)85.380.4165.7+4.970%
Last 10 (10)80.177.8157.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)83.477.4160.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.279.9160.1+0.247%
vs Weaker (10)87.476.7164.1+10.7100%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
Avellino BasketPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H22/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H03/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A20/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H28/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A04/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A18/01
Serie A2
79.5Avg total
40.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.680.8-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.979.7+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.381.9-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.879.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.883.6-2.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.640.781.2-0.156%-
vs Weaker (7)38.938.977.7+0.057%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A11/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H18/01
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
40.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.3+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.977.7+3.847%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.383.0+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.178.7+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.235.679.8+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.539.278.7+0.337%-
vs Weaker (10)43.839.182.9+4.760%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.8
52.0%
50.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.9
31.5%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.016.1
80.5%
74.4%16.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.7
55.7%
50.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.715.4
74.4%
74.4%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LWLLWWLWWW
Pesaro
WWWLWWLLWL
#6
League position
#3
-0.8
Net rating
+4.8
108.9
Offensive rating
110.4
109.7
Defensive rating
105.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.5%
3-point %
35.5%
54.4%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 110.4Defence109.7 · 105.6Shooting50.2% · 54.6%3-point %31.5% · 35.5%Ball care12.9% · 14.0%Off. rebounds27.5% · 23.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino Basket wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Pesaro v Avellino Basket93-72
29/01/25Avellino Basket v Pesaro82-80
06/10/24Pesaro v Avellino Basket82-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ABasket Torino67-80
11/01/26HPistoia99-94 OT
04/01/26ALibertas Livorno77-82
28/12/25HScafati72-80
20/12/25ACividale82-75
14/12/25HForli90-79
07/12/25ACento90-101
03/12/25HFortitudo Bologna85-62
26/11/25APistoia78-65
22/11/25HRimini87-78
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo79-68
11/01/26ARuvo Di Puglia95-90
04/01/26HUrania Milano73-68
28/12/25AVerona79-88
21/12/25HSebastiani Rieti91-73
14/12/25HCento80-66
07/12/25ABrindisi64-68
30/11/25HBasket Torino81-90
26/11/25AForli91-88
23/11/25HCividale68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%64%45%
Points / game80.682.378.9
Allowed / game78.376.879.7
Point differential+2.3+5.5-0.8
Avg total158.9159.1158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWLLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %73%75%70%
Points / game82.279.785.3
Allowed / game77.074.280.4
Point differential+5.2+5.4+4.9
Avg total159.3153.9165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%42%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2216673%82.277.0+5.2
2 Rimini2215768%81.775.3+6.4
3 Brindisi2215768%77.071.4+5.6
4 Verona2215768%77.473.0+4.4
5 Scafati2214864%83.077.5+5.6
6 Libertas Livorno2214864%78.673.3+5.3
7 Cividale2214864%77.576.1+1.4
8 Fortitudo Bologna2213959%75.872.4+3.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti2213959%79.877.1+2.7
10 Avellino Basket22121055%80.678.3+2.3
11 Basket Torino22121055%74.372.6+1.7
12 Blu Basket Bergamo22101245%80.181.5-1.4
13 Cento2291341%78.580.8-2.2
14 JuVi Cremona2291341%74.478.4-4.0
15 Mestre2291341%76.781.0-4.2
16 Forli2271532%76.580.6-4.1
17 Urania Milano2271532%76.883.0-6.2
18 Pistoia2261627%78.083.0-5.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2261627%75.686.5-10.8
20 Roseto2241818%78.884.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2225242293
Pesaro1127201573
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