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Avellino vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 67-80
13-25 17-9 16-29 21-17
Position#4
Record18-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game77.6
Avellino
Italy
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record13-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.4
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Avellino v Sassari
23 Dec 2018
AVE86
SAS78
29 Apr 2018
AVE67
SAS80
18 Mar 2017
AVE77
SAS65
17 Feb 2017
AVE68
SAS69
09 Nov 2015
AVE88
SAS90
15 Mar 2015
AVE70
SAS83
08 Mar 2014
AVE68
SAS75
10 Mar 2013
AVE86
SAS78
06 Nov 2011
AVE96
SAS79
23 Apr 2011
AVE92
SAS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Juventus
#41
L
77-77
77
77
+0
no box
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
106avg 117
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
104avg 117
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
131avg 117
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
103-81
103
81
+22
141avg 117
H15/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
no box
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
24-15
22-24
17-17
19-15
18-19
17-23
21-25
19-15
31-8
15-23
20-22
17-14
17-16
19-25
21-33
26-15
27-24
24-16
18-17
15-15
22-16
28-21
10-20
31-25
28-23
25-13
19-20
18-15
30-18
12-22
22-17
16-20
25-13
15-15
12-20
25-25
15-23
15-15
14-14
157.4Avg total
81.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.377.6161.9+6.767%
Season at home (13)86.071.9157.9+14.185%
Season away (14)82.882.9165.6-0.150%
Last 10 (10)81.276.2157.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)81.275.0156.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.780.5162.1+1.240%
vs Weaker (14)83.371.0154.3+12.371%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
93-116
93
116
-23
113avg 116
A04/03
Lega A
Le Portel
#1
W
72-55
72
55
+17
no box
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
H11/03
Lega A
Le Portel
#1
L
81-100 OT
81
100
-19
no box
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
103-89
103
89
+14
130avg 116
A18/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
110avg 116
H25/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
no box
A31/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
103avg 116
H08/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
106avg 116
A15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
174avg 116
H22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
22-28
19-31
29-25
6-18
21-14
19-15
26-8
23-21
27-19
19-30
33-16
20-22
18-25
14-27
19-14
32-24
24-18
21-20
26-27
22-27
17-25
23-16
25-23
21-23
17-25
22-18
27-21
26-26
17-18
20-20
13-16
19-28
13-12
29-16
19-13
23-22
20-21
19-26
22-23
175.9Avg total
87.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.783.4169.1+2.248%
Season at home (14)86.479.7166.1+6.664%
Season away (13)84.987.5172.4-2.531%
Last 10 (10)87.688.3175.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)85.087.4172.4-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.289.5164.8-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.681.3164.9+2.350%
vs Weaker (12)89.583.0172.5+6.567%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +5.3+5.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +5.3+5.3
AvellinoSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#41
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H15/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
79.2Avg total
43.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.877.3+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.334.477.8+8.981%-
Last 30 away (14)39.337.476.7+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.735.579.2+8.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.683.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.336.976.3+2.467%-
vs Weaker (14)43.834.978.7+8.971%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A04/03
Lega A
Le Portel
#1
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H11/03
Lega A
Le Portel
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A18/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H25/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A31/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H08/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/04
Lega A
85.9Avg total
41.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.081.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.039.480.4+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.342.481.7-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.885.9-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.484.4-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.845.279.0-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.040.679.6-1.643%-
vs Weaker (12)43.540.083.5+3.567%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.0
55.8%
51.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.910.3
45.0%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.610.2
65.4%
73.0%10.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.7
54.5%
51.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.8
40.7%
34.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws15.712.6
80.3%
73.0%12.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWWWWWLWLL
Sassari
LWLLLWLWWL
#4
League position
#6
+11.5
Net rating
+3.0
118.1
Offensive rating
115.5
106.6
Defensive rating
112.5
60.1%
Effective FG%
57.5%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
45.0%
3-point %
40.7%
68.4%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 115.5Defence106.6 · 112.5Shooting60.1% · 57.5%3-point %45.0% · 40.7%Ball care19.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds33.3% · 28.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Avellino wins
6
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
02/01/18Sassari v Avellino88-95 OT
18/03/17Avellino v Sassari77-65
17/02/17Avellino v Sassari68-69
20/11/16Sassari v Avellino70-75
28/02/16Sassari v Avellino94-95
09/11/15Avellino v Sassari88-90
15/03/15Avellino v Sassari70-83
24/11/14Sassari v Avellino81-75
08/03/14Avellino v Sassari68-75
24/11/13Sassari v Avellino78-75
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/18HVenezia69-77
22/04/18ACapo d'Orlando77-73 OT
18/04/18ABakken Bears82-72
15/04/18HPesaro103-81
11/04/18HBakken Bears75-72
08/04/18HCremona95-72
01/04/18AVenezia74-88
28/03/18HJuventus85-68
25/03/18HOlimpia Milano75-82
21/03/18AJuventus77-77
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/18HVenezia84-92
15/04/18APistoia80-69
08/04/18HBrescia76-80
31/03/18ABrindisi98-105 OT
25/03/18HVarese87-91
18/03/18ACapo d'Orlando103-89
14/03/18ALe Portel81-100 OT
11/03/18HCremona102-86
07/03/18HLe Portel72-55
04/03/18AOlimpia Milano93-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%85%50%
Points / game84.386.082.8
Allowed / game77.671.982.9
Point differential+6.7+14.1-0.1
Avg total161.9157.9165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%62%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %22%15%29%
Sassari
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%64%31%
Points / game85.786.484.9
Allowed / game83.479.787.5
Point differential+2.2+6.6-2.5
Avg total169.1166.1172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %15%7%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%81.774.3+7.4
2 Venezia2721678%82.078.4+3.6
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino2718967%84.377.6+6.7
5 Trento27161159%80.476.2+4.2
6 Varese27141352%78.375.4+2.9
7 Virtus Bologna27141352%78.476.2+2.2
8 Cantu27141352%87.488.1-0.7
9 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
10 Sassari27131448%85.783.4+2.2
11 Reggiana27121544%76.677.7-1.1
12 Torino27121544%79.982.3-2.4
13 Pistoia2791833%75.681.1-5.4
14 Brindisi2781930%77.582.3-4.8
15 Pesaro2762122%76.984.9-7.9
16 Capo d'Orlando2762122%70.483.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1317162167
Sassari259291780
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