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Avellino vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-74
19-19 17-18 18-20 24-17
Position#4
Record19-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#5
Record18-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.8
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Avellino v Trento
03 Nov 2018
AVE110
TRE72
15 May 2018
AVE80
TRE59
13 May 2018
AVE77
TRE79
09 May 2018
AVE78
TRE74
08 Jan 2017
AVE79
TRE69
20 Feb 2016
AVE71
TRE69
01 Nov 2015
AVE79
TRE66
30 Nov 2014
AVE84
TRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
103-81
103
81
+22
H15/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A06/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
17-16
19-25
21-33
26-15
27-24
24-16
18-17
15-15
22-16
28-21
10-20
31-25
28-23
25-13
19-20
18-15
30-18
12-22
22-17
16-20
25-13
15-15
12-20
25-25
15-23
15-15
14-14
13-25
17-9
16-29
21-17
13-15
19-26
29-22
18-18
18-15
15-13
13-13
24-23
155.1Avg total
79.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.277.2160.4+6.066%
Season at home (14)84.672.5157.1+12.179%
Season away (15)81.981.6163.5+0.353%
Last 10 (10)79.176.0155.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)72.475.0147.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.877.4155.1+0.438%
vs Weaker (13)82.271.2153.4+11.169%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A17/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A25/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
107-59
107
59
+48
H31/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H08/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A15/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H22/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A29/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H06/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
15-19
23-26
17-12
17-20
24-11
19-21
22-22
20-18
16-20
25-23
19-27
15-17
28-10
17-14
17-21
27-9
20-15
34-15
26-20
21-15
25-15
16-23
23-15
22-22
27-17
27-20
20-30
21-23
21-16
20-14
23-17
10-27
28-15
22-24
32-22
24-15
21-15
19-23
23-28
162.0Avg total
87.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.076.8157.8+4.262%
Season at home (15)82.373.9156.2+8.573%
Season away (14)79.679.9159.4-0.350%
Last 10 (10)87.374.7162.0+12.690%
Last 5 (5)89.079.2168.2+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.386.3159.7-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.180.2164.3+3.967%
vs Weaker (9)86.972.1159.0+14.8100%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
AvellinoTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H15/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/05
Lega A
77.2Avg total
40.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.775.8+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.334.576.8+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.036.874.8+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.577.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.736.474.1+1.256%-
vs Weaker (13)43.235.078.2+8.269%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A25/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H31/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A15/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H06/05
Lega A
75.9Avg total
42.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.578.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.977.9+6.267%-
Last 30 away (15)38.939.178.0-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.933.075.9+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.080.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.739.771.3-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.238.378.6+1.956%-
vs Weaker (9)44.035.079.0+9.078%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.1
56.8%
51.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.5
42.2%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.29.8
64.5%
73.0%9.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.1
51.5%
51.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.0
38.0%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.715.1
63.7%
73.0%15.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLLLWWWWWL
Trento
WWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#5
+8.7
Net rating
+16.4
114.5
Offensive rating
112.2
105.7
Defensive rating
95.8
59.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
42.2%
3-point %
38.0%
67.7%
Assist %
45.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 112.2Defence105.7 · 95.8Shooting59.2% · 53.5%3-point %42.2% · 38.0%Ball care20.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds33.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Avellino   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Avellino wins
2
Trento wins
DateGameScore
13/01/18Trento v Avellino83-94
07/05/17Trento v Avellino77-75
08/01/17Avellino v Trento79-69 OT
20/02/16Avellino v Trento71-69
13/02/16Trento v Avellino68-80
01/11/15Avellino v Trento79-66
22/03/15Trento v Avellino92-85
30/11/14Avellino v Trento84-72
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18AVirtus Bologna70-64
02/05/18AVenezia79-81
29/04/18HSassari67-80
25/04/18HVenezia69-77
22/04/18ACapo d'Orlando77-73 OT
18/04/18ABakken Bears82-72
15/04/18HPesaro103-81
11/04/18HBakken Bears75-72
08/04/18HCremona95-72
01/04/18AVenezia74-88
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18HSassari87-81
29/04/18ATorino92-88
22/04/18HPistoia85-70
15/04/18ACremona96-89
08/04/18HBrindisi85-68
31/03/18HCapo d'Orlando107-59
25/03/18APesaro77-62
17/03/18AOlimpia Milano80-88
10/03/18HVarese82-74
03/03/18AReggiana82-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayLLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%79%53%
Points / game83.284.681.9
Allowed / game77.272.581.6
Point differential+6.0+12.1+0.3
Avg total160.4157.1163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %21%14%27%
Trento
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game81.082.379.6
Allowed / game76.873.979.9
Point differential+4.2+8.5-0.3
Avg total157.8156.2159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2922776%82.074.3+7.7
2 Venezia2922776%82.578.6+3.9
3 Brescia2920969%79.775.6+4.1
4 Avellino29191066%83.277.2+6.0
5 Trento29181162%81.076.8+4.2
6 Varese29161355%78.375.1+3.2
7 Virtus Bologna29151452%77.775.4+2.3
8 Cantu29151452%86.987.2-0.3
9 Sassari29141548%85.383.0+2.3
10 Cremona29141548%84.082.8+1.2
11 Reggiana29121741%76.578.0-1.6
12 Torino29121741%80.783.1-2.4
13 Brindisi2992031%77.081.5-4.5
14 Pistoia2992031%75.181.5-6.4
15 Pesaro2982128%76.984.0-7.1
16 Capo d'Orlando2972224%71.083.6-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1917182478
Trento1918201774
← all games of the day
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