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Trento vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 84-68
21-20 21-17 24-19 18-12
Position#5
Record20-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.0
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#4
Record21-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.9
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Trento v Avellino
03 Mar 2019
TRE97
AVE79
19 May 2018
TRE84
AVE68
17 May 2018
TRE88
AVE80
13 Jan 2018
TRE83
AVE94
07 May 2017
TRE77
AVE75
13 Feb 2016
TRE68
AVE80
22 Mar 2015
TRE92
AVE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
107-59
107
59
+48
H31/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H08/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A15/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H22/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A29/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H06/05
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A13/05
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A15/05
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H17/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-9
20-15
34-15
26-20
21-15
25-15
16-23
23-15
22-22
27-17
27-20
20-30
21-23
21-16
20-14
23-17
10-27
28-15
22-24
32-22
24-15
21-15
19-23
23-28
19-19
18-17
20-18
17-24
18-17
17-21
13-20
31-19
15-24
18-20
10-16
16-20
17-21
20-20
19-17
32-22
162.2Avg total
85.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.377.0157.3+3.361%
Season at home (16)82.774.2156.9+8.475%
Season away (17)78.079.6157.6-1.647%
Last 10 (10)85.277.0162.2+8.280%
Last 5 (5)77.479.2156.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.386.3159.7-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.580.0160.5+0.558%
vs Weaker (8)88.172.1160.2+16.0100%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A06/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H09/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A17/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
30-18
12-22
22-17
16-20
25-13
15-15
12-20
25-25
15-23
15-15
14-14
13-25
17-9
16-29
21-17
13-15
19-26
29-22
18-18
18-15
15-13
13-13
24-23
19-19
17-18
18-20
24-17
17-18
21-17
20-13
19-31
24-15
20-18
16-10
20-16
21-17
20-20
17-19
22-32
150.6Avg total
75.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.776.9159.6+5.864%
Season at home (17)83.572.2155.7+11.476%
Season away (16)81.882.0163.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)75.974.7150.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)77.072.8149.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.677.6154.1-1.033%
vs Weaker (11)86.573.6160.1+12.873%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
TrentoAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H31/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A15/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H06/05
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/05
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A15/05
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/05
Lega A
77.2Avg total
40.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.876.6+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.636.777.4+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.138.875.9-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.377.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.875.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.739.771.3-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.939.177.0-1.142%-
vs Weaker (8)43.434.277.6+9.175%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Lega A
74.2Avg total
38.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.776.2+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.177.6+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)38.136.474.5+1.864%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.974.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.072.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.236.273.4+1.161%-
vs Weaker (11)45.835.381.1+10.582%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.0
52.6%
51.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.7
35.0%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.315.1
64.8%
73.0%15.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.9
58.4%
51.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.2
38.5%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.511.1
71.6%
73.0%11.1
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLWLWWWWWW
Avellino
LWLWWLLLWW
#5
League position
#4
+10.3
Net rating
+5.8
108.7
Offensive rating
109.4
98.4
Defensive rating
103.6
52.6%
Effective FG%
58.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
22.7%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
38.5%
43.6%
Assist %
68.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 109.4Defence98.4 · 103.6Shooting52.6% · 58.2%3-point %35.0% · 38.5%Ball care16.5% · 22.7%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trento wins
7
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
17/05/18Trento v Avellino88-80
15/05/18Avellino v Trento80-59
13/05/18Avellino v Trento77-79
09/05/18Avellino v Trento78-74
13/01/18Trento v Avellino83-94
07/05/17Trento v Avellino77-75
08/01/17Avellino v Trento79-69 OT
20/02/16Avellino v Trento71-69
13/02/16Trento v Avellino68-80
01/11/15Avellino v Trento79-66
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/18HAvellino88-80
15/05/18AAvellino59-80
13/05/18AAvellino79-77
09/05/18AAvellino74-78
06/05/18HSassari87-81
29/04/18ATorino92-88
22/04/18HPistoia85-70
15/04/18ACremona96-89
08/04/18HBrindisi85-68
31/03/18HCapo d'Orlando107-59
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/18ATrento80-88
15/05/18HTrento80-59
13/05/18HTrento77-79
09/05/18HTrento78-74
06/05/18AVirtus Bologna70-64
02/05/18AVenezia79-81
29/04/18HSassari67-80
25/04/18HVenezia69-77
22/04/18ACapo d'Orlando77-73 OT
18/04/18ABakken Bears82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW61%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %61%75%47%
Points / game80.382.778.0
Allowed / game77.074.279.6
Point differential+3.3+8.4-1.6
Avg total157.3156.9157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWLWLW76%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %64%76%50%
Points / game82.783.581.8
Allowed / game76.972.282.0
Point differential+5.8+11.4-0.2
Avg total159.6155.7163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %18%12%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia3326779%84.178.5+5.6
2 Olimpia Milano3325876%82.774.5+8.2
3 Brescia33231070%79.175.2+3.9
4 Avellino33211264%82.776.9+5.8
5 Trento33201361%80.377.0+3.3
6 Sassari30151550%86.282.9+3.3
7 Virtus Bologna30151550%78.476.4+2.0
8 Varese33161748%77.475.3+2.1
9 Cantu33161748%85.887.3-1.5
10 Cremona33151845%84.284.5-0.3
11 Reggiana30131743%77.478.7-1.3
12 Torino30131743%81.183.1-2.1
13 Pistoia30102033%75.681.6-6.1
14 Brindisi3092130%77.282.0-4.8
15 Pesaro3082227%77.084.9-7.9
16 Capo d'Orlando3072323%71.884.8-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2121241884
Avellino2017191268
← all games of the day
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