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Capo d'Orlando vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 73-77 (OT)
20-16 13-25 15-15 20-12 5-9
Position#16
Record6-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game83.6
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
vs
Avellino 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record17-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game77.8
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Avellino
22 Apr 2018
KDO73
AVE77
23 Apr 2017
KDO68
AVE76
27 Dec 2015
KDO55
AVE73
09 Nov 2014
KDO67
AVE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A04/02
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
59-107
59
107
-48
A31/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H08/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A15/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
13-24
12-26
21-19
12-17
18-29
12-20
19-20
24-23
19-14
16-19
11-25
18-35
32-16
21-18
18-23
16-18
29-13
17-24
8-15
24-32
18-24
20-21
27-26
26-17
21-28
14-17
17-26
9-27
15-20
15-34
20-26
21-23
20-22
16-10
16-20
18-13
16-22
21-24
20-15
161.0Avg total
72.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.383.6154.0-13.323%
Season at home (13)71.879.6151.5-7.823%
Season away (13)68.887.6156.5-18.823%
Last 10 (10)72.988.1161.0-15.210%
Last 5 (5)74.889.4164.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)69.285.9155.1-16.717%
vs Similar (1)83.057.0140.0+26.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#20
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
L
77-77
77
77
+0
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
103-81
103
81
+22
H15/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
13-18
20-16
24-24
14-26
19-18
24-21
18-17
14-21
24-15
22-24
17-17
19-15
18-19
17-23
21-25
19-15
31-8
15-23
20-22
17-14
17-16
19-25
21-33
26-15
27-24
24-16
18-17
15-15
22-16
28-21
10-20
31-25
28-23
25-13
19-20
18-15
30-18
12-22
22-17
158.8Avg total
82.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.677.8162.4+6.865%
Season at home (13)86.071.9157.9+14.185%
Season away (13)83.283.6166.8-0.446%
Last 10 (10)82.276.6158.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)85.877.0162.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)83.180.3163.3+2.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.771.4155.1+12.471%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.2-2.2
Capo d'OrlandoAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A04/02
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A31/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H08/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A15/04
Lega A
81.6Avg total
37.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.442.678.0-7.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.441.078.4-3.633%-
Last 30 away (15)33.344.277.5-10.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.743.981.6-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.683.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)35.043.378.3-8.424%-
vs Similar (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H15/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
77.6Avg total
42.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.276.7+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.333.376.6+10.088%-
Last 30 away (14)39.437.476.9+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.077.6+7.690%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.282.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)39.335.775.1+3.673%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.934.978.9+9.071%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.8
47.0%
51.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.5%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.0%
73.0%11.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.0
55.8%
51.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.910.3
45.0%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.610.2
65.4%
73.0%10.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
WLLLLLLLLL
Avellino
WWWWLWLLLW
#16
League position
#4
-22.9
Net rating
+11.5
99.6
Offensive rating
118.1
122.4
Defensive rating
106.6
48.2%
Effective FG%
60.1%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.4%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.5%
3-point %
45.0%
60.8%
Assist %
68.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 118.1Defence122.4 · 106.6Shooting48.2% · 60.1%3-point %33.5% · 45.0%Ball care17.3% · 19.4%Off. rebounds27.1% · 33.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
6
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
27/12/17Avellino v Capo d'Orlando97-69
23/04/17Capo d'Orlando v Avellino68-76
27/12/16Avellino v Capo d'Orlando94-65
24/04/16Avellino v Capo d'Orlando85-69
27/12/15Capo d'Orlando v Avellino55-73
01/03/15Avellino v Capo d'Orlando65-75
09/11/14Capo d'Orlando v Avellino67-81
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/18ABrindisi75-74
08/04/18HVarese73-75
31/03/18ATrento59-107
24/03/18HBrescia78-88
18/03/18HSassari89-103
11/03/18APesaro81-84 OT
04/03/18ATorino89-92
11/02/18HReggiana70-81
06/02/18ALudwigsburg61-86
04/02/18AOlimpia Milano54-91
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/18ABakken Bears82-72
15/04/18HPesaro103-81
11/04/18HBakken Bears75-72
08/04/18HCremona95-72
01/04/18AVenezia74-88
28/03/18HJuventus85-68
25/03/18HOlimpia Milano75-82
21/03/18AJuventus77-77
18/03/18AVarese75-82
14/03/18AMinsk81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %23%23%23%
Points / game70.371.868.8
Allowed / game83.679.687.6
Point differential-13.3-7.8-18.8
Avg total154.0151.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW65%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%85%46%
Points / game84.686.083.2
Allowed / game77.871.983.6
Point differential+6.8+14.1-0.4
Avg total162.4157.9166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %19%15%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2621581%81.673.8+7.8
2 Venezia2721678%82.078.4+3.6
3 Brescia2618869%78.574.0+4.5
4 Avellino2617965%84.677.8+6.8
5 Trento26151158%80.276.4+3.8
6 Virtus Bologna26141254%78.776.4+2.3
7 Cantu27141352%87.488.1-0.7
8 Varese26131350%78.675.6+3.0
9 Sassari27131448%85.783.4+2.2
10 Cremona27131448%84.082.4+1.6
11 Torino26121446%79.882.0-2.2
12 Reggiana26111542%76.177.5-1.5
13 Pistoia2691735%75.880.9-5.1
14 Brindisi2781930%77.582.3-4.8
15 Capo d'Orlando2662023%70.383.6-13.3
16 Pesaro2762122%76.984.9-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Capo d'Orlando20131520573
Avellino16251512977
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