PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-61
21-15 16-18 22-10 26-18
Position#10
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#40
Record2-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 8
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#37
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H08/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A15/11
Champions League
Sassari
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A20/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H04/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-21
27-21
20-23
16-19
20-16
17-18
15-15
22-15
22-26
11-19
17-17
16-18
17-19
20-28
28-21
26-21
16-17
17-13
17-16
24-16
11-25
18-14
22-15
17-27
16-11
21-17
21-21
20-15
20-15
16-19
20-24
21-24
18-19
19-22
27-10
14-21
21-13
14-23
29-23
154.5Avg total
78.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.373.9152.1+4.471%
Season at home (3)73.074.0147.0-1.033%
Season away (4)82.273.8156.0+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.176.4154.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)77.874.8152.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.583.0156.5-9.50%
vs Similar (15)79.477.1156.5+2.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.275.2157.3+7.092%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#42
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A02/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H05/11
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H08/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A11/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A16/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H04/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
27-22
28-19
15-27
17-26
33-18
25-32
20-20
17-20
16-18
16-23
28-18
20-11
11-12
22-22
14-19
15-10
12-17
19-23
13-18
23-19
24-23
20-24
26-21
21-25
14-23
18-7
23-15
26-20
16-22
15-20
22-24
9-15
16-19
25-20
9-19
16-20
20-18
17-31
18-13
155.3Avg total
76.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.477.1149.6-4.729%
Season at home (4)76.078.0154.0-2.050%
Season away (3)67.776.0143.7-8.30%
Last 10 (10)76.179.2155.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)75.679.6155.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.779.7151.5-8.09%
vs Similar (8)82.084.5166.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (11)92.181.6173.7+10.564%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
AvellinoMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#37
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H08/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H13/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/11
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/12
Lega A
75.0Avg total
37.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.376.1+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.236.877.1+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)37.137.975.0-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.675.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.273.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.541.074.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (15)36.736.573.3+0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.137.479.5+4.767%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H05/11
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A11/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A16/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
ABA League
74.5Avg total
36.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.181.5-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.741.983.6-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.040.179.1-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.774.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.877.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.941.275.1-7.318%-
vs Similar (8)38.640.879.4-2.138%-
vs Weaker (11)48.341.289.5+7.191%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.8
53.1%
52.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.4
38.5%
34.3%28.3
🏀 Free throws20.013.4
67.2%
73.8%13.4
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.914.6
73.4%
73.8%14.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWWLWWLLWW
Mega Bemax
LLLWWLWLLL
#10
League position
#40
+7.1
Net rating
-2.8
109.6
Offensive rating
103.5
102.6
Defensive rating
106.3
55.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.5%
3-point %
34.0%
70.9%
Assist %
63.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 103.5Defence102.6 · 106.3Shooting55.0% · 50.9%3-point %38.5% · 34.0%Ball care18.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Avellino   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino wins
0
Mega Bemax wins
DateGameScore
18/10/16Mega Bemax v Avellino70-84
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16HVenezia78-80
29/11/16AJuventus85-75
27/11/16HBrindisi76-73
23/11/16HTenerife75-76
20/11/16ASassari75-70
15/11/16AMornar Bar76-67
13/11/16HReggiana81-86
08/11/16HOostende72-77
06/11/16AVarese79-77 OT
01/11/16ACibona84-83
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16HCibona71-82
30/11/16ATenerife59-73
26/11/16APartizan79-86
22/11/16HOostende76-70
19/11/16HMornar Bar93-87
16/11/16AStrasbourg59-68
11/11/16AIgokea67-64
08/11/16HJuventus77-79
05/11/16HKK Krka Novo mesto95-96
02/11/16AMornar Bar85-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Champions League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%33%100%
Points / game78.373.082.2
Allowed / game73.974.073.8
Point differential+4.4-1.0+8.5
Avg total152.1147.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Bemax
Champions League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game72.476.067.7
Allowed / game77.178.076.0
Point differential-4.7-2.0-8.3
Avg total149.6154.0143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco87188%72.862.8+10.0
2 Banvit87188%80.671.2+9.4
3 Besiktas87188%82.173.0+9.1
4 Neptunas87188%75.566.9+8.6
5 Juventus97278%80.477.0+3.4
6 Le Mans86275%75.065.8+9.2
7 Venezia86275%75.868.1+7.6
8 Lyon-Villeurbanne86275%79.071.8+7.2
9 Tenerife75271%79.765.0+14.7
10 Avellino75271%78.373.9+4.4
11 AEK Athens85362%81.270.0+11.2
12 Nymburk85362%80.471.1+9.2
13 Ludwigsburg85362%81.573.2+8.2
14 Aris85362%75.067.2+7.8
15 Karsiyaka85362%72.469.1+3.2
16 Oldenburg85362%72.469.8+2.6
17 Strasbourg74357%78.072.4+5.6
18 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
19 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
20 Saratov84450%89.086.0+3.0
21 Oostende84450%71.269.6+1.6
22 PAOK84450%71.970.5+1.4
23 Kataja105550%78.377.4+0.9
24 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
25 Ironi Nahariya105550%71.272.1-0.9
26 Zielona Gora84450%71.973.6-1.8
27 Partizan84450%72.474.6-2.2
28 CSM Oradea126650%68.670.9-2.3
29 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
30 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
31 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
32 Usak Sportif104640%75.074.9+0.1
33 Ventspils83538%74.873.2+1.5
34 Sassari83538%77.277.4-0.1
35 Maccabi Rishon83538%70.873.9-3.1
36 Frankfurt83538%64.569.8-5.2
37 Spirou Charleroi83538%75.180.5-5.4
38 HydroTruck Radom83538%69.575.2-5.8
39 Mornar Bar103730%70.480.5-10.1
40 Varese103730%69.679.9-10.3
41 Bakken Bears103730%69.183.4-14.3
42 Mega Bemax72529%72.477.1-4.7
43 Cibona72529%79.185.1-6.0
44 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
45 Helios Domzale81712%58.266.8-8.5
46 Khimik81712%65.976.8-10.9
47 Szolnoki Olaj81712%65.084.1-19.1
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2116222685
Mega Bemax1518101861
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.