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Sassari vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 70-75
16-24 25-11 14-18 15-22
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game76.3
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Sassari v Avellino
14 Apr 2019
SAS105
AVE84
02 Jan 2018
SAS88
AVE95
20 Nov 2016
SAS70
AVE75
28 Feb 2016
SAS94
AVE95
24 Nov 2014
SAS81
AVE75
24 Nov 2013
SAS78
AVE75
11 Nov 2012
SAS102
AVE81
25 Feb 2012
SAS87
AVE73
02 Jan 2011
SAS71
AVE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H15/10
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#39
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H18/10
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A23/10
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#47
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A26/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H30/10
Lega A
Spirou Charleroi
#36
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H02/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A05/11
Lega A
AEK Athens
#7
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A08/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A13/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#3
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H15/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
30-15
20-21
25-15
21-15
11-24
22-17
20-14
25-30
24-21
10-21
10-18
28-22
16-14
13-21
15-16
24-18
21-9
23-20
18-12
18-11
17-21
28-22
32-21
18-16
15-20
15-16
21-16
13-27
13-20
12-13
20-18
20-24
19-18
22-28
16-16
20-18
14-20
22-13
18-24
151.7Avg total
77.0Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.376.3155.6+3.057%
Season at home (3)86.768.0154.7+18.7100%
Season away (4)73.882.5156.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)77.074.7151.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)74.676.4151.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.080.0151.0-9.025%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.285.4163.6-7.225%
vs Weaker (13)86.775.5162.2+11.277%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A18/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A23/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H26/10
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H08/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A15/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
13-18
14-12
34-12
22-19
16-15
19-14
27-22
14-15
13-13
18-10
15-17
18-18
11-22
22-13
21-16
25-21
22-11
21-19
24-28
18-18
19-21
27-21
20-23
16-19
20-16
17-18
15-15
22-15
22-26
11-19
17-17
16-18
17-19
20-28
28-21
26-21
16-17
17-13
17-16
151.3Avg total
78.3Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.376.3156.6+4.071%
Season at home (4)85.578.8164.2+6.875%
Season away (3)73.373.0146.3+0.367%
Last 10 (10)78.373.0151.3+5.380%
Last 5 (5)78.478.0156.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.577.2157.7+3.246%
vs Weaker (15)82.775.5158.2+7.387%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
SassariAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H15/10
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#39
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H18/10
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A23/10
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#47
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A26/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H30/10
Lega A
Spirou Charleroi
#36
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H02/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/11
Lega A
AEK Athens
#7
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A08/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A13/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H15/11
Champions League
77.3Avg total
38.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.579.9+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.039.382.3+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.739.777.5-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.577.3+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.072.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.840.075.8-4.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.241.881.0-2.542%-
vs Weaker (13)43.737.881.5+5.977%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A18/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H26/10
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H08/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H13/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/11
Champions League
73.5Avg total
36.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.277.7+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.637.179.7+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.475.5+0.836%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.773.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.076.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.536.874.3+0.831%-
vs Weaker (15)43.536.980.5+6.673%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.6
51.7%
51.1%35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.1
37.6%
35.7%30.4
🏀 Free throws16.112.6
77.9%
74.0%12.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.8
39.3%
35.7%29.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.7
66.7%
74.0%13.7
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LLLWWWLLWW
Avellino
WLLWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+3.4
Net rating
+8.7
109.5
Offensive rating
111.0
106.1
Defensive rating
102.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.6%
3-point %
39.3%
66.5%
Assist %
72.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 111.0Defence106.1 · 102.4Shooting53.7% · 56.7%3-point %37.6% · 39.3%Ball care18.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.0% · 28.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Sassari   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sassari wins
3
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
28/02/16Sassari v Avellino94-95
09/11/15Avellino v Sassari88-90
15/03/15Avellino v Sassari70-83
24/11/14Sassari v Avellino81-75
08/03/14Avellino v Sassari68-75
24/11/13Sassari v Avellino78-75
10/03/13Avellino v Sassari86-78
11/11/12Sassari v Avellino102-81
25/02/12Sassari v Avellino87-73
06/11/11Avellino v Sassari96-79
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/16HBesiktas74-75
13/11/16AOlimpia Milano77-86
08/11/16AAEK Athens58-78
05/11/16APistoia69-68
02/11/16HSpirou Charleroi95-75
30/10/16HPesaro86-59
26/10/16ASzolnoki Olaj72-73
23/10/16ACantu69-90
18/10/16HZielona Gora74-70
15/10/16HBrescia96-73
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/16AMornar Bar76-67
13/11/16HReggiana81-86
08/11/16HOostende72-77
06/11/16AVarese79-77 OT
01/11/16ACibona84-83
30/10/16HBrescia92-79
26/10/16HStrasbourg72-69
23/10/16APesaro60-55
18/10/16AMega Bemax84-70
15/10/16HPistoia83-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game79.386.773.8
Allowed / game76.368.082.5
Point differential+3.0+18.7-8.8
Avg total155.6154.7156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game80.385.573.3
Allowed / game76.378.873.0
Point differential+4.0+6.8+0.3
Avg total156.6164.2146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano770100%88.678.7+9.9
2 Reggiana76186%84.079.0+5.0
3 Avellino75271%80.376.3+4.0
4 Caserta75271%81.180.6+0.6
5 Capo d'Orlando74357%80.776.4+4.3
6 Sassari74357%79.376.3+3.0
7 Venezia74357%79.177.3+1.9
8 Trento73443%75.674.7+0.9
9 Brindisi73443%80.480.3+0.1
10 Torino73443%82.684.9-2.3
11 Varese83538%77.980.6-2.8
12 Brescia83538%78.182.2-4.1
13 Pistoia72529%73.676.0-2.4
14 Pesaro72529%72.076.3-4.3
15 Cantu72529%75.383.0-7.7
16 Cremona71614%78.083.0-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari1625141570
Avellino2411182275
← all games of the day
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