PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 78-80
14-21 21-13 14-23 29-23
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.3
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Venezia
25 Nov 2018
AVE49
VEN79
25 Apr 2018
AVE69
VEN77
02 Dec 2017
AVE87
VEN77
05 Jun 2017
AVE83
VEN84
01 Jun 2017
AVE73
VEN75
30 May 2017
AVE96
VEN83
08 Mar 2017
AVE68
VEN72
04 Dec 2016
AVE78
VEN80
03 Jan 2016
AVE88
VEN76
12 Oct 2014
AVE71
VEN76
30 Mar 2014
AVE82
VEN78
28 Apr 2013
AVE79
VEN91
15 Jan 2012
AVE84
VEN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
133avg 110
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
no box
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H08/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
H13/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
A15/11
Champions League
Sassari
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
103avg 110
A20/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
107avg 110
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
A29/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-11
21-19
24-28
18-18
19-21
27-21
20-23
16-19
20-16
17-18
15-15
22-15
22-26
11-19
17-17
16-18
17-19
20-28
28-21
26-21
16-17
17-13
17-16
24-16
11-25
18-14
22-15
17-27
16-11
21-17
21-21
20-15
20-15
16-19
20-24
21-24
18-19
19-22
27-10
155.8Avg total
79.5Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.275.2154.4+4.078%
Season at home (5)83.677.6161.2+6.080%
Season away (4)73.872.2146.0+1.575%
Last 10 (10)79.576.3155.8+3.270%
Last 5 (5)77.472.2149.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.583.0156.5-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.576.9156.4+2.650%
vs Weaker (13)82.474.7157.1+7.792%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
81-73
81
73
+8
112avg 107
H30/10
Lega A
Khimik
#43
L
64-65
64
65
-1
no box
A02/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
103avg 107
A06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H09/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
W
74-62
74
62
+12
no box
H13/11
Lega A
Kataja
#31
W
92-68
92
68
+24
no box
A16/11
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
A20/11
Lega A
Saratov
#21
W
106-91
106
91
+15
no box
H23/11
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
98-92 OT
98
92
+6
no box
H27/11
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#27
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A30/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
18-16
19-21
19-18
15-19
14-14
24-16
11-16
14-17
22-24
22-16
20-27
16-18
17-14
23-22
17-7
16-19
12-18
19-12
27-13
26-18
24-9
19-17
23-24
15-24
29-20
21-23
19-17
20-23
22-23
28-24
36-21
14-22
19-12
21-16
16-20
19-19
15-14
16-17
23-19
158.7Avg total
83.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.880.3163.1+2.467%
Season at home (5)79.274.4153.6+4.880%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)83.275.5158.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)92.482.0174.4+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.172.5141.6-3.438%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.171.9149.9+6.279%
vs Weaker (8)83.180.5163.6+2.662%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
AvellinoVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H08/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H13/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/11
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
Champions League
76.0Avg total
38.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.576.5+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.837.177.9+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)37.137.975.0-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.476.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.541.074.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.936.773.6+0.129%-
vs Weaker (13)42.237.579.7+4.869%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H30/10
Lega A
Khimik
#43
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H09/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H13/11
Lega A
Kataja
#31
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A16/11
Champions League
Torino
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/11
Lega A
Saratov
#21
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/11
Champions League
Caserta
#13
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H27/11
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#27
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A30/11
Champions League
73.3Avg total
37.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.472.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.434.570.9+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)35.538.373.8-2.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.173.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.877.4+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.237.172.4-1.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.534.970.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (8)37.438.575.9-1.125%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.6
53.0%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.8
39.4%
35.7%29.2
🏀 Free throws19.613.0
66.2%
74.0%13.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.7
47.3%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.6
38.7%
35.7%28.7
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.9%
74.0%12.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWLWWLLWWW
Venezia
WWWWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#1
+7.9
Net rating
+2.9
109.4
Offensive rating
105.0
101.5
Defensive rating
102.2
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.4%
3-point %
38.7%
70.0%
Assist %
56.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 105.0Defence101.5 · 102.2Shooting55.5% · 51.4%3-point %39.4% · 38.7%Ball care19.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Avellino   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
5
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
04/05/16Venezia v Avellino86-77 OT
03/01/16Avellino v Venezia88-76
25/01/15Venezia v Avellino79-71
12/10/14Avellino v Venezia71-76
30/03/14Avellino v Venezia82-78
15/12/13Venezia v Avellino84-69
28/04/13Avellino v Venezia79-91
06/01/13Venezia v Avellino93-97
06/05/12Venezia v Avellino90-95
15/01/12Avellino v Venezia84-63
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/16AJuventus85-75
27/11/16HBrindisi76-73
23/11/16HTenerife75-76
20/11/16ASassari75-70
15/11/16AMornar Bar76-67
13/11/16HReggiana81-86
08/11/16HOostende72-77
06/11/16AVarese79-77 OT
01/11/16ACibona84-83
30/10/16HBrescia92-79
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/16ACSM Oradea73-69
27/11/16HCaserta98-92 OT
23/11/16HSaratov106-91
20/11/16ATorino93-90 OT
16/11/16AKataja92-68
13/11/16HPistoia74-62
09/11/16HMaccabi Rishon73-61
06/11/16APesaro78-84
02/11/16AKhimik64-65
30/10/16HCremona81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game79.283.673.8
Allowed / game75.277.672.2
Point differential+4.0+6.0+1.5
Avg total154.4161.2146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Venezia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game82.879.287.2
Allowed / game80.374.487.8
Point differential+2.4+4.8-0.5
Avg total163.1153.6175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano990100%88.977.0+11.9
2 Reggiana97278%84.880.7+4.1
3 Avellino97278%79.275.2+4.0
4 Venezia96367%82.880.3+2.4
5 Caserta96367%83.483.1+0.3
6 Capo d'Orlando95456%80.877.4+3.3
7 Sassari94544%78.676.9+1.7
8 Brindisi94544%80.780.0+0.7
9 Trento94544%76.175.6+0.6
10 Torino94544%84.184.9-0.8
11 Brescia94544%79.882.9-3.1
12 Pistoia93633%74.379.3-5.0
13 Varese103730%77.681.3-3.7
14 Cantu103730%77.884.2-6.4
15 Cremona92722%77.982.1-4.2
16 Pesaro92722%73.077.7-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1421142978
Venezia2113232380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.