Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2009

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 65-74

22-19 20-20 15-17 8-18

Position#14

Record11-18

FormLWLWL

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game79.8

Caserta

Avellino 🏆

Position#10

Record12-17

FormWLLLL

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game76.8

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Caserta v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

84-91

-7

A01/03

Lega A

Teramo

79-74

H08/03

Lega A

Ferrara

84-66

+18

H15/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

74-89

-15

A22/03

Lega A

Biella

81-85

-4

H29/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

81-86

-5

A04/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

88-81

H11/04

Lega A

Siena

75-91

-16

A19/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

77-63

+14

H26/04

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

65-74

-9

A07/05

Lega A

22-24

17-18

23-22

22-27

24-16

23-19

20-16

12-23

23-15

17-16

32-20

12-15

18-29

15-20

19-15

22-25

22-19

18-16

19-27

22-23

20-20

27-26

21-19

13-21

30-12

19-18

12-23

27-28

14-17

24-23

22-23

15-28

18-12

17-12

23-23

19-16

17-23

18-8

14-21

16-22

158.8Avg total

78.8Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	74.9	79.8	154.7	-5.0	38%
Season at home (14)	76.4	75.1	151.5	+1.4	64%
Season away (15)	73.4	84.3	157.7	-10.9	13%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	80.0	158.8	-1.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	79.0	156.2	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	74.6	79.9	154.5	-5.2	35%
vs Similar (12)	75.2	79.8	154.9	-4.6	42%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

64-65

-1

H28/02

Lega A

Ferrara

77-94

-17

A08/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-85 OT

-14

A15/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

92-70

+22

H22/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

73-68

H05/04

Lega A

Udine

#16

79-66

+13

A11/04

Lega A

Teramo

85-87

-2

H18/04

Lega A

Siena

68-84

-16

A22/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

67-89

-22

A25/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

84-95 OT

-11

H07/05

Lega A

17-13

15-16

18-16

14-20

21-26

17-17

18-22

21-29

17-20

18-16

18-22

14-9

18-17

26-13

24-20

19-21

13-22

19-11

22-14

20-21

15-25

27-5

17-15

12-28

21-19

27-17

25-23

4-17

21-20

18-30

25-17

17-13

13-26

18-22

19-28

19-23

16-23

24-17

21-17

156.3Avg total

76.0Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	77.0	76.8	153.8	+0.2	41%
Season at home (15)	77.9	74.9	152.9	+3.0	47%
Season away (14)	76.0	78.9	154.9	-2.9	36%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	80.3	156.3	-4.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	84.2	160.8	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.0	86.6	161.6	-11.6	0%
vs Similar (15)	75.9	78.3	154.3	-2.4	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	80.8	72.8	153.5	+8.0	62%

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.2	18.2	35.5	-1.0	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.7	19.2	39.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.7	36.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	19.9	36.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	20.4	34.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	21.4	39.6	-3.3	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.6	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.4	76%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.8	17.2	34.1	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.5	35.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	16.7	34.8	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.6	39.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.9	19.9	36.7	-3.0	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	16.5	16.7	33.3	-0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	62%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

39-42

-3

A01/03

Lega A

Teramo

47-35

+12

H08/03

Lega A

Ferrara

40-31

H15/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

33-49

-16

A22/03

Lega A

Biella

40-35

H29/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

47-46

A04/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

49-30

+19

H11/04

Lega A

Siena

38-40

-2

A19/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

35-24

+11

H26/04

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

35-31

A07/05

Lega A

76.6Avg total

40.3Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	36.7	74.0	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	33.9	72.5	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	39.3	75.3	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	36.3	76.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	34.2	75.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.2	36.8	74.0	+0.4	53%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.5	36.4	73.9	+1.1	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

32-29

H28/02

Lega A

Ferrara

38-43

-5

A08/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-36

-1

A15/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

44-30

+14

H22/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

32-43

-11

H05/04

Lega A

Udine

#16

35-46

-11

A11/04

Lega A

Teramo

33-47

-14

H18/04

Lega A

Siena

25-37

-12

A22/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

30-39

-9

A25/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

35-46

-11

H07/05

Lega A

73.5Avg total

33.9Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	36.8	73.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	35.4	71.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	38.3	74.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	39.6	73.5	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	43.0	74.6	-11.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.0	41.3	76.3	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.5	36.5	72.0	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	38.2	33.6	71.9	+4.6	75%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	18.9	36.6	-1.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.1	40.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	53%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.3	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.7	19.5	38.1	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.1	19.2	39.4	+0.9	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	23.0	41.1	-5.0	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.9	41.4	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	24.1	40.7	-7.5	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.2	23.3	40.5	-6.1	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	22.7	41.8	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.4	19.9	42.2	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.0	42.6	79.6	-5.6	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.2	40.8	78.0	-3.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	44.3	81.0	-7.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	43.7	82.2	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	44.8	81.2	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.9	42.4	79.4	-5.5	24%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.0	42.8	79.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	38.6	79.1	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	41.5	81.1	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.4	78.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	38.2	82.4	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.3	41.6	79.9	-3.3	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.5	39.9	79.4	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.5	39.1	81.6	+3.4	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/09	Avellino v Caserta	85-58

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/09	A	Fortitudo Bologna	65-74
26/04/09	H	NSB Napoli	77-63
19/04/09	A	Siena	75-91
11/04/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-81
04/04/09	A	Virtus Bologna	81-86
29/03/09	H	Biella	81-85
22/03/09	A	Udine	74-89
15/03/09	H	Ferrara	84-66
08/03/09	H	Teramo	79-74
01/03/09	A	Pesaro	84-91

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/09	H	Virtus Roma	84-95 OT
25/04/09	A	Pesaro	67-89
22/04/09	A	Siena	68-84
18/04/09	H	Teramo	85-87
11/04/09	A	Udine	79-66
05/04/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	73-68
22/03/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	92-70
15/03/09	A	Olimpia Milano	71-85 OT
08/03/09	A	Ferrara	77-94
28/02/09	H	Virtus Bologna	64-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	38%
Home	WWLWW	64%
Away	LLLLL	13%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	38%	64%	13%
Points / game	74.9	76.4	73.4
Allowed / game	79.8	75.1	84.3
Point differential	-5.0	+1.4	-10.9
Avg total	154.7	151.5	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	29%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	67% (6)	0% (3)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Avellino

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	41%
Home	LWWLL	47%
Away	LLWLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	41%	47%	36%
Points / game	77.0	77.9	76.0
Allowed / game	76.8	74.9	78.9
Point differential	+0.2	+3.0	-2.9
Avg total	153.8	152.9	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	27%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	23% (13)	29% (7)	17% (6)
Overtime %	10%	7%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	29	28	1	97%	88.8	71.8	+17.0
2	Virtus Roma	29	19	10	66%	85.5	80.5	+5.0
3	Teramo	29	18	11	62%	83.4	81.5	+1.9
4	Olimpia Milano	29	17	12	59%	77.4	74.5	+2.9
5	Treviso	29	17	12	59%	76.9	75.0	+1.9
6	Virtus Bologna	29	17	12	59%	78.1	77.4	+0.7
7	Biella	29	15	14	52%	84.3	82.7	+1.6
8	Cantu	29	14	15	48%	79.1	81.7	-2.6
9	Pesaro	29	13	16	45%	81.9	81.6	+0.3
10	Ferrara	29	13	16	45%	78.6	79.9	-1.3
11	Avellino	29	12	17	41%	77.0	76.8	+0.2
12	Sutor Montegranaro	29	12	17	41%	76.6	81.1	-4.5
13	Caserta	29	11	18	38%	74.9	79.8	-5.0
14	Fortitudo Bologna	29	10	19	34%	75.1	79.7	-4.6
15	NSB Napoli	29	10	19	34%	72.6	77.7	-5.1
16	Udine	29	6	23	21%	78.0	86.4	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	22	20	15	8	65
Avellino	19	20	17	18	74

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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