Pistoia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 77-75

11-22 17-20 28-19 21-14

Position#7

Record11-5

FormLWLWW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game76.1

Pistoia 🏆

Pesaro

Position#12

Record5-11

FormWWLLL

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game79.1

Lega ARound 17

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Pistoia v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#13

93-84 OT

H15/11

Lega A

Cremona

66-82

-16

A23/11

Lega A

Reggiana

77-80

-3

H29/11

Lega A

Torino

#15

88-87 OT

A07/12

Lega A

Varese

67-65

H13/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

72-76

-4

A20/12

Lega A

Venezia

70-68

H23/12

Lega A

Sassari

75-80

-5

A27/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

103-75

103

+28

H03/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

71-67

A17/01

Lega A

25-16

22-23

13-20

19-20

15-26

12-15

15-19

24-22

25-16

20-27

15-21

17-16

19-26

24-20

24-16

15-20

11-15

18-18

12-16

26-16

12-12

22-22

15-17

23-25

25-22

19-21

15-13

11-12

21-25

24-20

20-15

10-20

30-15

21-24

29-18

23-18

17-19

23-13

20-15

11-20

154.6Avg total

78.2Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	78.6	76.1	154.6	+2.5	69%
Season at home (8)	83.2	76.1	159.4	+7.1	88%
Season away (8)	73.9	76.0	149.9	-2.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	76.4	154.6	+1.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	73.2	151.4	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	76.6	81.4	158.0	-4.8	20%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	80.0	78.0	158.0	+2.0	65%
vs Weaker (2)	76.5	86.0	162.5	-9.5	50%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#10

75-70

H15/11

Lega A

Sassari

80-106

106

-26

A23/11

Lega A

Cremona

74-86

-12

H30/11

Lega A

Caserta

#13

69-73

-4

A06/12

Lega A

Venezia

82-75

H13/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

72-69

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

69-66

H23/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

65-90

-25

A27/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

69-76

-7

H04/01

Lega A

Avellino

82-88

-6

H18/01

Lega A

14-22

21-17

16-17

24-14

24-23

24-34

16-24

16-25

18-23

14-22

19-18

23-23

16-15

17-18

17-24

19-16

18-18

16-20

32-12

16-25

23-19

22-11

15-25

12-14

19-18

11-16

16-19

23-13

14-21

13-25

18-24

20-20

22-15

13-19

14-22

26-24

18-17

20-28

18-19

153.6Avg total

73.7Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.2	79.1	152.3	-5.8	31%
Season at home (8)	74.0	74.8	148.8	-0.8	50%
Season away (8)	72.5	83.4	155.9	-10.9	12%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	79.9	153.6	-6.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	77.8	149.2	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	73.5	78.5	152.0	-5.1	37%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	72.7	79.6	152.4	-6.9	27%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PistoiaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.6	41.2	+3.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.7	21.3	38.0	-4.6	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.0	23.6	47.6	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	18.1	38.8	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.1	36.4	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	18.9	35.9	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.3	36.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.3	18.6	35.9	-1.3	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#13

47-39

H15/11

Lega A

Cremona

27-41

-14

A23/11

Lega A

Reggiana

45-43

H29/11

Lega A

Torino

#15

43-46

-3

A07/12

Lega A

Varese

29-33

-4

H13/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

34-34

A20/12

Lega A

Venezia

44-43

H23/12

Lega A

Sassari

45-45

A27/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

51-39

+12

H03/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

40-32

A17/01

Lega A

80.0Avg total

40.5Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.0	79.6	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	39.4	76.8	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	39.5	80.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.6	81.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.0	43.6	86.6	-0.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	38.6	39.2	77.7	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	100%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#10

35-39

-4

H15/11

Lega A

Sassari

48-57

-9

A23/11

Lega A

Cremona

32-45

-13

H30/11

Lega A

Caserta

#13

33-33

A06/12

Lega A

Venezia

34-38

-4

H13/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

45-30

+15

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

30-34

-4

H23/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

27-46

-19

A27/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

42-35

H04/01

Lega A

Avellino

44-41

H18/01

Lega A

76.8Avg total

37.0Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	39.2	75.2	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.9	38.4	74.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	39.9	76.2	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	39.8	76.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.2	74.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	35.6	39.5	75.1	-3.9	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.9	38.5	75.5	-1.6	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.3	36.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	15.6	35.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	17.4	34.0	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	23.5	39.5	-7.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.0	36.8	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.7	36.9	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	23.0	39.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.7	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.8	42.1	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.0	34.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	48%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.3	38.9	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.6	35.0	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.5	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.4	77.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	37.7	78.9	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	39.1	75.6	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	35.9	71.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	34.6	70.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.6	37.8	71.4	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	34.5	45.0	79.5	-10.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	39.8	76.9	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	38.5	75.7	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	41.1	78.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	40.1	76.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	40.6	74.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.9	39.0	76.9	-1.1	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.8	41.1	76.9	-5.3	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pistoia wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
11/10/15	Pesaro v Pistoia	73-74
26/04/15	Pesaro v Pistoia	82-86
29/12/14	Pistoia v Pesaro	84-53
09/03/14	Pesaro v Pistoia	75-74
24/11/13	Pistoia v Pesaro	115-110 OT

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/16	A	Brindisi	71-67
03/01/16	H	Capo d'Orlando	103-75
27/12/15	A	Sassari	75-80
23/12/15	H	Venezia	70-68
20/12/15	A	Virtus Bologna	72-76
13/12/15	H	Varese	67-65
07/12/15	A	Torino	88-87 OT
29/11/15	H	Reggiana	77-80
23/11/15	A	Cremona	66-82
15/11/15	H	Caserta	93-84 OT

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/16	H	Avellino	82-88
04/01/16	H	Torino	69-76
27/12/15	A	Cantu	65-90
23/12/15	H	Olimpia Milano	69-66
20/12/15	A	Capo d'Orlando	72-69
13/12/15	H	Venezia	82-75
06/12/15	A	Caserta	69-73
30/11/15	H	Cremona	74-86
23/11/15	A	Sassari	80-106
15/11/15	H	Brindisi	75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	69%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	LWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	69%	88%	50%
Points / game	78.6	83.2	73.9
Allowed / game	76.1	76.1	76.0
Point differential	+2.5	+7.1	-2.1
Avg total	154.6	159.4	149.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	67% (3)	60% (5)
Overtime %	12%	12%	12%

Pesaro

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	31%
Home	LWWLL	50%
Away	LLLWL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	31%	50%	12%
Points / game	73.2	74.0	72.5
Allowed / game	79.1	74.8	83.4
Point differential	-5.8	-0.8	-10.9
Avg total	152.3	148.8	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	75% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	17	13	4	76%	82.1	69.2	+12.9
2	Reggiana	17	12	5	71%	78.5	72.2	+6.4
3	Cremona	17	12	5	71%	76.1	73.6	+2.5
4	Pistoia	16	11	5	69%	78.6	76.1	+2.5
5	Trento	17	10	7	59%	76.4	73.9	+2.4
6	Venezia	17	9	8	53%	75.5	72.7	+2.8
7	Sassari	17	9	8	53%	81.9	79.8	+2.2
8	Avellino	17	9	8	53%	76.2	76.2	+0.1
9	Cantu	17	8	9	47%	82.1	80.7	+1.4
10	Brindisi	17	7	10	41%	79.2	80.0	-0.8
11	Caserta	17	7	10	41%	71.2	73.9	-2.8
12	Varese	17	7	10	41%	72.2	78.4	-6.2
13	Virtus Bologna	17	6	11	35%	74.5	78.7	-4.2
14	Pesaro	16	5	11	31%	73.2	79.1	-5.8
15	Torino	17	5	12	29%	76.1	81.6	-5.5
16	Capo d'Orlando	17	5	12	29%	65.5	73.4	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pistoia	11	17	28	21	77
Pesaro	22	20	19	14	75

← all games of the day

Pistoia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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