Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 82-83 (OT)

13-20 26-18 17-25 18-11 8-9

Position#11

Record4-12

FormLLWLL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game85.9

Avellino

Varese 🏆

Position#2

Record14-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game78.2

Lega ARound 17

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Avellino v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

81-102

102

-21

A11/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

74-82

-8

H18/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

81-71

+10

H25/11

Lega A

Siena

65-101

101

-36

A03/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

79-94

-15

H09/12

Lega A

Reggiana

64-91

-27

A23/12

Lega A

Caserta

#12

84-86 OT

-2

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

97-93

A06/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

71-78

-7

H13/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

71-95

-24

A20/01

Lega A

17-30

19-23

23-26

22-23

20-16

15-25

19-20

20-21

15-15

19-25

15-11

32-20

20-25

16-16

14-31

15-29

21-24

19-25

28-21

11-24

12-18

14-23

17-26

21-24

21-20

22-14

18-16

16-27

14-23

26-26

28-14

29-30

21-21

22-17

18-19

10-21

14-24

20-23

20-29

17-19

166.0Avg total

76.7Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	77.6	85.9	163.4	-8.3	25%
Season at home (8)	78.8	78.5	157.2	+0.2	38%
Season away (8)	76.4	93.2	169.6	-16.9	12%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	89.3	166.0	-12.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	88.6	166.0	-11.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	74.5	89.0	163.5	-14.5	8%
vs Similar (16)	77.1	82.1	159.2	-5.0	44%
vs Weaker (1)	74.0	82.0	156.0	-8.0	0%

This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

77-60

+17

A11/11

Lega A

Sassari

85-84

H18/11

Lega A

Reggiana

91-78

+13

H25/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

87-91

-4

A02/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

106-88

106

+18

H09/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

83-77

A23/12

Lega A

Cremona

#10

94-84

+10

H30/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

82-69

+13

A06/01

Lega A

Venezia

85-87

-2

H13/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

83-71

+12

H20/01

Lega A

21-13

18-25

20-4

18-18

22-18

23-19

23-18

17-29

24-20

22-21

21-19

24-18

19-25

22-24

20-16

26-26

26-20

24-20

28-19

28-29

24-24

19-16

21-20

19-17

25-16

25-22

22-23

16-13

21-25

28-15

17-16

19-23

23-28

20-15

23-21

21-22

18-17

24-19

20-13

166.2Avg total

87.3Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	86.9	78.2	165.1	+8.6	88%
Season at home (9)	87.3	79.4	166.8	+7.9	89%
Season away (7)	86.3	76.7	163.0	+9.6	86%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	78.9	166.2	+8.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	77.6	163.0	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	68.0	82.3	150.3	-14.3	17%
vs Similar (14)	79.0	74.7	153.7	+4.3	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	89.3	78.2	167.5	+11.1	90%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.6	41.7	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.6	39.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.3	21.9	40.2	-3.6	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.8	39.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.4	41.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.1	36.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	14.2	23.2	37.3	-9.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.5	39.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	21.9	40.4	-3.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.7	50%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

36-53

-17

A11/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

35-41

-6

H18/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

34-40

-6

H25/11

Lega A

Siena

36-41

-5

A03/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

40-49

-9

H09/12

Lega A

Reggiana

26-41

-15

A23/12

Lega A

Caserta

#12

43-34

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

40-49

-9

A06/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

43-38

H13/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

34-47

-13

A20/01

Lega A

80.0Avg total

36.7Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.1	41.7	79.8	-3.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	44.5	82.1	-6.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	43.3	80.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.8	79.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	37.8	43.6	81.4	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.7	40.1	78.7	-1.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	41.0	76.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

39-38

A11/11

Lega A

Sassari

45-37

H18/11

Lega A

Reggiana

46-41

H25/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

41-49

-8

A02/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

50-40

+10

H09/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-40

A23/12

Lega A

Cremona

#10

50-38

+12

H30/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

37-38

-1

A06/01

Lega A

Venezia

42-51

-9

H13/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

39-39

H20/01

Lega A

84.3Avg total

43.2Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.2	78.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	39.6	82.1	+2.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	38.6	74.4	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	41.1	84.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.5	42.8	75.3	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.8	36.9	76.7	+2.9	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.8	40.1	82.9	+2.7	50%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	16.5	36.1	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	25.3	43.1	-7.4	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.9	22.8	40.7	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	17.1	35.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	16.8	39.5	+5.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	20.8	38.2	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	16.4	37.3	+4.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.1	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	22.3	40.9	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	23.8	43.1	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.8	43.1	-4.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.2	42.8	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.8	22.7	41.4	-3.9	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.4	23.3	42.7	-3.9	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	18.7	36.8	-0.5	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.7	43.8	81.5	-6.1	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	38.9	77.0	-0.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.2	49.1	86.3	-11.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	45.1	84.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	45.0	83.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.7	45.4	82.1	-8.8	8%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.7	41.9	80.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.4	77.0	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	38.1	77.3	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	36.7	76.7	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	37.8	81.9	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	36.4	79.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	39.5	75.0	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.2	37.3	75.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.0	36.4	80.4	+7.6	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
06/10/12	Varese v Avellino	91-83
02/05/12	Avellino v Varese	78-77
11/01/12	Varese v Avellino	94-78
30/01/11	Varese v Avellino	83-85
24/10/10	Avellino v Varese	85-69
07/03/10	Avellino v Varese	76-67
08/11/09	Varese v Avellino	74-91

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	71-95
13/01/13	H	Pesaro	71-78
06/01/13	A	Venezia	97-93
30/12/12	H	Caserta	84-86 OT
23/12/12	A	Reggiana	64-91
09/12/12	H	Virtus Roma	79-94
03/12/12	A	Siena	65-101
25/11/12	H	Brindisi	81-71
18/11/12	H	Biella	74-82
11/11/12	A	Sassari	81-102

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/13	H	Brindisi	83-71
13/01/13	H	Venezia	85-87
06/01/13	A	Pesaro	82-69
30/12/12	H	Cremona	94-84
23/12/12	A	Olimpia Milano	83-77
09/12/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	106-88
02/12/12	A	Virtus Roma	87-91
25/11/12	H	Reggiana	91-78
18/11/12	H	Sassari	85-84
11/11/12	A	Biella	77-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	25%
Home	LWLLL	38%
Away	LLLWL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	25%	38%	12%
Points / game	77.6	78.8	76.4
Allowed / game	85.9	78.5	93.2
Point differential	-8.3	+0.2	-16.9
Avg total	163.4	157.2	169.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	88%
Home	WWWLW	89%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	88%	89%	86%
Points / game	86.9	87.3	86.3
Allowed / game	78.2	79.4	76.7
Point differential	+8.6	+7.9	+9.6
Avg total	165.1	166.8	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	44%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	16	14	2	88%	86.9	78.2	+8.6
3	Sassari	16	13	3	81%	87.4	79.0	+8.4
4	Siena	16	12	4	75%	75.7	66.2	+9.4
5	Cantu	16	11	5	69%	79.3	69.8	+9.5
6	Virtus Roma	16	11	5	69%	78.7	75.2	+3.5
7	Olimpia Milano	16	9	7	56%	79.2	78.0	+1.2
8	Reggiana	16	8	8	50%	75.2	72.4	+2.9
9	Brindisi	16	8	8	50%	81.1	79.5	+1.6
10	Venezia	16	8	8	50%	78.0	78.7	-0.7
11	Caserta	16	7	9	44%	71.2	77.7	-6.4
12	Cremona	16	6	10	38%	76.3	79.1	-2.8
13	Virtus Bologna	16	6	10	38%	72.6	75.5	-2.9
14	Sutor Montegranaro	16	5	11	31%	81.1	85.1	-4.0
15	Avellino	16	4	12	25%	77.6	85.9	-8.3
16	Pesaro	16	3	13	19%	70.2	77.4	-7.2
17	Biella	16	3	13	19%	69.1	81.9	-12.8
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Avellino	13	26	17	18	8	82
Varese	20	18	25	11	9	83

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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