Avellino vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 82-78

26-20 11-16 25-19 20-23

Position#12

Record10-14

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game80.0

Avellino 🏆

Venezia

Position#11

Record11-13

FormLLWLW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game79.8

Lega ARound 25

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Avellino v Venezia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Venezia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

73-96

-23

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

82-88

-6

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

75-70

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

80-72

A02/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

83-63

+20

H16/02

Lega A

Cantu

59-77

-18

H23/02

Lega A

Caserta

57-76

-19

A02/03

Lega A

Sassari

68-75

-7

H08/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

75-83

-8

A16/03

Lega A

Siena

67-91

-24

A23/03

Lega A

8-32

25-29

21-22

19-13

19-17

22-24

20-23

21-24

21-17

22-15

16-17

16-21

28-19

22-17

11-24

19-12

25-12

12-16

19-18

27-17

17-19

13-27

21-16

8-15

13-28

8-11

23-13

13-24

20-14

15-25

13-16

20-20

17-17

23-28

16-23

19-15

14-27

10-25

20-16

23-23

151.0Avg total

71.9Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	74.8	80.0	154.7	-5.2	42%
Season at home (11)	78.4	77.2	155.5	+1.2	64%
Season away (13)	71.7	82.3	154.0	-10.6	23%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	79.1	151.0	-7.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	65.2	80.4	145.6	-15.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	70.4	80.1	150.5	-9.8	29%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	79.3	77.4	156.7	+1.9	69%
vs Weaker (3)	87.3	86.7	174.0	+0.7	33%

This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Venezia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

73-60

+13

H19/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

72-73

-1

A26/01

Lega A

Varese

#10

77-93

-16

H02/02

Lega A

Brindisi

70-83

-13

A07/02

Italian Cup

Brindisi

78-88

-10

A16/02

Lega A

Siena

66-71

-5

H23/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-91

-9

A02/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

82-74

H09/03

Lega A

Sassari

95-100

100

-5

A16/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

100-78

100

+22

H23/03

Lega A

17-6

22-19

18-10

16-25

21-19

23-17

14-20

14-17

15-31

34-22

15-16

13-24

20-16

15-28

18-16

17-23

20-22

20-27

19-13

19-26

14-17

19-15

12-18

21-21

28-16

18-28

14-26

22-21

23-21

23-24

19-12

17-17

19-26

34-27

22-27

20-20

27-24

19-12

24-24

30-18

160.6Avg total

79.5Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	80.1	79.8	159.9	+0.3	46%
Season at home (12)	84.5	76.8	161.2	+7.8	67%
Season away (12)	75.8	82.8	158.6	-7.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	81.1	160.6	-1.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	82.8	167.8	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	78.3	84.1	162.4	-5.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	77.2	81.7	158.9	-4.4	42%
vs Weaker (5)	88.0	69.6	157.6	+18.4	80%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVenezia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	19.8	38.4	-1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.0	37.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	21.3	42.7	+0.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.7	38.9	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	23.2	37.0	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.0	41.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.7	39.9	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	22.9	42.4	-3.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.9	44.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	40%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

33-61

-28

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

41-41

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

43-32

+11

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

50-36

+14

A02/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

37-28

H16/02

Lega A

Cantu

30-46

-16

H23/02

Lega A

Caserta

21-39

-18

A02/03

Lega A

Sassari

35-39

-4

H08/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

40-45

-5

A16/03

Lega A

Siena

24-52

-28

A23/03

Lega A

77.3Avg total

35.4Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.5	77.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	38.4	78.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	40.5	76.6	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	41.9	77.3	-6.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	44.2	74.2	-14.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.9	42.4	77.3	-7.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.4	36.1	75.5	+3.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.7	41.0	85.7	+3.7	33%	-

This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

39-25

+14

H19/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

44-36

A26/01

Lega A

Varese

#10

49-53

-4

H02/02

Lega A

Brindisi

35-44

-9

A07/02

Italian Cup

Brindisi

40-49

-9

A16/02

Lega A

Siena

33-32

H23/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

46-44

A02/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

46-45

H09/03

Lega A

Sassari

53-53

A16/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

46-36

+10

H23/03

Lega A

84.8Avg total

43.1Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.8	78.7	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	36.1	77.3	+5.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	42.9	79.9	-5.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.7	84.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	42.0	86.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.5	40.8	80.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.3	40.9	80.2	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.4	33.8	71.2	+3.6	80%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.9	37.7	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.6	36.6	+1.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	16.8	34.9	+1.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	27.0	18.8	45.8	+8.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.3	20.3	36.6	-4.0	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	23.3	44.0	-2.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	22.5	44.6	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.6	17.0	40.6	+6.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	39.3	77.1	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	40.2	77.7	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	37.2	73.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	36.2	71.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.4	37.1	71.5	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.9	41.3	81.2	-1.4	23%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.7	45.7	88.3	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.9	81.2	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	41.4	84.4	+1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	40.4	78.4	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	39.4	75.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.8	81.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.8	43.3	82.2	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.9	40.8	78.7	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.6	35.8	86.4	+14.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Venezia wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/13	Venezia v Avellino	84-69
28/04/13	Avellino v Venezia	79-91
06/01/13	Venezia v Avellino	93-97
06/05/12	Venezia v Avellino	90-95
15/01/12	Avellino v Venezia	84-63

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/14	A	Siena	67-91
16/03/14	A	Cremona	75-83
08/03/14	H	Sassari	68-75
02/03/14	A	Caserta	57-76
23/02/14	H	Cantu	59-77
16/02/14	H	Varese	83-63
02/02/14	A	Virtus Roma	80-72
26/01/14	H	Pistoia	75-70
19/01/14	A	Pesaro	82-88
11/01/14	A	Reggiana	73-96

Venezialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/14	H	Cremona	100-78
16/03/14	A	Sassari	95-100
09/03/14	H	Virtus Bologna	82-74
02/03/14	A	Olimpia Milano	82-91
23/02/14	H	Siena	66-71
16/02/14	A	Brindisi	78-88
07/02/14	A	Brindisi	70-83
02/02/14	H	Varese	77-93
26/01/14	A	Sutor Montegranaro	72-73
19/01/14	H	Caserta	73-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	42%
Home	WWWLL	64%
Away	LWLLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	42%	64%	23%
Points / game	74.8	78.4	71.7
Allowed / game	80.0	77.2	82.3
Point differential	-5.2	+1.2	-10.6
Avg total	154.7	155.5	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Venezia

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	46%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	WLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	67%	25%
Points / game	80.1	84.5	75.8
Allowed / game	79.8	76.8	82.8
Point differential	+0.3	+7.8	-7.1
Avg total	159.9	161.2	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	42%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	24	19	5	79%	80.5	70.3	+10.2
2	Cantu	25	17	8	68%	81.0	76.5	+4.5
3	Siena	24	16	8	67%	75.8	68.5	+7.3
4	Brindisi	24	16	8	67%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
5	Sassari	24	15	9	62%	85.9	79.6	+6.2
6	Virtus Roma	24	15	9	62%	77.7	76.4	+1.2
7	Reggiana	24	12	12	50%	75.7	73.0	+2.7
8	Caserta	24	12	12	50%	72.7	71.8	+0.9
9	Venezia	24	11	13	46%	80.1	79.8	+0.3
10	Pistoia	24	10	14	42%	76.5	79.1	-2.7
11	Avellino	24	10	14	42%	74.8	80.0	-5.2
12	Varese	25	10	15	40%	80.0	82.6	-2.6
13	Virtus Bologna	24	9	15	38%	78.4	80.0	-1.5
14	Cremona	24	8	16	33%	75.7	82.5	-6.9
15	Sutor Montegranaro	24	7	17	29%	77.6	86.4	-8.8
16	Pesaro	24	6	18	25%	79.7	88.5	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	26	11	25	20	82
Venezia	20	16	19	23	78

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Venezia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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