Avellino vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 68-75

20-14 15-25 13-16 20-20

Position#12

Record10-11

FormWWWLL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game79.5

Avellino

Sassari 🏆

Position#4

Record13-8

FormWWWWL

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game79.0

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Avellino v Sassari

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sassari winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

85-83

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

58-94

-36

A29/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

103-92

103

+11

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

73-96

-23

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

82-88

-6

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

75-70

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

80-72

A02/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

83-63

+20

H16/02

Lega A

Cantu

59-77

-18

H23/02

Lega A

Caserta

57-76

-19

A02/03

Lega A

18-22

24-29

24-21

19-11

18-23

19-22

12-19

9-30

24-22

29-18

21-24

29-28

8-32

25-29

21-22

19-13

19-17

22-24

20-23

21-24

21-17

22-15

16-17

16-21

28-19

22-17

11-24

19-12

25-12

12-16

19-18

27-17

17-19

13-27

21-16

8-15

13-28

8-11

23-13

13-24

156.6Avg total

75.5Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	75.4	79.5	155.0	-4.1	48%
Season at home (10)	79.4	77.4	156.8	+2.0	70%
Season away (11)	71.8	81.5	153.3	-9.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	81.1	156.6	-5.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	71.6	142.4	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	70.8	79.7	150.5	-8.8	33%
vs Similar (14)	79.3	77.8	157.1	+1.5	71%
vs Weaker (4)	84.8	83.0	167.8	+1.8	50%

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

69-81

-12

A02/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-80

A07/02

Italian Cup

Reggiana

92-86

H08/02

Italian Cup

Siena

80-73

H09/02

Italian Cup

Ankara Kolejliler

#16

75-104

104

-29

A12/02

Eurocup

Cremona

#14

95-61

+34

H16/02

Lega A

Bamberg

#25

102-84

102

+18

H19/02

Eurocup

Varese

#10

112-91

112

+21

A23/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

102-78

102

+24

H02/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

83-91

-8

H05/03

Eurocup

16-14

15-23

16-19

22-25

11-24

19-14

29-28

23-14

26-19

27-26

21-20

18-21

18-14

27-14

16-25

19-20

16-25

25-23

18-27

16-29

22-16

26-19

22-16

25-10

25-23

28-28

20-20

29-13

31-20

23-24

26-21

32-26

26-20

34-14

24-24

18-20

22-30

18-17

24-22

19-22

172.1Avg total

89.2Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	86.0	79.0	165.0	+7.0	62%
Season at home (10)	87.4	75.3	162.7	+12.1	80%
Season away (11)	84.8	82.4	167.2	+2.5	45%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	82.9	172.1	+6.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	98.8	81.0	179.8	+17.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	83.7	82.2	165.9	+1.5	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	85.7	77.0	162.7	+8.7	69%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoSassari

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	19.8	39.7	+0.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.5	21.3	38.8	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.5	41.9	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	18.5	38.8	+1.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.2	32.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	17.2	41.5	+7.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.1	41.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.7	41.1	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.2	44.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.4	46.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	20.9	21.4	42.4	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.2	62%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

42-51

-9

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-45

-8

A29/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

53-40

+13

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

33-61

-28

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

41-41

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

43-32

+11

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

50-36

+14

A02/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

37-28

H16/02

Lega A

Cantu

30-46

-16

H23/02

Lega A

Caserta

21-39

-18

A02/03

Lega A

80.6Avg total

38.7Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	38.8	77.2	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.1	38.4	78.5	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.2	39.1	76.3	-1.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.9	80.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.2	72.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.8	41.9	77.7	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.9	36.5	75.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	37.5	82.5	+7.5	50%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

31-37

-6

A02/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

30-38

-8

A07/02

Italian Cup

Reggiana

53-45

H08/02

Italian Cup

Siena

45-28

+17

H09/02

Italian Cup

Ankara Kolejliler

#16

41-48

-7

A12/02

Eurocup

Cremona

#14

48-35

+13

H16/02

Lega A

Bamberg

#25

53-51

H19/02

Eurocup

Varese

#10

54-44

+10

A23/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

60-34

+26

H02/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

40-47

-7

H05/03

Eurocup

86.2Avg total

45.5Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.5	83.4	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	39.4	83.1	+4.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	41.7	83.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	40.7	86.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	42.2	93.2	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	42.1	41.8	83.9	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	44.7	39.2	83.9	+5.5	62%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.0	38.3	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.5	58%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.5	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.9	39.4	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.1	39.1	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.7	39.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	20.6	18.6	39.1	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.9	18.5	38.5	+1.4	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	21.8	40.5	-3.2	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.4	20.1	35.5	-4.7	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.6	21.6	42.3	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.1	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.2	42.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.8	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	40.1	77.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	39.5	77.7	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.4	40.6	77.9	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	39.2	76.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	35.4	70.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.8	37.0	70.8	-3.2	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.4	41.3	81.7	-0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	45.5	85.2	-5.8	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	37.3	79.3	+4.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	40.6	81.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	42.2	85.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	38.8	86.6	+9.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	40.8	39.8	80.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Sassari wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/13	Sassari v Avellino	78-75
10/03/13	Avellino v Sassari	86-78
11/11/12	Sassari v Avellino	102-81
25/02/12	Sassari v Avellino	87-73
06/11/11	Avellino v Sassari	96-79
23/04/11	Avellino v Sassari	92-87
02/01/11	Sassari v Avellino	71-80

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/14	A	Caserta	57-76
23/02/14	H	Cantu	59-77
16/02/14	H	Varese	83-63
02/02/14	A	Virtus Roma	80-72
26/01/14	H	Pistoia	75-70
19/01/14	A	Pesaro	82-88
11/01/14	A	Reggiana	73-96
05/01/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	103-92
29/12/13	A	Olimpia Milano	58-94
26/12/13	H	Brindisi	85-83

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/14	H	Alba Berlin	83-91
02/03/14	H	Pesaro	102-78
23/02/14	A	Varese	112-91
19/02/14	H	Bamberg	102-84
16/02/14	H	Cremona	95-61
12/02/14	A	Ankara Kolejliler	75-104
09/02/14	H	Siena	80-73
08/02/14	H	Reggiana	92-86
07/02/14	A	Olimpia Milano	82-80
02/02/14	A	Pistoia	69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	48%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	LLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	48%	70%	27%
Points / game	75.4	79.4	71.8
Allowed / game	79.5	77.4	81.5
Point differential	-4.1	+2.0	-9.6
Avg total	155.0	156.8	153.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sassari

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	62%
Home	LLWWW	80%
Away	WLLLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	62%	80%	45%
Points / game	86.0	87.4	84.8
Allowed / game	79.0	75.3	82.4
Point differential	+7.0	+12.1	+2.5
Avg total	165.0	162.7	167.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	21	16	5	76%	79.9	70.1	+9.8
2	Cantu	21	15	6	71%	82.6	78.2	+4.3
3	Brindisi	21	15	6	71%	78.1	74.0	+4.1
4	Siena	21	14	7	67%	75.4	68.5	+7.0
5	Sassari	21	13	8	62%	86.0	79.0	+7.0
6	Virtus Roma	21	13	8	62%	77.2	75.4	+1.8
7	Reggiana	21	10	11	48%	75.2	72.5	+2.7
8	Caserta	21	10	11	48%	73.9	72.9	+1.0
9	Avellino	21	10	11	48%	75.4	79.5	-4.1
10	Venezia	21	9	12	43%	78.4	79.2	-0.8
11	Pistoia	21	9	12	43%	76.7	79.2	-2.5
12	Virtus Bologna	21	8	13	38%	79.1	80.9	-1.8
13	Varese	21	8	13	38%	80.6	83.5	-2.9
14	Cremona	21	7	14	33%	75.0	82.0	-7.0
15	Sutor Montegranaro	21	6	15	29%	78.2	87.7	-9.5
16	Pesaro	21	5	16	24%	79.7	89.0	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	20	15	13	20	68
Sassari	14	25	16	20	75

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Sassari Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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