Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 72-80

19-28 17-22 24-11 12-19

Position#5

Record11-6

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game73.9

Virtus Roma

Avellino 🏆

Position#12

Record8-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game81.3

Lega ARound 18

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

83-81

H10/12

Eurocup

Siena

70-82

-12

A15/12

Lega A

Bonn

#28

88-96 OT

-8

A18/12

Eurocup

Reggiana

72-67

H22/12

Lega A

Sassari

72-68

H26/12

Lega A

Pistoia

85-76

A29/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

87-92

-5

H05/01

Lega A

Varese

#10

86-78

A12/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

88-70

+18

H18/01

Lega A

Brindisi

62-72

-10

A26/01

Lega A

18-18

19-25

19-18

27-20

19-19

18-18

19-23

14-22

14-21

23-27

29-20

17-15

18-20

16-20

13-13

25-14

22-23

24-20

11-17

15-8

19-18

32-18

19-9

15-31

16-26

25-22

20-24

26-20

20-25

19-16

23-3

24-34

23-18

22-19

23-9

20-24

18-19

10-9

14-20

20-24

157.5Avg total

79.3Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.4	73.9	150.4	+2.5	65%
Season at home (8)	76.0	72.8	148.8	+3.2	62%
Season away (9)	76.8	75.0	151.8	+1.8	67%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	78.2	157.5	+1.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	77.6	159.2	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	73.3	74.6	147.9	-1.3	40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	76.3	79.3	155.6	-3.0	36%
vs Weaker (6)	79.0	71.2	150.2	+7.8	83%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#14

77-72

H01/12

Lega A

Siena

75-85

-10

H08/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

69-84

-15

A15/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

78-74

A22/12

Lega A

Brindisi

85-83

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

58-94

-36

A29/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

103-92

103

+11

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

73-96

-23

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

82-88

-6

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

75-70

H26/01

Lega A

18-15

19-17

18-17

22-23

25-19

21-20

14-12

15-34

20-16

16-26

20-16

13-26

25-18

12-20

22-20

19-16

18-22

24-29

24-21

19-11

18-23

19-22

12-19

9-30

24-22

29-18

21-24

29-28

8-32

25-29

21-22

19-13

19-17

22-24

20-23

21-24

21-17

22-15

16-17

16-21

161.3Avg total

77.5Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.8	81.3	158.1	-4.5	47%
Season at home (8)	81.5	79.2	160.8	+2.2	75%
Season away (9)	72.6	83.1	155.7	-10.6	22%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	83.8	161.3	-6.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	88.0	166.2	-9.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	70.7	76.4	147.1	-5.7	50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	78.9	79.5	158.4	-0.6	67%
vs Weaker (4)	84.8	83.0	167.8	+1.8	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.2	36.3	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	17.8	35.6	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.2	18.3	34.5	-2.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	16.5	37.7	+4.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.1	39.4	-0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.2	19.3	39.6	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.6	38.1	-1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	17.7	39.8	+4.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.9	38.2	-1.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.8	17.9	35.8	-0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	17.2	41.5	+7.0	75%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

37-43

-6

H10/12

Eurocup

Siena

37-37

A15/12

Lega A

Bonn

#28

37-48

-11

A18/12

Eurocup

Reggiana

34-40

-6

H22/12

Lega A

Sassari

46-43

H26/12

Lega A

Pistoia

51-36

+15

A29/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

41-48

-7

H05/01

Lega A

Varese

#10

39-41

-2

A12/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

45-37

H18/01

Lega A

Brindisi

28-28

A26/01

Lega A

79.6Avg total

39.5Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.9	74.8	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.4	37.4	73.8	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	38.3	75.8	-0.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	40.1	79.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	38.0	78.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.0	35.6	70.6	-0.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.4	38.8	75.2	-2.4	21%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	39.5	81.0	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#14

37-32

H01/12

Lega A

Siena

46-39

H08/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

36-42

-6

A15/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

37-38

-1

A22/12

Lega A

Brindisi

42-51

-9

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-45

-8

A29/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

53-40

+13

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

33-61

-28

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

41-41

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

43-32

+11

H26/01

Lega A

82.6Avg total

40.5Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.4	38.7	81.1	+3.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	40.1	77.6	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	42.1	82.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.8	85.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.5	42.1	81.6	-2.5	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.1	37.2	75.3	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	37.5	82.5	+7.5	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.2	36.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	18.1	36.3	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	16.3	36.8	+4.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	13.0	32.8	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	14.0	33.2	+5.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.1	19.4	36.5	-2.3	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.4	36.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	26.6	47.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	21.6	40.2	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	20.2	37.0	-3.3	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.2	22.8	43.1	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	37.3	75.6	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.2	35.5	72.7	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	38.9	78.2	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	36.8	76.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.1	37.6	74.7	-0.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.5	39.6	79.1	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.5	31.7	69.2	+5.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.6	41.5	79.1	-3.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.7	40.7	79.4	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	42.1	78.8	-5.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	41.7	78.7	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	44.2	81.0	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	33.9	39.5	73.5	-5.6	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.8	42.2	83.1	-1.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	45.5	85.2	-5.8	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
27/10/13	Avellino v Virtus Roma	84-82
07/04/13	Virtus Roma v Avellino	75-81 OT
09/12/12	Avellino v Virtus Roma	79-94
07/04/12	Avellino v Virtus Roma	82-88
18/12/11	Virtus Roma v Avellino	96-99 OT
20/02/11	Virtus Roma v Avellino	80-70
07/11/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	72-65
14/02/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	74-56
25/10/09	Virtus Roma v Avellino	74-78
07/05/09	Avellino v Virtus Roma	84-95 OT

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/14	A	Brindisi	62-72
18/01/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-70
12/01/14	A	Varese	86-78
05/01/14	H	Venezia	87-92
29/12/13	A	Pistoia	85-76
26/12/13	H	Sassari	72-68
22/12/13	H	Reggiana	72-67
18/12/13	A	Bonn	88-96 OT
15/12/13	A	Siena	70-82
10/12/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	83-81

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/14	H	Pistoia	75-70
19/01/14	A	Pesaro	82-88
11/01/14	A	Reggiana	73-96
05/01/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	103-92
29/12/13	A	Olimpia Milano	58-94
26/12/13	H	Brindisi	85-83
22/12/13	A	Virtus Bologna	78-74
15/12/13	A	Venezia	69-84
08/12/13	H	Siena	75-85
01/12/13	H	Cremona	77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	65%
Home	WWWLW	62%
Away	WLWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	65%	62%	67%
Points / game	76.4	76.0	76.8
Allowed / game	73.9	72.8	75.0
Point differential	+2.5	+3.2	+1.8
Avg total	150.4	148.8	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	50% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	47%
Home	WLWWW	75%
Away	LWLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	75%	22%
Points / game	76.8	81.5	72.6
Allowed / game	81.3	79.2	83.1
Point differential	-4.5	+2.2	-10.6
Avg total	158.1	160.8	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	17	12	5	71%	79.4	70.7	+8.6
2	Cantu	17	12	5	71%	82.8	79.4	+3.4
3	Brindisi	17	12	5	71%	77.9	75.1	+2.8
4	Siena	17	11	6	65%	76.5	70.3	+6.2
5	Virtus Roma	17	11	6	65%	76.4	73.9	+2.5
6	Sassari	17	10	7	59%	84.1	79.3	+4.8
7	Venezia	18	9	9	50%	78.9	78.5	+0.4
8	Reggiana	17	8	9	47%	75.3	72.1	+3.2
9	Caserta	17	8	9	47%	75.3	74.3	+1.0
10	Avellino	17	8	9	47%	76.8	81.3	-4.5
11	Varese	18	8	10	44%	81.6	81.3	+0.3
12	Virtus Bologna	17	7	10	41%	80.5	81.2	-0.6
13	Pistoia	17	7	10	41%	76.5	80.0	-3.5
14	Cremona	17	6	11	35%	76.9	82.3	-5.4
15	Sutor Montegranaro	17	5	12	29%	79.5	88.4	-8.9
16	Pesaro	17	3	14	18%	79.7	90.1	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	19	17	24	12	72
Avellino	28	22	11	19	80

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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