PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2013
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-82
15-19 23-12 19-17 27-34
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game67.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Avellino v Virtus Roma
13 Dec 2014
AVE74
VRO70
27 Oct 2013
AVE84
VRO82
09 Dec 2012
AVE79
VRO94
07 Apr 2012
AVE82
VRO88
07 Nov 2010
AVE72
VRO65
14 Feb 2010
AVE74
VRO56
07 May 2009
AVE84
VRO95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A24/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A27/03
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H01/04
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#6
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
A07/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H14/04
Lega A
Caserta
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A21/04
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H28/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A05/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H13/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A20/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
21-6
13-17
17-21
19-25
7-28
34-17
18-24
20-26
22-15
21-17
12-12
20-23
15-18
17-8
14-17
21-18
16-24
18-18
14-18
23-17
6-16
23-26
33-16
18-27
21-16
23-21
17-27
27-15
20-15
20-24
28-26
21-25
19-17
25-20
12-18
19-15
29-20
20-16
15-24
158.8Avg total
79.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.077.5157.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
Season away (1)83.075.0158.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.879.0158.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)83.880.2164.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.179.5151.6-7.340%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.282.2164.5+0.058%
vs Weaker (3)76.078.0154.0-2.033%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H06/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H11/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H13/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A15/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A17/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H19/06
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A13/10
Lega A
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#20
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H16/10
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H20/10
Lega A
Belfius Mons
#53
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A22/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
24-16
19-21
28-17
17-20
17-16
22-26
20-23
18-16
6-17
22-18
21-11
24-28
19-15
21-19
17-27
19-20
18-19
22-21
12-21
13-15
20-18
14-27
16-19
27-20
17-25
15-12
19-18
13-23
20-19
18-20
18-13
13-14
12-17
23-13
19-15
18-20
22-24
26-16
22-16
150.0Avg total
74.9Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.567.0139.5+5.5100%
Season at home (1)67.059.0126.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.975.1150.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)73.072.8145.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.090.0168.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)73.274.7147.9-1.550%
vs Weaker (6)83.074.0157.0+9.083%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
AvellinoVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A24/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A27/03
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/04
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/04
Lega A
Caserta
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A21/04
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H28/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A05/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A20/10
Lega A
78.3Avg total
38.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.240.179.3-1.041%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.280.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.078.3-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.478.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.677.2+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.541.980.4-3.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.739.078.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (3)40.336.777.0+3.733%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H13/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A15/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/06
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A13/10
Lega A
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#20
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H16/10
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H20/10
Lega A
Belfius Mons
#53
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A22/10
Eurocup
73.3Avg total
35.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.973.3-0.533%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.235.270.4+0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)38.039.277.2-1.223%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.873.3-2.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)34.935.570.4-0.732%-
vs Weaker (6)42.739.281.8+3.550%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
5
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
07/04/13Virtus Roma v Avellino75-81 OT
09/12/12Avellino v Virtus Roma79-94
07/04/12Avellino v Virtus Roma82-88
18/12/11Virtus Roma v Avellino96-99 OT
20/02/11Virtus Roma v Avellino80-70
07/11/10Avellino v Virtus Roma72-65
14/02/10Avellino v Virtus Roma74-56
25/10/09Virtus Roma v Avellino74-78
07/05/09Avellino v Virtus Roma84-95 OT
11/01/09Virtus Roma v Avellino93-90 OT
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/13APistoia83-75
13/10/13HPesaro77-80
05/05/13APesaro95-80
28/04/13HVenezia79-91
21/04/13ACaserta85-75
14/04/13HReggiana69-78
07/04/13AVirtus Roma81-75 OT
01/04/13HSiena75-70
27/03/13AVirtus Bologna78-94
24/03/13ABrindisi76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/13ABelfius Mons88-76
20/10/13HBrindisi67-59
16/10/13HGravelines-Dunkerque69-75
13/10/13ASutor Montegranaro78-75
19/06/13HSiena63-79
17/06/13ASiena71-81
15/06/13ASiena81-89
13/06/13HSiena67-62
11/06/13HSiena76-85
06/06/13HCantu89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game80.077.083.0
Allowed / game77.580.075.0
Point differential+2.5-3.0+8.0
Avg total157.5157.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game72.567.078.0
Allowed / game67.059.075.0
Point differential+5.5+8.0+3.0
Avg total139.5126.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%92.585.0+7.5
2 Virtus Roma220100%72.567.0+5.5
3 Caserta32167%84.776.7+8.0
4 Brindisi32167%81.073.7+7.3
5 Varese32167%79.773.3+6.3
6 Sassari32167%90.384.7+5.7
7 Cantu32167%83.079.3+3.7
8 Olimpia Milano32167%81.779.0+2.7
9 Siena21150%78.074.5+3.5
10 Avellino21150%80.077.5+2.5
11 Venezia31233%79.778.7+1.0
12 Reggiana31233%67.373.7-6.3
13 Pesaro31233%80.787.7-7.0
14 Sutor Montegranaro31233%74.083.7-9.7
15 Pistoia3030%79.790.0-10.3
16 Cremona3030%79.393.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1523192784
Virtus Roma1912173482
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.