Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Feb 2011

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 80-70

26-18 9-18 12-15 33-19

Position#9

Record8-10

FormLWLLL

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game75.4

Virtus Roma 🏆

Avellino

Position#6

Record10-8

FormWWWWL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game77.8

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2010-11

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

88-73

+15

H06/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

79-87

-8

A09/01

Lega A

Siena

67-73

-6

H16/01

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

63-64

-1

H20/01

Euroleague

Brindisi

#17

84-80

A23/01

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

58-99

-41

A27/01

Euroleague

Pesaro

#10

85-53

+32

H30/01

Lega A

Barcelona

56-80

-24

A03/02

Euroleague

Cantu

74-79

-5

A06/02

Lega A

Barcelona

65-74

-9

H17/02

Euroleague

27-15

15-19

25-24

21-15

26-12

18-25

19-19

16-31

22-17

9-18

20-27

16-11

19-18

16-15

14-14

14-17

16-27

31-20

21-14

16-19

18-30

13-27

13-18

14-24

32-21

10-15

29-3

14-14

17-21

19-24

9-16

11-19

15-24

21-23

18-20

20-12

14-14

13-11

24-21

14-28

148.1Avg total

71.9Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	78.0	75.4	153.4	+2.6	44%
Season at home (9)	80.8	74.1	154.9	+6.7	56%
Season away (9)	75.2	76.8	152.0	-1.6	33%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	76.2	148.1	-4.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	67.6	77.0	144.6	-9.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	63.1	80.9	144.0	-17.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	72.5	75.2	147.8	-2.7	38%
vs Weaker (9)	84.7	77.1	161.8	+7.6	67%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#13

79-68

+11

H28/12

Lega A

Sassari

80-71

A02/01

Lega A

Siena

75-79

-4

H06/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#10

80-69

+11

A09/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

79-80

-1

H16/01

Lega A

Treviso

77-53

+24

H22/01

Lega A

Varese

#11

85-83

A30/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

105-101 OT

105

101

H06/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

92-84

A11/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

65-82

-17

A12/02

Italian Cup

22-17

17-13

14-27

26-11

18-20

13-21

24-13

25-17

14-21

13-19

17-22

31-17

25-20

24-21

13-10

18-18

22-14

12-26

26-18

19-22

18-13

18-20

26-1

15-19

17-15

13-20

25-15

30-33

28-22

11-18

30-24

20-25

17-22

23-20

26-23

26-19

16-15

11-29

22-21

16-17

158.7Avg total

81.7Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.9	77.8	158.7	+3.1	56%
Season at home (10)	81.4	74.8	156.2	+6.6	60%
Season away (8)	80.2	81.6	161.9	-1.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	77.0	158.7	+4.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	80.6	165.4	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.2	83.2	156.5	-10.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.0	76.9	153.9	+0.1	47%
vs Weaker (10)	85.1	81.4	166.5	+3.7	60%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.1	37.6	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.1	19.4	36.5	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.2	18.5	35.6	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.1	37.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	20.2	36.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.9	20.2	36.1	-4.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	19.7	36.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.0	35.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	13.8	21.8	35.5	-8.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.4	18.7	35.1	-2.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	20.7	36.2	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.4	36.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	24.2	39.5	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.3	21.2	38.5	-3.9	30%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

42-34

H06/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

44-37

A09/01

Lega A

Siena

31-35

-4

H16/01

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

35-33

H20/01

Euroleague

Brindisi

#17

47-47

A23/01

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

31-57

-26

A27/01

Euroleague

Pesaro

#10

42-36

H30/01

Lega A

Barcelona

36-45

-9

A03/02

Euroleague

Cantu

36-47

-11

A06/02

Lega A

Barcelona

27-25

H17/02

Euroleague

76.7Avg total

37.1Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	39.3	74.1	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.1	38.8	73.9	-3.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	39.7	74.2	-5.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	39.6	76.7	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	42.0	76.4	-7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	30.9	41.1	72.0	-10.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	33.5	37.2	70.7	-3.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.1	40.7	80.8	-0.6	44%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#13

39-30

H28/12

Lega A

Sassari

31-41

-10

A02/01

Lega A

Siena

27-40

-13

H06/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#10

49-41

A09/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

34-40

-6

H16/01

Lega A

Treviso

36-33

H22/01

Lega A

Varese

#11

30-35

-5

A30/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

39-40

-1

H06/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-42

-2

A11/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

27-44

-17

A12/02

Italian Cup

73.8Avg total

35.2Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	39.5	77.2	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	38.6	77.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	40.4	77.2	-3.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	38.6	73.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	38.8	73.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.8	41.8	73.5	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.8	38.3	76.1	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.6	40%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.6	38.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	18.2	35.9	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.6	34.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.5	20.1	35.6	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.1	15.4	37.6	+6.7	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.4	37.1	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.4	39.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	16.8	42.6	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	21.8	41.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	14.6	35.1	+5.9	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	19.0	34.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.4	34.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.9	23.8	45.7	-1.9	30%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.0	76.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	37.1	78.6	+4.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	38.9	75.4	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	36.6	71.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	35.0	68.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	32.2	39.8	72.0	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.0	38.1	77.1	+0.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	44.6	36.4	81.0	+8.1	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.8	79.4	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	37.1	78.6	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	40.2	80.1	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	37.2	82.1	+7.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	39.4	86.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.5	41.5	83.0	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.5	38.1	76.6	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+4.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
07/11/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	72-65
14/02/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	74-56
25/10/09	Virtus Roma v Avellino	74-78
07/05/09	Avellino v Virtus Roma	84-95 OT
11/01/09	Virtus Roma v Avellino	93-90 OT

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/11	H	Barcelona	65-74
06/02/11	A	Cantu	74-79
03/02/11	A	Barcelona	56-80
30/01/11	H	Pesaro	85-53
27/01/11	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	58-99
23/01/11	A	Brindisi	84-80
20/01/11	H	Petrol Olimpija	63-64
16/01/11	H	Siena	67-73
09/01/11	A	Virtus Bologna	79-87
06/01/11	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-73

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/11	A	Cantu	65-82
11/02/11	A	Olimpia Milano	92-84
06/02/11	H	Virtus Bologna	105-101 OT
30/01/11	A	Varese	85-83
22/01/11	H	Treviso	77-53
16/01/11	H	Brindisi	79-80
09/01/11	A	Pesaro	80-69
06/01/11	H	Siena	75-79
02/01/11	A	Sassari	80-71
28/12/10	H	Caserta	79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	44%
Home	LWWLW	56%
Away	WLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	56%	33%
Points / game	78.0	80.8	75.2
Allowed / game	75.4	74.1	76.8
Point differential	+2.6	+6.7	-1.6
Avg total	153.4	154.9	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	56%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	56%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	LLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	56%	60%	50%
Points / game	80.9	81.4	80.2
Allowed / game	77.8	74.8	81.6
Point differential	+3.1	+6.6	-1.4
Avg total	158.7	156.2	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	40%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	20% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	11%	10%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	18	17	1	94%	84.6	71.4	+13.1
2	Olimpia Milano	19	14	5	74%	81.7	77.5	+4.3
3	Cantu	18	13	5	72%	76.7	71.4	+5.3
4	Avellino	18	10	8	56%	80.9	77.8	+3.1
5	Virtus Bologna	18	9	9	50%	79.4	79.1	+0.4
6	Sutor Montegranaro	18	9	9	50%	82.2	82.1	+0.1
7	Pesaro	18	9	9	50%	73.8	79.1	-5.2
8	Virtus Roma	18	8	10	44%	78.0	75.4	+2.6
9	Caserta	18	8	10	44%	81.1	80.4	+0.7
10	Sassari	18	8	10	44%	81.2	83.5	-2.3
11	Biella	18	8	10	44%	81.4	84.2	-2.7
12	Treviso	19	8	11	42%	75.3	74.2	+1.1
13	Varese	19	8	11	42%	79.2	82.6	-3.4
14	Cremona	18	7	11	39%	78.7	78.8	-0.1
15	Teramo	18	5	13	28%	74.2	81.9	-7.8
16	Brindisi	19	5	14	26%	71.4	80.1	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	26	9	12	33	80
Avellino	18	18	15	19	70

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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