Avellino vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 82-88

18-16 15-23 34-23 15-26

Position#10

Record13-12

FormWLLLW

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game79.7

Avellino

Virtus Roma 🏆

Position#13

Record12-14

FormLLLWW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game80.6

Lega ARound 28

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Avellino v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

93-84

H22/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

56-76

-20

A29/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

72-71

A04/02

Lega A

Cantu

70-99

-29

A17/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

73-87

-14

A25/02

Lega A

Teramo

#17

75-63

+12

H29/02

Lega A

Cantu

63-72

-9

H04/03

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

65-96

-31

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

81-89

-8

H17/03

Lega A

Biella

#12

71-70

H25/03

Lega A

27-24

22-14

14-26

30-20

7-21

14-16

11-22

24-17

21-8

15-13

15-18

21-32

24-19

12-24

20-31

14-25

17-19

22-22

19-31

15-15

15-14

18-12

27-10

15-27

16-12

17-22

16-17

14-21

21-21

10-23

19-24

15-28

19-31

27-23

18-15

17-20

25-21

12-12

16-16

18-21

152.6Avg total

71.9Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	77.9	79.7	157.6	-1.8	52%
Season at home (13)	80.7	76.5	157.2	+4.2	69%
Season away (12)	74.8	83.2	158.0	-8.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	80.7	152.6	-8.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	78.0	149.0	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.6	83.4	159.0	-7.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	77.6	77.1	154.7	+0.5	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

78-82

-4

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

73-81

-8

A25/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

76-69

H08/02

Lega A

Varese

78-76

A12/02

Lega A

Siena

77-76

H26/02

Lega A

Cremona

#11

71-87

-16

A04/03

Lega A

Sassari

68-72

-4

H07/03

Lega A

Cantu

72-73

-1

A17/03

Lega A

Caserta

#15

90-80

+10

A25/03

Lega A

Treviso

#14

102-99 OT

102

H01/04

Lega A

27-25

14-15

20-21

17-21

16-27

16-21

20-17

21-16

18-18

14-18

27-13

17-20

23-20

17-24

18-14

20-18

22-25

21-19

16-17

18-15

18-24

14-26

20-17

19-20

27-14

14-27

12-17

15-14

20-22

14-19

17-17

21-15

18-15

23-20

15-27

34-18

21-15

13-15

33-28

16-25

158.0Avg total

78.5Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.0	80.6	159.6	-1.6	46%
Season at home (13)	82.2	80.1	162.3	+2.2	54%
Season away (13)	75.8	81.1	156.8	-5.3	38%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	79.5	158.0	-1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	82.2	162.8	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	73.3	79.0	152.3	-5.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	80.0	80.5	160.6	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker (2)	73.0	72.0	145.0	+1.0	50%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.5	40.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	18.5	33.0	-4.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.2	36.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.1	35.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.0	17.5	35.4	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.2	36.3	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.6	36.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.4	37.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	16.5	19.4	35.9	-3.0	32%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	50%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

49-38

+11

H22/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

21-37

-16

A29/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

36-21

+15

A04/02

Lega A

Cantu

36-43

-7

A17/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

39-41

-2

A25/02

Lega A

Teramo

#17

33-26

H29/02

Lega A

Cantu

33-34

-1

H04/03

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

31-44

-13

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

46-54

-8

H17/03

Lega A

Biella

#12

37-33

H25/03

Lega A

73.2Avg total

36.1Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.8	76.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	37.1	78.8	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	38.6	75.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	37.1	73.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.0	38.4	77.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	39.3	37.4	76.7	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

41-40

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

32-48

-16

A25/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

32-36

-4

H08/02

Lega A

Varese

40-44

-4

A12/02

Lega A

Siena

43-44

-1

H26/02

Lega A

Cremona

#11

32-50

-18

A04/03

Lega A

Sassari

41-41

H07/03

Lega A

Cantu

34-41

-7

A17/03

Lega A

Caserta

#15

41-35

A25/03

Lega A

Treviso

#14

34-30

H01/04

Lega A

77.9Avg total

37.0Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	39.3	75.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	36.8	74.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.6	41.8	76.4	-7.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	40.9	77.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.4	75.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.0	41.7	78.7	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	36.1	39.0	75.1	-2.8	32%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	36.0	71.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.5	37.9	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.9	38.5	+0.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.4	35.6	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.6	22.1	37.8	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	18.3	36.2	-0.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	22.3	39.9	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	22.6	40.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	23.4	39.2	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.9	20.6	38.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.9	39.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	20.0	35.5	-4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	40.5	77.2	-3.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	38.5	77.4	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.6	42.5	77.1	-7.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	43.6	79.4	-7.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.8	74.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.0	43.6	79.6	-7.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.1	38.6	75.7	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.7	77.4	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	37.9	78.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	37.5	76.5	+1.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	37.0	76.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.6	80.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	37.3	73.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	40.7	38.0	78.7	+2.7	68%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
18/12/11	Virtus Roma v Avellino	96-99 OT
20/02/11	Virtus Roma v Avellino	80-70
07/11/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	72-65
14/02/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	74-56
25/10/09	Virtus Roma v Avellino	74-78
07/05/09	Avellino v Virtus Roma	84-95 OT
11/01/09	Virtus Roma v Avellino	93-90 OT

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/12	H	Biella	71-70
17/03/12	H	Pesaro	81-89
07/03/12	A	Casale Monferrato	65-96
04/03/12	H	Cantu	63-72
29/02/12	H	Teramo	75-63
25/02/12	A	Sassari	73-87
17/02/12	A	Cantu	70-99
04/02/12	A	Treviso	72-71
29/01/12	A	Virtus Bologna	56-76
22/01/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	93-84

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/12	H	Treviso	102-99 OT
25/03/12	A	Caserta	90-80
17/03/12	A	Cantu	72-73
07/03/12	H	Sassari	68-72
04/03/12	A	Cremona	71-87
26/02/12	H	Siena	77-76
12/02/12	A	Varese	78-76
08/02/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	76-69
25/01/12	A	Biella	73-81
21/01/12	H	Virtus Bologna	78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	52%
Home	WWLLW	69%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	52%	69%	33%
Points / game	77.9	80.7	74.8
Allowed / game	79.7	76.5	83.2
Point differential	-1.8	+4.2	-8.3
Avg total	157.6	157.2	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	31%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	12%	8%	17%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	46%
Home	LWWLW	54%
Away	LWLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	46%	54%	38%
Points / game	79.0	82.2	75.8
Allowed / game	80.6	80.1	81.1
Point differential	-1.6	+2.2	-5.3
Avg total	159.6	162.3	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	8%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	29% (7)	60% (5)
Overtime %	19%	31%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	91.0	85.0	+6.0
2	Siena	24	18	6	75%	79.4	70.4	+9.0
3	Cantu	26	17	9	65%	74.0	69.2	+4.8
4	Sassari	26	16	10	62%	79.1	76.8	+2.3
5	Olimpia Milano	25	15	10	60%	76.7	73.2	+3.4
6	Venezia	25	15	10	60%	77.4	75.2	+2.2
7	Virtus Bologna	25	15	10	60%	76.3	76.1	+0.2
8	Pesaro	25	15	10	60%	74.9	75.1	-0.2
9	Varese	25	13	12	52%	76.1	75.3	+0.8
10	Avellino	25	13	12	52%	77.9	79.7	-1.8
11	Virtus Roma	26	12	14	46%	79.0	80.6	-1.6
12	Sutor Montegranaro	25	11	14	44%	77.5	78.4	-0.9
13	Biella	26	11	15	42%	74.9	75.9	-1.0
14	Treviso	26	11	15	42%	76.5	78.6	-2.2
15	Caserta	25	10	15	40%	77.5	79.2	-1.7
16	Cremona	26	10	16	38%	72.7	77.5	-4.8
17	Teramo	26	8	18	31%	71.9	76.5	-4.6
18	Casale Monferrato	26	6	20	23%	72.6	75.7	-3.1
19	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	85.0	91.0	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	18	15	34	15	82
Virtus Roma	16	23	23	26	88

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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