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Ballarat vs Casey Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 94-75
27-20 34-14 23-24 10-17
Position#5
Record14-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#19
Record3-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game90.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Ballarat v Casey Cavaliers
07 Jul 2024
BALL94
CASE75
15 May 2022
BALL89
CASE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
H25/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H26/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A01/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H15/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A16/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H22/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
108-99
108
99
+9
A23/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H29/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H05/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
16-17
27-21
20-18
24-24
19-25
21-25
35-22
20-16
22-23
15-22
19-14
21-22
26-21
21-21
16-22
25-25
28-29
28-15
17-22
19-22
22-19
26-22
12-31
26-29
30-25
25-25
27-20
21-29
22-14
21-26
23-12
15-24
15-25
23-21
16-24
26-19
20-16
29-25
24-25
177.5Avg total
88.8Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.586.0177.4+5.570%
Season at home (10)92.085.8177.8+6.270%
Season away (10)91.086.1177.1+4.970%
Last 10 (10)88.888.7177.5+0.170%
Last 5 (5)88.490.6179.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.989.1178.0-0.262%
vs Similar (9)95.195.1190.2+0.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.885.2179.0+8.569%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H19/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
H25/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A06/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H07/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
71-100
71
100
-29
H15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
68-110
68
110
-42
H16/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A22/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A28/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
74-100
74
100
-26
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H06/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
16-23
26-13
14-20
25-17
25-24
17-28
23-21
28-21
16-20
22-19
13-24
22-29
15-18
26-26
14-19
22-25
14-20
24-25
11-30
18-32
24-22
13-23
13-33
19-29
24-15
30-17
22-26
18-20
23-21
22-30
14-17
18-26
20-28
17-22
19-24
25-22
15-25
26-32
25-27
174.8Avg total
80.0Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.390.7170.1-11.415%
Season at home (10)76.295.1171.3-18.90%
Season away (10)82.586.3168.8-3.830%
Last 10 (10)80.094.8174.8-14.810%
Last 5 (5)81.098.2179.2-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.391.2167.5-14.813%
vs Similar (7)79.684.3163.9-4.714%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -7.3-7.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -7.3-7.3
BallaratCasey Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H15/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A16/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A23/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H05/07
NBL1 South
87.4Avg total
43.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.444.691.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.042.688.6+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)46.946.893.6+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.487.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.487.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.543.886.2-1.238%-
vs Similar (9)47.946.294.1+1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.843.991.7+3.869%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H19/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H25/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A06/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A28/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H06/07
NBL1 South
86.4Avg total
40.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.445.283.6-6.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.146.584.5-8.420%-
Last 30 away (15)38.843.982.7-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.146.386.4-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.848.088.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.845.383.1-7.522%-
vs Similar (7)40.444.785.1-4.329%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ballarat wins
0
Casey Cavaliers wins
DateGameScore
27/05/23Casey Cavaliers v Ballarat91-94 OT
15/05/22Ballarat v Casey Cavaliers89-76
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/24HSandringham Sabres99-85
30/06/24AFrankston69-94
29/06/24HMelbourne Tigers87-81
23/06/24ARingwood108-99
22/06/24HNunawading79-94
16/06/24AWaverley98-91
15/06/24HDandenong84-86
01/06/24ABendigo Braves76-75
26/05/24HDiamond Valley99-96
25/05/24HKnox89-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24HDiamond Valley91-106
29/06/24HFrankston74-100
28/06/24AGeelong77-88
22/06/24AWaverley95-87
16/06/24HKnox68-110
15/06/24HEltham71-100
07/06/24HNunawading77-92
06/06/24AMelbourne Tigers79-84
25/05/24HHobart Chargers98-99 OT
19/05/24HMt Gambier70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%70%70%
Points / game91.592.091.0
Allowed / game86.085.886.1
Point differential+5.5+6.2+4.9
Avg total177.4177.8177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%0%30%
Points / game79.376.282.5
Allowed / game90.795.186.3
Point differential-11.3-18.9-3.8
Avg total170.1171.3168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier2116576%89.280.7+8.6
2 Ballarat2014670%91.586.0+5.5
3 Sandringham Sabres1913668%93.681.5+12.1
4 Frankston2013765%93.382.7+10.6
5 Keilor Thunder1912763%89.589.8-0.3
6 Eltham2012860%89.282.6+6.6
7 Hobart Chargers2012860%82.880.9+1.9
8 Dandenong2012860%84.283.3+0.8
9 Knox2011955%94.082.8+11.2
10 Waverley2011955%92.088.3+3.6
11 Geelong1910953%79.683.2-3.5
12 Nunawading20101050%85.085.3-0.3
13 NW Tasmania2091145%83.289.6-6.4
14 Melbourne Tigers2081240%76.282.7-6.5
15 Bendigo Braves2171433%80.687.7-7.1
16 Diamond Valley2061430%86.295.2-9.0
17 Ringwood2161529%84.190.3-6.1
18 Kilsyth2051525%77.387.0-9.7
19 Casey Cavaliers2031715%79.390.7-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat2734231094
Casey Cavaliers2014241775
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