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Barcelona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 May 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-82
27-24 24-18 16-29 17-11
Position#2
Record27-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#4
Record24-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals
European cup2020
Meetings · Barcelona v Olimpia Milano
12 Jan 2027
BAR v MIL
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAR74
MIL72
13 Dec 2024
BAR81
MIL94
15 Dec 2023
BAR86
MIL90
28 Oct 2022
BAR74
MIL56
11 Jan 2022
BAR73
MIL75
28 May 2021
BAR84
MIL82
11 Dec 2020
BAR87
MIL71
23 Nov 2018
BAR90
MIL80
01 Feb 2018
BAR81
MIL83
23 Dec 2016
BAR89
MIL75
28 Nov 2014
BAR84
MIL80
14 Feb 2014
BAR80
MIL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 79
H21/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
no box
H23/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
79-63
79
63
+16
74avg 79
A25/04
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
78-70
78
70
+8
69avg 79
A28/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
61-74
61
74
-13
47avg 79
A30/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-53
79
53
+26
80avg 79
H04/05
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
76-70
76
70
+6
66avg 79
H06/05
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
109-58
109
58
+51
no box
A09/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 79
H19/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
96-72
96
72
+24
89avg 79
A22/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
13-27
20-13
20-15
13-16
25-13
10-19
18-18
26-23
18-14
10-18
25-8
16-16
18-17
21-18
23-19
13-25
13-11
12-22
23-16
23-14
20-16
14-9
22-14
18-17
18-11
21-20
19-22
21-21
33-4
23-22
32-11
21-21
20-18
24-19
22-16
20-17
17-13
28-26
31-16
150.8Avg total
82.0Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)79.973.2153.0+6.769%
Season at home (20)81.372.4153.7+8.970%
Season away (19)78.473.9152.3+4.468%
Last 10 (10)82.068.8150.8+13.280%
Last 5 (5)89.465.4154.8+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.766.3140.0+7.471%
vs Weaker (23)86.473.6160.0+12.983%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 78
A25/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
64avg 78
A28/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
77avg 78
A30/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 78
H04/05
Euroleague
Cremona
#9
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 78
H10/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-62
88
62
+26
88avg 78
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
89avg 78
H14/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 78
A16/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
77avg 78
H22/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
99-65
99
65
+34
97avg 78
H24/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
22-10
26-20
26-20
9-23
26-16
16-25
28-21
19-23
31-17
21-23
11-22
24-22
26-18
22-18
20-31
17-17
22-11
12-15
23-23
26-20
23-14
23-17
16-11
23-21
26-14
24-18
20-26
20-16
16-13
16-16
22-20
20-13
22-25
22-17
17-24
23-7
31-22
23-23
22-13
160.6Avg total
85.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)81.578.4159.9+3.262%
Season at home (20)83.577.2160.7+6.370%
Season away (19)79.479.6159.1-0.253%
Last 10 (10)85.075.6160.6+9.480%
Last 5 (5)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.075.0173.0+23.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.778.9156.6-1.255%
vs Weaker (18)83.674.2157.8+9.472%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +8.0+8.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +8.0+8.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
BarcelonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H21/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A25/04
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A28/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A30/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/05
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/05
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A09/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A22/05
ACB
72.2Avg total
38.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.877.3+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.378.9+4.375%-
Last 30 away (14)41.234.175.4+7.179%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.572.2+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.230.472.6+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.133.068.1+2.171%-
vs Weaker (23)43.336.780.0+6.778%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A30/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H04/05
Euroleague
Cremona
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H10/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H14/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A16/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H24/05
Lega A
79.3Avg total
44.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.736.278.9+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.937.082.9+8.981%-
Last 30 away (14)39.135.374.4+3.857%-
Last 10 (10)44.035.379.3+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.033.079.0+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.937.277.1+2.755%-
vs Weaker (18)44.135.479.5+8.678%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.2
53.2%
52.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.99.1
45.7%
38.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.915.1
79.9%
79.3%15.1
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.4
49.2%
52.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.9
41.9%
38.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.717.9
86.5%
79.3%17.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWLWWWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWWLLW
#2
League position
#4
+20.0
Net rating
+13.9
119.0
Offensive rating
117.1
99.0
Defensive rating
103.2
58.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
45.7%
3-point %
41.9%
56.0%
Assist %
56.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 117.1Defence99.0 · 103.2Shooting58.5% · 54.5%3-point %45.7% · 41.9%Ball care16.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 26.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Barcelona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Barcelona wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/21ATenerife96-72
19/05/21HBaskonia87-74
09/05/21AReal Betis109-58
06/05/21HObradoiro CAB76-70
04/05/21HZenit Petersburg79-53
30/04/21AZenit Petersburg61-74
28/04/21AZenit Petersburg78-70
25/04/21AMoraBanc Andorra79-63
23/04/21HZenit Petersburg81-78 OT
21/04/21HZenit Petersburg74-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/21HVenezia99-65
22/05/21HVenezia81-79
16/05/21ATrento74-65
14/05/21HTrento93-79
13/05/21HTrento88-62
10/05/21HCremona74-66
04/05/21HBayern92-89
30/04/21ABayern82-85
28/04/21ABayern79-85
25/04/21APesaro88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayWLWWL68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %69%70%68%
Points / game79.981.378.4
Allowed / game73.272.473.9
Point differential+6.7+8.9+4.4
Avg total153.0153.7152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %8%10%5%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %62%70%53%
Points / game81.583.579.4
Allowed / game78.477.279.6
Point differential+3.2+6.3-0.2
Avg total159.9160.7159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%45%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)40% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %10%5%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow38271171%84.479.2+5.2
2 Barcelona39271269%79.973.2+6.7
3 Anadolu Efes40261465%84.276.9+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano39241562%81.578.4+3.2
5 Bayern39231659%78.677.9+0.7
6 Zenit Petersburg39221756%77.574.9+2.6
7 Real Madrid39221756%79.478.4+1.1
8 Valencia34191556%81.981.2+0.6
9 Fenerbahce37201754%77.879.5-1.7
10 Baskonia34181653%80.977.6+3.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas34171750%77.477.8-0.4
12 Olympiacos34161847%78.679.8-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv34142041%78.479.2-0.9
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%76.780.6-3.9
15 Alba Berlin34122235%78.682.7-4.1
16 Panathinaikos34112332%79.783.7-4.0
17 Crvena zvezda34102429%74.179.7-5.6
18 Khimki M.3443012%77.590.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona2724161784
Olimpia Milano2418291182
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