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Barcelona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-90
19-29 21-22 19-17 27-22
Position#5
Record10-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#12
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2023
Meetings · Barcelona v Olimpia Milano
12 Jan 2027
BAR v MIL
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAR74
MIL72
13 Dec 2024
BAR81
MIL94
15 Dec 2023
BAR86
MIL90
28 Oct 2022
BAR74
MIL56
11 Jan 2022
BAR73
MIL75
28 May 2021
BAR84
MIL82
11 Dec 2020
BAR87
MIL71
23 Nov 2018
BAR90
MIL80
01 Feb 2018
BAR81
MIL83
23 Dec 2016
BAR89
MIL75
28 Nov 2014
BAR84
MIL80
14 Feb 2014
BAR80
MIL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 80
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 80
A19/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
83avg 80
A23/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
115-78
115
78
+37
126avg 80
H26/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-92
101
92
+9
105avg 80
H01/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 80
H03/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
74avg 80
A06/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
89-81
89
81
+8
87avg 80
H08/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
99-101
99
101
-2
94avg 80
A10/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 80
H13/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
12-17
17-19
20-18
20-23
18-12
24-23
11-24
26-31
25-20
19-17
22-22
26-14
25-23
33-18
31-23
28-24
22-23
28-24
23-21
11-15
24-16
19-23
26-15
24-18
21-15
16-23
14-24
16-19
22-31
25-14
26-17
18-21
26-27
31-33
24-20
14-24
22-15
24-26
22-18
170.6Avg total
88.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.877.6161.5+6.277%
Season at home (7)88.475.6164.0+12.9100%
Season away (6)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)88.082.6170.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)85.082.8167.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.575.5147.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.978.8163.8+6.185%
vs Weaker (14)88.280.0168.2+8.271%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 78
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
96avg 78
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
98avg 78
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
88avg 78
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
79avg 78
H26/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
70-83
70
83
-13
61avg 78
H30/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 78
A03/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
68avg 78
A05/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
63avg 78
A07/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 78
H10/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
14-24
23-20
16-21
19-18
24-21
20-22
29-15
24-16
20-12
30-18
21-26
20-19
18-20
25-17
30-15
28-19
25-20
10-29
18-18
19-18
12-23
21-18
18-24
14-20
16-21
28-24
25-24
25-22
14-22
13-11
24-21
25-20
19-19
18-22
7-21
21-23
27-21
19-21
15-15
164.4Avg total
82.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.978.6157.5+0.331%
Season at home (6)77.772.3150.0+5.350%
Season away (7)80.084.0164.0-4.014%
Last 10 (10)82.881.6164.4+1.240%
Last 5 (5)77.685.0162.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.476.4154.8+2.144%
vs Weaker (10)79.578.4157.9+1.140%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
BarcelonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A19/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A23/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H26/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H01/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A06/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H08/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H13/12
ACB
82.9Avg total
42.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.478.6+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.238.680.8+3.675%-
Last 30 away (14)37.938.176.0-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.482.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.532.564.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.839.580.3+1.462%-
vs Weaker (14)40.838.078.8+2.871%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H26/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H30/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A05/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/12
Lega A
80.9Avg total
41.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.676.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.836.577.3+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)37.138.775.8-1.727%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.980.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.880.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.438.677.9+0.850%-
vs Weaker (10)38.535.974.4+2.660%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.124.2
60.3%
53.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.8
38.3%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.012.4
72.9%
77.4%12.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.4
55.1%
53.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.6
38.0%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
77.4%12.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LLWLWWWWLW
Olimpia Milano
WLLLLLWWWL
#5
League position
#12
+7.4
Net rating
-2.1
117.0
Offensive rating
112.8
109.6
Defensive rating
114.9
59.3%
Effective FG%
56.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.3%
3-point %
38.0%
56.4%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 112.8Defence109.6 · 114.9Shooting59.3% · 56.0%3-point %38.3% · 38.0%Ball care19.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds34.1% · 25.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Barcelona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Barcelona wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HManresa82-83
10/12/23ABasket Zaragoza99-101
08/12/23HFenerbahce89-81
06/12/23AVirtus Bologna75-80
03/12/23HGranada80-69
01/12/23HLyon-Villeurbanne101-92
26/11/23HBasquet Girona115-78
23/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv92-90
19/11/23AMurcia73-82
17/11/23HValencia74-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HVirtus Bologna82-80
07/12/23APartizan69-82
05/12/23ABayern84-91 OT
03/12/23ASassari83-89
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-83
26/11/23HPistoia81-86
24/11/23ACrvena zvezda93-71
19/11/23HVenezia95-72
16/11/23HAnadolu Efes92-76
14/11/23AVirtus Bologna79-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%100%50%
Points / game83.888.478.5
Allowed / game77.675.680.0
Point differential+6.2+12.9-1.5
Avg total161.5164.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL31%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game78.977.780.0
Allowed / game78.672.384.0
Point differential+0.3+5.3-4.0
Avg total157.5150.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %15%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1413193%89.175.6+13.5
2 Barcelona1310377%83.877.6+6.2
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%84.681.8+2.8
4 Partizan148657%87.685.4+2.1
5 Monaco148657%79.378.9+0.4
6 Baskonia148657%82.982.9+0.1
7 Valencia148657%74.274.1+0.1
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv148657%86.587.5-1.0
9 Olympiacos147750%76.474.9+1.6
10 Panathinaikos147750%81.980.6+1.4
11 Fenerbahce147750%81.181.2-0.1
12 Anadolu Efes147750%81.987.0-5.1
13 Bayern146843%78.781.4-2.6
14 Crvena zvezda145936%82.480.3+2.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%79.181.2-2.1
16 Olimpia Milano134931%78.978.6+0.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1421214%80.289.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin1421214%76.386.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona1921192786
Olimpia Milano2922172290
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