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Barcelona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 87-71
23-15 16-28 21-18 27-10
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#4
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2020
Meetings · Barcelona v Olimpia Milano
12 Jan 2027
BAR v MIL
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAR74
MIL72
13 Dec 2024
BAR81
MIL94
15 Dec 2023
BAR86
MIL90
28 Oct 2022
BAR74
MIL56
11 Jan 2022
BAR73
MIL75
28 May 2021
BAR84
MIL82
11 Dec 2020
BAR87
MIL71
23 Nov 2018
BAR90
MIL80
01 Feb 2018
BAR81
MIL83
23 Dec 2016
BAR89
MIL75
28 Nov 2014
BAR84
MIL80
14 Feb 2014
BAR80
MIL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#18
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 79
A08/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
97-55
97
55
+42
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
82-53
82
53
+29
no box
H14/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
76-65
76
65
+11
70avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
97-85
97
85
+12
88avg 79
A22/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 79
A27/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 79
H01/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
73-62
73
62
+11
76avg 79
A04/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
91-63
91
63
+28
79avg 79
H06/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
80avg 79
H08/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
23-13
24-25
20-26
28-17
23-12
18-9
28-17
23-9
23-13
18-18
18-13
19-6
20-16
22-22
15-21
22-24
19-18
29-10
27-33
19-25
17-20
17-20
15-15
22-32
29-19
19-19
20-30
17-14
22-19
16-15
18-14
24-12
29-18
18-13
20-20
17-26
30-25
16-21
25-24
159.1Avg total
85.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.871.9152.8+8.975%
Season at home (6)85.573.8159.3+11.783%
Season away (6)76.270.0146.2+6.267%
Last 10 (10)85.473.7159.1+11.770%
Last 5 (5)82.080.2162.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.770.3143.0+2.367%
vs Weaker (24)84.173.5157.6+10.579%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
87-56
87
56
+31
91avg 80
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 80
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
65avg 80
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 80
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 80
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
75-55
75
55
+20
75avg 80
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 80
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 80
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 80
A08/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
21-15
28-13
15-19
20-24
23-20
30-14
16-13
23-18
21-30
16-18
19-21
21-25
31-15
21-24
25-28
21-25
23-14
27-16
15-17
18-20
28-15
13-18
11-17
19-13
23-9
22-19
11-14
22-18
20-12
18-24
17-26
20-18
35-14
22-18
19-20
28-20
26-27
18-21
30-25
163.6Avg total
87.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.580.5164.1+3.064%
Season at home (6)82.376.2158.5+6.267%
Season away (5)85.085.8170.8-0.860%
Last 10 (10)87.576.1163.6+11.480%
Last 5 (5)87.276.6163.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.581.8166.2+2.875%
vs Weaker (26)87.672.6160.2+15.088%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
BarcelonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#18
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A08/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H12/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H14/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H20/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A27/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H01/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H06/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H08/12
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
45.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.276.5+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.933.677.5+10.281%-
Last 30 away (14)38.536.975.4+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)45.135.280.3+9.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.087.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.031.063.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.335.074.3+4.3100%-
vs Weaker (24)42.435.477.8+7.067%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A08/12
Euroleague
82.7Avg total
46.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.436.682.0+8.883%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.535.479.9+9.182%-
Last 30 away (13)46.638.284.8+8.585%-
Last 10 (10)46.636.182.7+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.833.281.0+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.838.878.5+1.075%-
vs Weaker (26)46.336.382.6+10.085%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.2
55.0%
52.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.6
40.2%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.414.6
75.3%
79.3%14.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.5
55.1%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.89.7
44.5%
38.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.914.3
84.6%
79.3%14.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LWWLLWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WWLWWWWLWW
#2
League position
#4
+16.6
Net rating
+15.7
116.7
Offensive rating
121.3
100.0
Defensive rating
105.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
59.3%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
13.2%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.2%
3-point %
44.5%
60.7%
Assist %
55.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 121.3Defence100.0 · 105.6Shooting56.8% · 59.3%3-point %40.2% · 44.5%Ball care19.8% · 13.2%Off. rebounds36.7% · 22.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Barcelona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Barcelona wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/20HOlympiacos88-96
06/12/20HGran Canaria91-63
04/12/20AZalgiris Kaunas73-62
01/12/20HValencia90-100
27/11/20ALyon-Villeurbanne68-80
22/11/20ABasket Zaragoza97-85
20/11/20HCrvena zvezda76-65
14/11/20HReal Betis82-53
12/11/20HFenerbahce97-55
08/11/20AEstudiantes92-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/20AKhimki M.102-93
06/12/20AVarese96-70
03/12/20HPanathinaikos77-80
01/12/20HAlba Berlin75-55
26/11/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-85 OT
22/11/20HVenezia86-72
20/11/20HZalgiris Kaunas98-92
18/11/20HCrvena zvezda79-87
15/11/20ACantu89-71
08/11/20HBrescia87-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game80.885.576.2
Allowed / game71.973.870.0
Point differential+8.9+11.7+6.2
Avg total152.8159.3146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game83.582.385.0
Allowed / game80.576.285.8
Point differential+3.0+6.2-0.8
Avg total164.1158.5170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %18%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1310377%83.179.1+4.0
2 Barcelona129375%80.871.9+8.9
3 Bayern139469%79.776.5+3.2
4 Olimpia Milano117464%83.580.5+3.0
5 Zenit Petersburg117464%74.371.8+2.5
6 Real Madrid138562%81.478.2+3.2
7 Valencia138562%81.981.2+0.7
8 Olympiacos127558%77.277.3-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes137654%78.276.5+1.7
10 Baskonia126650%79.073.4+5.6
11 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%78.279.6-1.5
12 Alba Berlin125742%77.882.2-4.4
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv135838%78.578.1+0.4
14 Fenerbahce135838%73.178.9-5.8
15 Panathinaikos124833%78.383.9-5.6
16 Crvena zvezda134931%74.776.8-2.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne123925%73.877.7-3.9
18 Khimki M.1321115%79.588.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona2316212787
Olimpia Milano1528181071
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