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Bayern vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 85-79
23-9 16-26 25-16 21-28
Position#5
Record21-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.4
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record23-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals
European cup2020
Meetings · Bayern v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2027
BAY v MIL
upcoming
14 Oct 2025
BAY64
MIL53
04 Feb 2025
BAY87
MIL70
05 Dec 2023
BAY91
MIL84
20 Oct 2022
BAY81
MIL83
26 Oct 2021
BAY83
MIL77
30 Apr 2021
BAY85
MIL82
28 Apr 2021
BAY85
MIL79
02 Oct 2020
BAY79
MIL81
11 Jan 2019
BAY93
MIL87
31 Oct 2014
BAY74
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 76
H30/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 76
H01/04
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 76
A03/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
83-62
83
62
+21
84avg 76
H06/04
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 76
A09/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
78avg 76
H11/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
85avg 76
A13/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 76
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 76
A22/04
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
55avg 76
H25/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
19-17
10-18
24-24
21-22
16-14
20-18
14-16
26-19
20-24
21-20
27-32
18-19
26-10
17-18
22-15
29-22
14-15
17-18
22-17
16-18
22-19
22-31
23-17
33-18
14-18
19-24
23-11
18-16
26-11
20-26
14-26
12-26
17-21
24-18
16-15
21-23
9-29
16-31
16-17
157.0Avg total
77.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.077.4155.4+0.658%
Season at home (17)79.275.4154.6+3.976%
Season away (19)76.879.2156.1-2.442%
Last 10 (10)77.979.1157.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)76.283.0159.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.783.7158.3-9.067%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.381.1160.4-1.850%
vs Weaker (15)86.576.9163.3+9.673%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 78
A30/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A01/04
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 78
H05/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
98-75
98
75
+23
95avg 78
H09/04
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
57avg 78
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
87avg 78
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
94-84
94
84
+10
88avg 78
H17/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 78
H20/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
80-69
80
69
+11
69avg 78
H22/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 78
A25/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
25-24
28-15
18-21
26-15
20-14
13-20
11-21
18-24
23-21
22-24
18-14
29-19
20-20
29-17
20-19
17-22
18-19
15-18
21-21
19-15
21-18
21-18
24-22
27-18
26-21
17-26
24-19
16-18
11-26
26-20
26-14
26-12
21-17
18-24
15-16
14-31
22-10
26-20
26-20
163.3Avg total
85.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.377.7159.0+3.664%
Season at home (19)83.176.5159.6+6.568%
Season away (17)79.379.0158.3+0.359%
Last 10 (10)85.278.1163.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)85.277.0162.2+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.075.0173.0+23.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
vs Weaker (18)83.776.1159.7+7.661%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
BayernOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/04
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A03/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/04
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H11/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/04
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H25/04
BBL
77.1Avg total
39.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.078.0+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.238.676.8-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)39.739.479.1+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.977.1+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.745.081.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.738.776.3-1.042%-
vs Weaker (15)40.538.178.6+2.567%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A30/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A01/04
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/04
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/04
Lega A
79.7Avg total
42.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.177.7+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.636.580.2+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)38.835.674.4+3.254%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.679.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.737.475.1+0.340%-
vs Weaker (18)43.336.179.3+7.272%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.1
52.6%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.6
35.8%
38.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.414.1
76.6%
79.3%14.1
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.4
47.2%
52.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.4
41.8%
38.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.817.4
83.7%
79.3%17.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLLWLWWLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWLWLLW
#5
League position
#4
-1.4
Net rating
+9.5
107.0
Offensive rating
114.6
108.4
Defensive rating
105.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
13.8%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.8%
3-point %
41.8%
62.5%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 114.6Defence108.4 · 105.1Shooting53.0% · 52.8%3-point %35.8% · 41.8%Ball care16.9% · 13.8%Off. rebounds25.6% · 24.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HAlba Berlin62-100
22/04/21AOlimpia Milano69-80
20/04/21AOlimpia Milano78-79
13/04/21ABonn89-71
11/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig83-85
09/04/21ABarcelona82-72
06/04/21HBayreuth83-62
03/04/21AGiessen94-95
01/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas71-70
30/03/21HFenerbahce68-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21APesaro88-81
22/04/21HBayern80-69
20/04/21HBayern79-78
17/04/21HVirtus Bologna94-84
14/04/21ASassari85-73
11/04/21ABrindisi71-80
09/04/21HAnadolu Efes98-75
05/04/21HVarese81-83
01/04/21APanathinaikos83-86 OT
30/03/21ACrvena zvezda93-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %58%76%42%
Points / game78.079.276.8
Allowed / game77.475.479.2
Point differential+0.6+3.9-2.4
Avg total155.4154.6156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)75% (8)60% (10)
Overtime %8%18%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLLWWW68%
AwayWWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %64%68%59%
Points / game81.383.179.3
Allowed / game77.776.579.0
Point differential+3.6+6.5+0.3
Avg total159.0159.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)25% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %11%5%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow37271073%84.479.0+5.4
2 Barcelona37261170%80.473.7+6.7
3 Anadolu Efes37241365%84.276.3+7.8
4 Olimpia Milano36231364%81.377.7+3.6
5 Bayern36211558%78.077.4+0.6
6 Zenit Petersburg37211657%78.275.1+3.1
7 Real Madrid37211657%79.378.2+1.1
8 Valencia34191556%81.981.2+0.6
9 Fenerbahce37201754%77.879.5-1.7
10 Baskonia34181653%80.977.6+3.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas34171750%77.477.8-0.4
12 Olympiacos34161847%78.679.8-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv34142041%78.479.2-0.9
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%76.780.6-3.9
15 Alba Berlin34122235%78.682.7-4.1
16 Panathinaikos34112332%79.783.7-4.0
17 Crvena zvezda34102429%74.179.7-5.6
18 Khimki M.3443012%77.590.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2316252185
Olimpia Milano926162879
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