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Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 81-88
31-14 10-22 20-26 20-26
Position#10
Record11-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#2
Record21-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game74.9
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2024
PES65
MIL85
20 May 2023
PES80
MIL94
18 May 2023
PES88
MIL83
06 Nov 2022
PES71
MIL85
16 Jan 2022
PES85
MIL82
25 Apr 2021
PES81
MIL88
08 Dec 2019
PES65
MIL71
28 Oct 2018
PES82
MIL97
02 Jan 2018
PES64
MIL78
30 Apr 2017
PES90
MIL79
23 Dec 2015
PES69
MIL66
23 Mar 2015
PES61
MIL84
16 Dec 2013
PES73
MIL94
10 Dec 2012
PES70
MIL72
04 Jun 2012
PES67
MIL73
02 Jun 2012
PES85
MIL77
15 Oct 2011
PES69
MIL66
15 May 2011
PES82
MIL71
29 Mar 2010
PES83
MIL77
12 Oct 2008
PES62
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 73
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 73
A14/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 73
H20/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
66avg 73
A29/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
89-97
89
97
-8
85avg 73
H03/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
76avg 73
A10/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
44avg 73
H14/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
88-101
88
101
-13
80avg 73
A18/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
26-16
11-17
22-24
15-21
6-27
15-26
23-13
16-24
15-22
22-27
25-27
18-26
10-14
21-21
19-20
9-15
19-22
21-20
21-18
16-25
19-22
21-22
23-22
30-28
21-22
16-26
22-21
25-25
31-16
12-17
11-19
13-25
19-18
13-21
17-22
15-33
34-19
19-28
20-21
161.0Avg total
74.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.183.7164.8-2.641%
Season at home (13)80.880.7161.5+0.246%
Season away (14)81.486.4167.8-5.136%
Last 10 (10)74.686.4161.0-11.820%
Last 5 (5)79.490.4169.8-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.785.4162.1-8.627%
vs Similar (17)82.182.8164.8-0.747%
vs Weaker (1)84.069.0153.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
63-69
63
69
-6
57avg 78
A28/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 78
A30/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A01/04
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 78
H05/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
98-75
98
75
+23
95avg 78
H09/04
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
57avg 78
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
87avg 78
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
94-84
94
84
+10
88avg 78
H17/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 78
H20/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
80-69
80
69
+11
69avg 78
H22/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
18-24
16-17
13-15
22-12
25-24
28-15
18-21
26-15
20-14
13-20
11-21
18-24
23-21
22-24
18-14
29-19
20-20
29-17
20-19
17-22
18-19
15-18
21-21
19-15
21-18
21-18
24-22
27-18
26-21
17-26
24-19
16-18
11-26
26-20
26-14
26-12
21-17
18-24
15-16
159.6Avg total
82.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.874.9160.7+10.978%
Season at home (14)89.976.7166.6+13.279%
Season away (13)81.373.0154.3+8.377%
Last 10 (10)82.776.9159.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)81.876.8158.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.075.0173.0+23.0100%
vs Similar (10)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.375.8159.2+7.561%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
PesaroOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A14/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A29/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H03/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A10/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A18/04
Lega A
80.4Avg total
37.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.479.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.538.276.6+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)40.442.182.4-1.741%-
Last 10 (10)37.243.280.4-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.691.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.539.778.2-1.355%-
vs Similar (17)39.640.580.2-0.941%-
vs Weaker (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A30/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A01/04
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/04
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/04
Euroleague
79.1Avg total
41.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.278.0+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.636.580.2+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)39.535.775.2+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.279.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (10)37.737.475.1+0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.836.179.9+7.778%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.5
47.4%
51.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.1
31.4%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
75.8%14.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.6
47.1%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.3
40.4%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.415.4
83.7%
75.8%15.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLLLLLLW
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLWLLWL
#10
League position
#2
-13.5
Net rating
+6.1
102.5
Offensive rating
110.9
116.0
Defensive rating
104.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.4%
3-point %
40.4%
63.3%
Assist %
58.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 110.9Defence116.0 · 104.8Shooting47.3% · 52.1%3-point %31.4% · 40.4%Ball care16.3% · 14.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 23.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21ATrieste88-101
14/04/21HBrindisi62-86
10/04/21AFortitudo Bologna79-77
03/04/21HTreviso89-97
29/03/21AReggiana79-91
20/03/21HVirtus Bologna70-75
14/03/21AVarese68-81
07/03/21ACremona78-100
14/02/21AOlimpia Milano59-87
13/02/21ABrindisi74-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/21HBayern80-69
20/04/21HBayern79-78
17/04/21HVirtus Bologna94-84
14/04/21ASassari85-73
11/04/21ABrindisi71-80
09/04/21HAnadolu Efes98-75
05/04/21HVarese81-83
01/04/21APanathinaikos83-86 OT
30/03/21ACrvena zvezda93-72
28/03/21AVenezia63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeWLLLL46%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%46%36%
Points / game81.180.881.4
Allowed / game83.780.786.4
Point differential-2.6+0.2-5.1
Avg total164.8161.5167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW78%
HomeLWWLW79%
AwayLWLLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%79%77%
Points / game85.889.981.3
Allowed / game74.976.773.0
Point differential+10.9+13.2+8.3
Avg total160.7166.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.874.9+10.9
2 Brindisi2620677%85.277.5+7.7
3 Virtus Bologna2719870%85.776.9+8.8
4 Venezia2718967%81.277.3+4.0
5 Sassari2617965%89.785.8+3.9
6 Treviso27141352%84.988.4-3.5
7 Trieste26121446%80.280.5-0.3
8 Cremona26111542%85.285.7-0.5
9 Trento26111542%77.679.7-2.1
10 Pesaro27111641%81.183.7-2.6
11 Varese27111641%81.986.4-4.5
12 Reggiana26101638%76.080.8-4.8
13 Brescia2791833%80.984.7-3.8
14 Cantu2791833%78.082.3-4.3
15 Fortitudo Bologna2791833%77.782.1-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro3110202081
Olimpia Milano1422262688
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