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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 May 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 92-89
24-22 26-18 22-18 20-31
Position#4
Record23-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#5
Record23-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game77.6
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 77
H05/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
98-75
98
75
+23
95avg 77
H09/04
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
57avg 77
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
87avg 77
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
94-84
94
84
+10
88avg 77
H17/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 77
H20/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
80-69
80
69
+11
69avg 77
H22/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 77
A25/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
64avg 77
A28/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
77avg 77
A30/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
23-21
22-24
18-14
29-19
20-20
29-17
20-19
17-22
18-19
15-18
21-21
19-15
21-18
21-18
24-22
27-18
26-21
17-26
24-19
16-18
11-26
26-20
26-14
26-12
21-17
18-24
15-16
14-31
22-10
26-20
26-20
9-23
26-16
16-25
28-21
19-23
31-17
21-23
11-22
163.0Avg total
83.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.278.1159.3+3.261%
Season at home (19)83.176.5159.6+6.568%
Season away (19)79.479.6159.1-0.253%
Last 10 (10)83.779.3163.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)81.679.6161.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.075.0173.0+23.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.778.0153.7-2.345%
vs Weaker (17)83.375.9159.2+7.459%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#10
W
83-62
83
62
+21
84avg 76
H06/04
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 76
A09/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
78avg 76
H11/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
85avg 76
A13/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 76
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 76
A22/04
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
55avg 76
H25/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 76
H28/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 76
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
102-90
102
90
+12
106avg 76
A02/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
26-10
17-18
22-15
29-22
14-15
17-18
22-17
16-18
22-19
22-31
23-17
33-18
14-18
19-24
23-11
18-16
26-11
20-26
14-26
12-26
17-21
24-18
16-15
21-23
9-29
16-31
16-17
23-9
16-26
25-16
21-28
23-19
17-31
23-21
22-11
25-26
27-18
25-18
25-28
161.8Avg total
81.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)78.377.6155.9+0.861%
Season at home (19)79.875.9155.7+3.979%
Season away (19)76.879.2156.1-2.442%
Last 10 (10)81.880.0161.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)80.686.2166.8-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.783.7158.3-9.067%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.080.4159.4-1.450%
vs Weaker (15)86.576.5163.1+10.073%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/04
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/04
Lega A
Bayern
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A30/04
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
41.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.277.9+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.280.4+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.336.175.4+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.080.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.677.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.837.276.0+1.645%-
vs Weaker (17)43.236.279.4+7.171%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/04
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H11/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/04
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H25/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A02/05
BBL
80.0Avg total
40.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.178.5+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.738.877.5-0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.379.5+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.480.0+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.683.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.745.081.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.238.875.9-1.642%-
vs Weaker (15)41.838.179.9+3.773%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.4
48.8%
52.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.6
41.4%
38.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.917.1
81.8%
79.3%17.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.4
56.6%
52.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.9
33.8%
38.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.517.5
77.8%
79.3%17.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWWWLWL
Bayern
WWWLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#5
+5.8
Net rating
+2.8
114.5
Offensive rating
111.6
108.6
Defensive rating
108.9
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
41.4%
3-point %
33.8%
53.9%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 111.6Defence108.6 · 108.9Shooting53.9% · 54.6%3-point %41.4% · 33.8%Ball care14.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds24.6% · 26.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/21ABayern82-85
28/04/21ABayern79-85
25/04/21APesaro88-81
22/04/21HBayern80-69
20/04/21HBayern79-78
17/04/21HVirtus Bologna94-84
14/04/21ASassari85-73
11/04/21ABrindisi71-80
09/04/21HAnadolu Efes98-75
05/04/21HVarese81-83
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21AGottingen102-90
30/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-82
28/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-79
25/04/21HAlba Berlin62-100
22/04/21AOlimpia Milano69-80
20/04/21AOlimpia Milano78-79
13/04/21ABonn89-71
11/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig83-85
09/04/21ABarcelona82-72
06/04/21HBayreuth83-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeLLWWW68%
AwayLWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %61%68%53%
Points / game81.283.179.4
Allowed / game78.176.579.6
Point differential+3.2+6.5-0.2
Avg total159.3159.6159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)25% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %11%5%16%
Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %61%79%42%
Points / game78.379.876.8
Allowed / game77.675.979.2
Point differential+0.8+3.9-2.4
Avg total155.9155.7156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%26%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (19)78% (9)60% (10)
Overtime %8%16%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow37271073%84.479.0+5.4
2 Barcelona38261268%79.973.7+6.2
3 Anadolu Efes39251464%84.176.6+7.4
4 Olimpia Milano38231561%81.278.1+3.2
5 Bayern38231561%78.377.6+0.8
6 Zenit Petersburg38221658%78.174.8+3.3
7 Real Madrid39221756%79.478.4+1.1
8 Valencia34191556%81.981.2+0.6
9 Fenerbahce37201754%77.879.5-1.7
10 Baskonia34181653%80.977.6+3.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas34171750%77.477.8-0.4
12 Olympiacos34161847%78.679.8-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv34142041%78.479.2-0.9
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%76.780.6-3.9
15 Alba Berlin34122235%78.682.7-4.1
16 Panathinaikos34112332%79.783.7-4.0
17 Crvena zvezda34102429%74.179.7-5.6
18 Khimki M.3443012%77.590.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2426222092
Bayern2218183189
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