PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Barcelona vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#19
Record1-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game89.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2026
Meetings · Barcelona v Olimpia Milano
12 Jan 2027
BAR v MIL
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAR74
MIL72
13 Dec 2024
BAR81
MIL94
15 Dec 2023
BAR86
MIL90
28 Oct 2022
BAR74
MIL56
11 Jan 2022
BAR73
MIL75
28 May 2021
BAR84
MIL82
11 Dec 2020
BAR87
MIL71
23 Nov 2018
BAR90
MIL80
01 Feb 2018
BAR81
MIL83
23 Dec 2016
BAR89
MIL75
28 Nov 2014
BAR84
MIL80
14 Feb 2014
BAR80
MIL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 82
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 82
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 82
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#8
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 82
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
17-17
15-16
11-24
33-17
25-18
26-22
22-22
35-21
181.1Avg total
93.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.687.4177.0+2.373%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (6)88.084.2172.2+3.883%
Last 10 (10)93.188.0181.1+5.190%
Last 5 (5)93.685.4179.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)88.096.8184.8-8.844%
vs Similar (10)91.884.9176.7+6.970%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)95.887.5183.4+8.382%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 82
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 82
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
22-15
15-20
22-23
24-12
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.389.3170.5-8.09%
Season at home (6)85.090.5175.5-5.517%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (16)89.278.9168.1+10.381%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
BarcelonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#8
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H15/11
ACB
86.1Avg total
43.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.685.4+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.442.084.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)43.243.486.6-0.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.686.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.685.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.344.783.0-6.311%-
vs Similar (10)43.942.486.3+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.441.286.5+4.255%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/11
Lega A
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.386.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.783.7-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (16)47.140.887.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.9
58.4%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
77.1%14.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWL
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLLLW
#4
League position
#19
+0.7
Net rating
-1.4
105.6
Offensive rating
100.0
104.9
Defensive rating
101.4
58.8%
Effective FG%
55.5%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.5%
3-point %
36.0%
51.5%
Assist %
66.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 100.0Defence104.9 · 101.4Shooting58.8% · 55.5%3-point %39.5% · 36.0%Ball care15.3% · 16.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Barcelona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Barcelona wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HObradoiro CAB108-83
13/11/26APanathinaikos76-74
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUdine83-70
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game89.691.688.0
Allowed / game87.491.284.2
Point differential+2.3+0.4+3.8
Avg total177.0182.8172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game81.385.076.8
Allowed / game89.390.587.8
Point differential-8.0-5.5-11.0
Avg total170.5175.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.