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Barcelona vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-94
29-16 23-27 18-25 32-26
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#18
Record3-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game86.8
SpainACBRound 20· Palau Blaugrana
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
64avg 80
A29/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 80
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
94avg 80
H05/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
no box
H07/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 80
H10/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 80
H12/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
79avg 80
A14/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 80
A18/01
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
94-61
94
61
+33
96avg 80
A21/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 80
A26/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
21-20
16-20
19-24
21-25
24-22
15-15
23-16
24-23
23-19
15-26
27-17
18-16
16-23
24-28
23-14
27-20
17-21
31-22
11-15
26-12
18-25
24-20
23-16
24-20
15-19
24-25
20-16
13-18
26-24
21-30
14-26
19-16
23-16
25-15
27-14
12-23
16-24
21-10
21-17
164.1Avg total
83.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.179.2165.2+6.968%
Season at home (9)91.379.2170.6+12.189%
Season away (10)81.379.1160.4+2.250%
Last 10 (10)83.380.8164.1+2.570%
Last 5 (5)82.477.2159.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.084.5161.5-7.550%
vs Similar (14)82.982.4165.2+0.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.978.7164.6+7.264%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
66avg 71
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 71
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
63avg 71
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
85-109
85
109
-24
76avg 71
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
71avg 71
A12/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
80-88
80
88
-8
67avg 71
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
129avg 71
H30/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 71
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
83avg 71
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
83avg 71
H20/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
19-19
18-19
18-24
20-25
27-31
17-26
13-19
13-22
23-24
19-32
18-22
20-26
17-29
27-35
21-19
20-14
23-23
25-25
14-32
18-20
22-26
21-20
19-22
24-12
18-19
13-21
23-20
21-21
10-20
18-30
23-15
17-21
17-23
24-19
28-21
17-17
24-22
25-22
22-34
171.3Avg total
79.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.786.8163.5-10.116%
Season at home (10)76.381.6157.9-5.320%
Season away (9)77.192.6169.7-15.411%
Last 10 (10)79.292.1171.3-12.920%
Last 5 (5)80.885.0165.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.186.7162.8-10.713%
vs Similar (6)79.386.7166.0-7.333%
vs Weaker (9)84.269.9154.1+14.378%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
BarcelonaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H05/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H12/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/01
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A26/01
Euroleague
81.1Avg total
39.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.282.3-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.981.8+2.069%-
Last 30 away (14)40.342.682.9-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.381.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.047.588.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (14)41.843.084.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.538.478.9+2.171%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H30/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
ACB
83.0Avg total
38.6Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.178.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.236.676.8+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)35.544.780.2-9.215%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.483.0-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.342.479.7-5.127%-
vs Similar (6)36.043.279.2-7.233%-
vs Weaker (9)41.034.375.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
53.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.7
38.8%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
75.6%12.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.9
49.9%
53.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.917.6
76.9%
75.6%17.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LWLWWWWWWL
Palencia
LWLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#18
-0.1
Net rating
-17.0
111.3
Offensive rating
104.6
111.5
Defensive rating
121.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.8%
3-point %
34.7%
62.2%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 104.6Defence111.5 · 121.6Shooting54.8% · 50.8%3-point %38.8% · 34.7%Ball care18.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds32.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Barcelona   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Barcelona wins
0
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
29/09/23Palencia v Barcelona83-84 OT
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24AOlimpia Milano70-74
21/01/24AGranada94-61
18/01/24AAnadolu Efes74-98
14/01/24ATenerife83-80
12/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas91-73
10/01/24HOlympiacos86-78
07/01/24HObradoiro CAB92-90 OT
05/01/24HBaskonia89-85
03/01/24HReal Madrid83-78
29/12/23AMonaco71-91
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HManresa88-95
13/01/24ABasquet Girona86-84
06/01/24HUnicaja72-86
30/12/23HBilbao78-72
17/12/23HBasket Zaragoza80-88
12/12/23ABaskonia82-94
09/12/23AGranada85-109
03/12/23AGran Canaria73-100
25/11/23HValencia77-101
18/11/23ATenerife71-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%89%50%
Points / game86.191.381.3
Allowed / game79.279.279.1
Point differential+6.9+12.1+2.2
Avg total165.2170.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL16%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %16%20%11%
Points / game76.776.377.1
Allowed / game86.881.692.6
Point differential-10.1-5.3-15.4
Avg total163.5157.9169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2017385%89.578.5+11.0
2 Unicaja1915479%87.377.1+10.3
3 Barcelona1913668%86.179.2+6.9
4 Gran Canaria2013765%84.781.7+3.0
5 Valencia1912763%81.178.6+2.4
6 Baskonia1911858%86.386.1+0.2
7 Murcia2011955%82.079.9+2.1
8 Tenerife2011955%82.880.7+2.1
9 Manresa2011955%84.383.9+0.5
10 Joventut Badalona2011955%81.786.4-4.8
11 Basket Zaragoza2081240%81.782.8-1.2
12 Bilbao2081240%77.880.5-2.6
13 Basquet Girona2081240%81.885.5-3.7
14 MoraBanc Andorra2071335%83.285.1-1.9
15 Obradoiro CAB1961332%81.284.2-3.0
16 Granada2061430%81.085.9-5.0
17 Breogan2061430%74.880.7-5.8
18 Palencia1931616%76.786.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona29231832102
Palencia1627252694
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