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Palencia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 80-88
18-20 22-26 21-20 19-22
Position#18
Record1-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game87.4
Palencia
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza 🏆
Spain
Position#12
Record5-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game84.4
SpainACBRound 14· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 65
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
74-59
74
59
+15
80avg 65
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
46avg 65
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 65
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
58avg 65
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
66avg 65
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 65
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
63avg 65
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
85-109
85
109
-24
76avg 65
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
71avg 65
A12/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
27-34
22-20
20-22
12-17
24-8
24-20
14-14
11-30
14-22
18-15
25-24
23-23
17-15
21-24
15-18
20-21
18-19
18-19
10-17
16-30
19-19
18-19
18-24
20-25
27-31
17-26
13-19
13-22
23-24
19-32
18-22
20-26
17-29
27-35
21-19
20-14
23-23
25-25
14-32
165.7Avg total
76.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.287.4162.6-12.27%
Season at home (6)74.279.2153.3-5.017%
Season away (8)76.093.6169.6-17.60%
Last 10 (10)76.389.4165.7-13.110%
Last 5 (5)77.699.2176.8-21.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.887.3162.1-12.59%
vs Similar (5)78.087.2165.2-9.220%
vs Weaker (14)84.471.9156.4+12.579%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
73avg 75
H04/11
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 75
A12/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
90avg 75
H18/11
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 75
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
L
77-82
77
82
-5
66avg 75
A26/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
75avg 75
H02/12
ACB
Nymburk
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 75
H05/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
95avg 75
H10/12
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
61avg 75
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
15-20
23-16
29-10
25-18
19-12
27-27
20-15
23-22
20-15
15-25
11-14
23-27
19-20
31-28
21-26
18-18
30-16
15-18
8-26
23-16
17-18
17-18
20-30
19-17
15-21
26-13
22-25
25-21
17-20
12-24
28-14
21-18
27-26
33-31
20-24
10-17
17-18
18-10
24-25
160.9Avg total
81.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.184.4167.5-1.338%
Season at home (7)92.485.6178.0+6.971%
Season away (6)72.283.0155.2-10.80%
Last 10 (10)81.379.6160.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)82.281.2163.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.286.1168.2-3.950%
vs Similar (13)80.279.5159.8+0.731%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.076.6161.6+8.480%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
PalenciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/12
ACB
83.4Avg total
38.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.078.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.734.975.6+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)37.343.781.0-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.883.4-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.648.688.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.843.580.4-6.718%-
vs Similar (5)36.443.079.4-6.640%-
vs Weaker (14)41.934.175.9+7.879%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H04/11
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H18/11
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H02/12
ACB
Nymburk
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/12
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
77.0Avg total
39.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.677.5+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.479.5+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)36.338.975.1-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.777.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.140.780.8-0.658%-
vs Similar (13)36.236.872.9-0.646%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.038.481.4+4.680%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.2
53.8%
53.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
75.6%14.2
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.1
55.4%
53.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.416.1
68.8%
75.6%16.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LLLLLLLLWL
Basket Zaragoza
LWWWLLLLWW
#18
League position
#12
-18.6
Net rating
+3.9
103.8
Offensive rating
105.6
122.4
Defensive rating
101.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.8%
3-point %
32.3%
57.5%
Assist %
57.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 105.6Defence122.4 · 101.7Shooting51.7% · 52.9%3-point %32.8% · 32.3%Ball care20.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Palencia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
0
Basket Zaragoza wins
No previous meetings.
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23ABaskonia82-94
09/12/23AGranada85-109
03/12/23AGran Canaria73-100
25/11/23HValencia77-101
18/11/23ATenerife71-92
11/11/23HMurcia66-76
04/11/23HBasquet Girona76-80
29/10/23AReal Madrid68-91
21/10/23HBreogan74-59
15/10/23AManresa91-92
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23AGravelines-Dunkerque69-70
10/12/23HBarcelona101-99
05/12/23HNymburk82-79
02/12/23HMurcia82-76
26/11/23ABreogan77-82
21/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-78
18/11/23HGran Canaria94-101
12/11/23AValencia69-76
08/11/23HBrindisi91-72
04/11/23HBilbao77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %7%17%0%
Points / game75.274.276.0
Allowed / game87.479.293.6
Point differential-12.2-5.0-17.6
Avg total162.6153.3169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%71%0%
Points / game83.192.472.2
Allowed / game84.485.683.0
Point differential-1.3+6.9-10.8
Avg total167.5178.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1413193%91.077.5+13.5
2 Unicaja1411379%88.178.1+9.9
3 Valencia139469%81.077.5+3.5
4 Barcelona149564%86.680.0+6.6
5 Murcia138562%85.179.4+5.7
6 Baskonia148657%85.885.2+0.6
7 Gran Canaria148657%82.584.3-1.8
8 Basquet Girona137654%84.487.2-2.8
9 Joventut Badalona137654%81.086.5-5.5
10 Manresa158753%84.784.6+0.1
11 Tenerife147750%83.583.1+0.4
12 Basket Zaragoza135838%83.184.4-1.3
13 Obradoiro CAB145936%80.382.8-2.5
14 Bilbao145936%77.681.3-3.6
15 MoraBanc Andorra134931%82.284.7-2.5
16 Breogan134931%73.079.2-6.2
17 Granada1441029%85.187.9-2.7
18 Palencia141137%75.287.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1822211980
Basket Zaragoza2026202288
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