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Baskonia vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-82
14-20 23-23 25-25 32-14
Position#8
Record7-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#18
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game86.9
SpainACBRound 15· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
94-71
94
71
+23
95avg 67
H15/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
88avg 67
A17/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 67
H19/11
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 67
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 67
H26/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
98-84
98
84
+14
101avg 67
A01/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 67
A03/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
70avg 67
H06/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
87-85
87
85
+2
84avg 67
H08/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
104-100
104
100
+4
108avg 67
H10/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
29-11
15-24
24-18
20-30
22-19
31-16
15-16
15-19
21-18
26-20
21-17
19-16
17-19
23-27
16-15
29-12
22-29
18-19
25-26
20-21
24-31
23-18
31-14
22-19
16-18
16-24
18-16
10-18
28-19
19-18
23-24
26-18
26-25
15-19
20-23
22-25
34-19
22-29
26-27
168.9Avg total
87.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.285.5170.6-0.354%
Season at home (6)88.885.5174.3+3.367%
Season away (7)82.085.4167.4-3.443%
Last 10 (10)87.581.4168.9+6.180%
Last 5 (5)88.285.0173.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.881.8163.7+0.050%
vs Similar (16)84.486.0170.4-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.982.0165.9+1.962%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 64
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 64
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
74-59
74
59
+15
80avg 64
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
46avg 64
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 64
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
58avg 64
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
66avg 64
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 64
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
63avg 64
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
85-109
85
109
-24
76avg 64
A09/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
12-21
19-25
21-15
22-16
27-34
22-20
20-22
12-17
24-8
24-20
14-14
11-30
14-22
18-15
25-24
23-23
17-15
21-24
15-18
20-21
18-19
18-19
10-17
16-30
19-19
18-19
18-24
20-25
27-31
17-26
13-19
13-22
23-24
19-32
18-22
20-26
17-29
27-35
21-19
162.5Avg total
75.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.786.9161.6-12.28%
Season at home (6)74.279.2153.3-5.017%
Season away (7)75.193.6168.7-18.40%
Last 10 (10)75.087.5162.5-12.510%
Last 5 (5)74.495.6170.0-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.186.6160.7-12.510%
vs Similar (5)78.087.2165.2-9.220%
vs Weaker (15)84.572.1156.5+12.480%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
BaskoniaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H15/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/11
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H26/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A01/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/12
ACB
85.2Avg total
44.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.883.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.640.684.2+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.182.1+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.485.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.688.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.239.385.5+6.867%-
vs Similar (16)40.841.181.8-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.041.484.4+1.662%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A09/12
ACB
81.8Avg total
37.2Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.078.1+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.835.175.8+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)36.844.281.1-7.423%-
Last 10 (10)37.244.681.8-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.649.287.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.244.280.4-8.010%-
vs Similar (5)36.443.079.4-6.640%-
vs Weaker (15)41.934.376.1+7.680%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.217.2
57.0%
53.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.8
41.8%
34.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws17.814.1
79.2%
75.6%14.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.7
54.2%
53.0%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.7
32.3%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
75.6%14.7
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWLWWLWWW
Palencia
LLLLLLLWLL
#8
League position
#18
+9.7
Net rating
-17.4
121.6
Offensive rating
103.4
112.0
Defensive rating
120.9
59.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
41.8%
3-point %
32.3%
63.7%
Assist %
56.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence121.6 · 103.4Defence112.0 · 120.9Shooting59.9% · 51.6%3-point %41.8% · 32.3%Ball care17.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Baskonia   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Baskonia wins
0
Palencia wins
No previous meetings.
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HTenerife104-100
08/12/23HCrvena zvezda87-85
06/12/23HFenerbahce80-79
03/12/23AJoventut Badalona72-77
01/12/23AValencia98-84
26/11/23HManresa94-86
24/11/23HMonaco75-77
19/11/23HValencia83-74
17/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne88-81
15/11/23HBarcelona94-71
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AGranada85-109
03/12/23AGran Canaria73-100
25/11/23HValencia77-101
18/11/23ATenerife71-92
11/11/23HMurcia66-76
04/11/23HBasquet Girona76-80
29/10/23AReal Madrid68-91
21/10/23HBreogan74-59
15/10/23AManresa91-92
07/10/23HJoventut Badalona69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game85.288.882.0
Allowed / game85.585.585.4
Point differential-0.3+3.3-3.4
Avg total170.6174.3167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game74.774.275.1
Allowed / game86.979.293.6
Point differential-12.2-5.0-18.4
Avg total161.6153.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%91.577.8+13.7
2 Unicaja1310377%87.878.8+9.0
3 Barcelona139469%87.079.8+7.2
4 Valencia139469%81.077.5+3.5
5 Murcia138562%85.179.4+5.7
6 Manresa137654%85.885.5+0.3
7 Baskonia137654%85.285.5-0.3
8 Gran Canaria137654%82.585.0-2.5
9 Basquet Girona137654%84.487.2-2.8
10 Joventut Badalona137654%81.086.5-5.5
11 Tenerife136746%84.183.8+0.2
12 Basket Zaragoza135838%83.184.4-1.3
13 Obradoiro CAB135838%80.882.6-1.8
14 Bilbao135838%77.881.2-3.3
15 Granada134931%86.387.5-1.2
16 MoraBanc Andorra134931%82.284.7-2.5
17 Breogan134931%73.079.2-6.2
18 Palencia131128%74.786.9-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1423253294
Palencia2023251482
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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