PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Basket Napoli vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-97
14-24 28-30 20-25 28-18
Position#7
Record12-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record16-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game76.9
ItalyLega ARound 25· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Venezia
01 Nov 2026
NAP99
VEN81
08 Feb 2026
NAP64
VEN79
03 Nov 2024
NAP80
VEN81
30 Mar 2024
NAP90
VEN97
16 Apr 2023
NAP91
VEN93
19 Feb 2022
NAP76
VEN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
79avg 77
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 77
H03/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 77
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 77
A15/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#3
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 77
A18/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#13
W
95-81
95
81
+14
93avg 77
H03/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
72-97
72
97
-25
56avg 77
A10/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
no box
H16/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 77
A24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
24-22
26-24
15-22
12-30
16-24
25-17
30-33
18-20
18-26
29-19
18-25
19-11
15-19
27-16
19-28
14-24
25-17
14-17
20-15
24-19
19-17
17-17
17-19
18-26
19-18
30-24
28-13
11-21
22-23
17-34
22-19
18-21
23-17
20-21
18-20
22-28
20-15
26-21
16-22
172.1Avg total
84.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.985.0170.9+0.850%
Season at home (11)86.583.0169.5+3.564%
Season away (13)85.486.8172.2-1.438%
Last 10 (10)84.387.8172.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)84.286.2170.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.883.5163.2-3.838%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.086.4174.4+1.656%
vs Weaker (5)89.475.6165.0+13.8100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Prometey
#7
W
108-92
108
92
+16
108avg 76
H30/01
Eurocup
Reggiana
#5
L
60-77
60
77
-17
54avg 76
A03/02
Lega A
Hamburg
#19
W
90-83
90
83
+7
88avg 76
A06/02
Eurocup
Pistoia
#10
W
96-69
96
69
+27
96avg 76
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
38avg 76
H14/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
72avg 76
A17/02
Italian Cup
Scafati
#14
W
95-66
95
66
+29
92avg 76
A03/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
67avg 76
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 76
H17/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
81avg 76
A24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
27-29
38-14
25-21
16-17
14-21
14-22
16-17
21-20
25-15
15-28
29-20
27-12
24-10
27-21
18-26
19-16
17-18
25-16
25-21
20-31
17-29
21-14
19-26
21-16
24-17
30-18
20-15
18-17
18-25
24-15
11-21
27-21
15-19
23-9
13-23
20-24
22-18
30-17
18-33
165.1Avg total
85.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.376.9159.2+5.467%
Season at home (12)84.572.6157.1+11.983%
Season away (12)80.181.2161.3-1.250%
Last 10 (10)85.180.0165.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)82.281.6163.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.791.7173.3-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.485.1168.5-1.736%
vs Weaker (12)86.577.3163.8+9.275%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
Basket NapoliVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H03/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A15/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H03/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H16/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/03
Lega A
81.2Avg total
38.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.682.0-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.640.579.1-1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)41.742.584.2-0.835%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.181.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.142.980.0-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.343.384.6-2.038%-
vs Weaker (5)43.836.480.2+7.460%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H30/01
Eurocup
Reggiana
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A03/02
Lega A
Hamburg
#19
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A06/02
Eurocup
Pistoia
#10
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H14/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A17/02
Italian Cup
Scafati
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A03/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H17/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A24/03
Lega A
81.3Avg total
41.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.883.3+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.338.282.5+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.943.184.0-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.381.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.483.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.046.588.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.242.583.7-1.445%-
vs Weaker (12)44.536.981.4+7.675%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.9
52.2%
53.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.0
32.1%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.3%16.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.9
57.8%
53.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.3
35.8%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
76.3%16.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LLLWWWWLLL
Venezia
LWLWLWWWLW
#7
League position
#4
-3.7
Net rating
+6.7
106.5
Offensive rating
112.5
110.2
Defensive rating
105.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
56.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.1%
3-point %
35.8%
60.2%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 112.5Defence110.2 · 105.9Shooting50.2% · 56.0%3-point %32.1% · 35.8%Ball care14.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds22.5% · 28.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Napoli wins
4
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Venezia v Basket Napoli81-89
16/04/23Basket Napoli v Venezia91-93
06/11/22Venezia v Basket Napoli82-71
19/02/22Basket Napoli v Venezia76-81
05/01/22Venezia v Basket Napoli79-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AOlimpia Milano84-86
16/03/24HPistoia93-95 OT
10/03/24ATortona72-97
03/03/24HTreviso95-81
18/02/24AOlimpia Milano77-72
17/02/24AReggiana87-78 OT
15/02/24ABrescia80-74
11/02/24ACremona83-90
03/02/24HBrescia83-104
28/01/24AVirtus Bologna89-101
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ACremona90-92
17/03/24HOlimpia Milano78-72
10/03/24HSassari71-78
03/03/24AScafati95-66
17/02/24AOlimpia Milano77-100
14/02/24HPistoia86-71
11/02/24HPistoia96-69
06/02/24AHamburg90-83
03/02/24AReggiana60-77
30/01/24HPrometey108-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %50%64%38%
Points / game85.986.585.4
Allowed / game85.083.086.8
Point differential+0.8+3.5-1.4
Avg total170.9169.5172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeLWWLW83%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game82.384.580.1
Allowed / game76.972.681.2
Point differential+5.4+11.9-1.2
Avg total159.2157.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2417771%88.276.6+11.6
2 Brescia2417771%88.077.9+10.1
3 Olimpia Milano2416867%79.373.6+5.7
4 Venezia2416867%82.376.9+5.4
5 Reggiana24141058%81.580.5+0.9
6 Tortona25131252%80.879.0+1.8
7 Basket Napoli24121250%85.985.0+0.8
8 Trento24121250%83.483.3+0.0
9 Pistoia24121250%78.982.4-3.5
10 Scafati24111346%83.186.8-3.8
11 Sassari24111346%77.882.5-4.7
12 Cremona25101540%80.479.7+0.8
13 Treviso25101540%80.284.0-3.8
14 Varese2491538%84.290.0-5.8
15 Brindisi2471729%74.681.9-7.3
16 Pesaro2571828%79.487.3-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli1428202890
Venezia2430251897
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.