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Brescia vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 74-80
11-19 19-15 16-27 28-19
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Brescia
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals· Pala Alpitour
Other2024
Meetings · Brescia v Basket Napoli
04 Apr 2026
BRE100
NAP85
15 Dec 2024
BRE97
NAP84
15 Feb 2024
BRE74
NAP80
15 Oct 2023
BRE80
NAP71
04 Dec 2022
BRE95
NAP72
17 Oct 2021
BRE98
NAP88
11 Sep 2021
BRE77
NAP87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#227
L
59-91
59
91
-32
no box
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
47-85
47
85
-38
no box
A21/12
NCAA
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
61avg 75
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-64
72
64
+8
1avg 75
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 75
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 75
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
95avg 75
A20/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
109-90
109
90
+19
107avg 75
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
104avg 75
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 75
H11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-50
0-0
37-41
0-0
23-47
0-0
24-38
22-18
21-20
13-21
15-27
15-18
18-14
19-16
20-16
21-19
19-22
23-26
16-21
18-23
18-17
33-9
19-18
25-17
27-15
25-15
16-22
27-13
29-32
18-26
35-19
30-12
24-16
17-25
33-30
29-10
24-17
14-9
19-27
159.4Avg total
80.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.878.6159.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)96.074.4170.4+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.890.8146.6-35.00%
vs Similar (6)76.576.8153.3-0.350%
vs Weaker (18)89.975.2165.2+14.783%
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
89avg 76
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 76
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
82avg 76
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
90avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
67avg 76
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
79avg 76
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 76
H03/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 76
A11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
26-19
25-25
18-14
16-25
25-21
19-21
25-24
18-20
21-35
24-25
31-21
16-15
16-20
31-18
18-23
29-21
17-26
22-20
21-14
22-22
25-11
22-16
24-26
18-22
21-20
19-12
22-23
24-33
24-22
26-24
15-22
12-30
16-24
25-17
30-33
18-20
18-26
29-19
18-25
174.9Avg total
86.4Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.488.5174.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)85.689.4175.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.285.5165.6-5.327%
vs Similar (15)86.584.6171.1+1.960%
vs Weaker (4)90.075.0165.0+15.0100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
BresciaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#227
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A21/12
NCAA
Venezia
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A20/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H11/02
Lega A
79.2Avg total
41.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.135.481.5+10.785%-
Last 30 away (17)38.540.779.2-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.079.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)50.234.484.6+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.847.875.6-20.00%-
vs Similar (6)38.739.378.0-0.750%-
vs Weaker (18)46.636.182.7+10.478%-
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H03/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A11/02
Lega A
86.3Avg total
40.0Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.182.6-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.641.481.0-1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)41.342.884.1-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.046.386.3-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.085.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.143.481.5-5.327%-
vs Similar (15)41.143.084.1-1.940%-
vs Weaker (4)45.035.280.2+9.875%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.6
56.2%
48.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
31.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.013.5
79.4%
74.2%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
48.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.3
33.1%
31.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.916.7
79.9%
74.2%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWWWWLWLLL
Basket Napoli
LLLWWWWLLL
#5
League position
#1
+19.9
Net rating
-2.2
114.5
Offensive rating
109.6
94.6
Defensive rating
111.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.0%
3-point %
33.1%
57.5%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 109.6Defence94.6 · 111.8Shooting55.3% · 53.1%3-point %36.0% · 33.1%Ball care15.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.2% · 23.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Brescia   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
1
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Basket Napoli v Brescia83-104
15/10/23Brescia v Basket Napoli80-71
01/04/23Basket Napoli v Brescia69-72
04/12/22Brescia v Basket Napoli95-72
09/04/22Basket Napoli v Brescia68-70
17/10/21Brescia v Basket Napoli98-88
13/09/21Basket Napoli v Brescia74-81
11/09/21Brescia v Basket Napoli77-87
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HReggiana86-63
03/02/24ABasket Napoli104-83
28/01/24HPistoia109-90
20/01/24ATrento93-69
14/01/24HTreviso88-67
07/01/24ABrindisi79-88
30/12/23HOlimpia Milano72-64
23/12/23AVenezia71-86
21/12/23AWestern Carolina47-85
20/12/23AKennesaw State59-91
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ACremona83-90
03/02/24HBrescia83-104
28/01/24AVirtus Bologna89-101
21/01/24ABrindisi80-77
14/01/24HPesaro93-75
07/01/24AVenezia89-81
30/12/23HTortona81-76
23/12/23ATrento94-101
17/12/23AScafati85-91
10/12/23HReggiana87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Italian Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Basket Napoli
Italian Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano110100%80.057.0+23.0
2 Venezia110100%86.071.0+15.0
3 Reggiana110100%81.072.0+9.0
4 Virtus Bologna1010%72.081.0-9.0
5 Pistoia1010%71.086.0-15.0
6 Trento1010%57.080.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1119162874
Basket Napoli1915271980
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