PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Bologna vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 101-89
33-24 22-24 24-26 22-15
Position#2
Record12-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#7
Record11-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.6
ItalyLega ARound 18· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli
11 Apr 2027
VIR v NAP
upcoming
06 Oct 2025
VIR105
NAP88
12 Jan 2025
VIR86
NAP75
28 Jan 2024
VIR101
NAP89
08 Apr 2023
VIR81
NAP89
06 Mar 2022
VIR86
NAP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
90avg 80
H30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
75avg 80
H03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
83-68
83
68
+15
76avg 80
A05/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
59avg 80
A07/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
78-95
78
95
-17
71avg 80
A10/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
75-99
75
99
-24
72avg 80
A12/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
103-76
103
76
+27
108avg 80
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
66avg 80
H18/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
69avg 80
A21/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 80
A25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
26-13
17-16
25-18
22-24
20-22
23-23
20-14
26-9
22-18
15-24
20-17
16-17
13-18
24-14
13-23
21-18
24-28
15-24
18-25
15-26
14-24
25-23
21-26
35-19
23-17
20-17
25-23
19-10
8-22
18-22
28-9
27-20
20-20
17-16
17-13
25-21
22-31
9-19
19-17
158.1Avg total
80.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.976.1163.1+10.871%
Season at home (8)92.975.0167.9+17.988%
Season away (9)81.777.1158.8+4.656%
Last 10 (10)80.277.9158.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)81.479.0160.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.883.2160.0-6.350%
vs Similar (13)82.582.5165.1+0.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.475.4160.7+10.064%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 76
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 76
H26/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 76
A02/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
89avg 76
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 76
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
82avg 76
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
90avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
67avg 76
A21/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
18-19
14-28
23-15
12-18
23-16
14-15
31-21
21-19
19-20
18-14
18-28
18-31
26-19
25-25
18-14
16-25
25-21
19-21
25-24
18-20
21-35
24-25
31-21
16-15
16-20
31-18
18-23
29-21
17-26
22-20
21-14
22-22
25-11
22-16
24-26
18-22
21-20
19-12
22-23
166.1Avg total
84.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.081.6167.6+4.465%
Season at home (8)85.079.1164.1+5.975%
Season away (9)86.983.8170.7+3.156%
Last 10 (10)84.481.7166.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)87.482.0169.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.383.6163.9-3.330%
vs Similar (16)85.483.3168.8+2.162%
vs Weaker (4)90.075.0165.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
Virtus BolognaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A05/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A12/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H18/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A25/01
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
41.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.183.0+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.382.1+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)41.941.983.8+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.680.9+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.083.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.846.585.3-7.717%-
vs Similar (13)42.143.185.2-1.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.435.979.3+7.564%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H26/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/01
Lega A
81.9Avg total
40.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.382.1-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.0+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.541.782.2-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.481.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.542.482.9-1.940%-
vs Similar (16)40.042.182.1-2.138%-
vs Weaker (4)45.035.280.2+9.875%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.4
48.1%
53.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.5
40.1%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.712.7
67.9%
76.3%12.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.8
52.0%
53.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.2
37.1%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.915.0
79.4%
76.3%15.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWWWLLLWWW
Basket Napoli
WWWWLLLLWW
#2
League position
#7
+1.8
Net rating
+4.0
108.5
Offensive rating
108.7
106.7
Defensive rating
104.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.1%
3-point %
37.1%
68.1%
Assist %
56.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 108.7Defence106.7 · 104.7Shooting53.1% · 53.7%3-point %40.1% · 37.1%Ball care17.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds30.0% · 24.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24AFenerbahce75-88
21/01/24AVarese81-69
18/01/24HLyon-Villeurbanne73-63
15/01/24HBrindisi103-76
12/01/24AAnadolu Efes75-99
10/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
07/01/24AReggiana66-72
05/01/24AAlba Berlin83-68
03/01/24HBayern85-83
30/12/23HPesaro83-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ABrindisi80-77
14/01/24HPesaro93-75
07/01/24AVenezia89-81
30/12/23HTortona81-76
23/12/23ATrento94-101
17/12/23AScafati85-91
10/12/23HReggiana87-89
02/12/23APistoia76-81
26/11/23HCremona80-70
19/11/23ATreviso79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%88%56%
Points / game86.992.981.7
Allowed / game76.175.077.1
Point differential+10.8+17.9+4.6
Avg total163.1167.9158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%88%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game86.085.086.9
Allowed / game81.679.183.8
Point differential+4.4+5.9+3.1
Avg total167.6164.1170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1814478%87.675.6+12.1
2 Venezia1813572%82.577.3+5.2
3 Virtus Bologna1712571%86.976.1+10.8
4 Olimpia Milano1812667%79.473.9+5.5
5 Basket Napoli1711665%86.081.6+4.4
6 Reggiana1710759%83.082.3+0.7
7 Scafati189950%85.086.1-1.1
8 Trento189950%82.083.7-1.7
9 Pistoia189950%78.782.7-4.0
10 Cremona178947%81.078.4+2.6
11 Tortona1771041%78.080.2-2.2
12 Sassari1871139%75.881.8-6.0
13 Varese1761135%85.690.5-4.9
14 Treviso1851328%80.784.3-3.7
15 Pesaro1851328%78.086.1-8.1
16 Brindisi1841422%74.183.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna33222422101
Basket Napoli2424261589
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.