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Olimpia Milano vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 72-77
19-24 17-19 17-17 19-17
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game67.0
Olimpia Milano
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game76.0
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Final· Pala Alpitour
Other2024
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli
17 Jan 2027
MIL v NAP
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
MIL125
NAP97
26 Oct 2024
MIL89
NAP82
24 Mar 2024
MIL86
NAP84
18 Feb 2024
MIL72
NAP77
19 Apr 2023
MIL88
NAP76
16 Apr 2022
MIL90
NAP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
85-65
85
65
+20
79avg 77
A21/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 77
H26/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
78avg 77
H28/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
48avg 77
A31/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
69avg 77
A02/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 77
A04/02
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 77
H08/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
69-55
69
55
+14
70avg 77
H11/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
80-57
80
57
+23
76avg 77
H14/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
100-77
100
77
+23
94avg 77
H17/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-13
26-16
19-17
23-12
24-16
10-21
17-21
19-20
24-23
24-10
13-12
16-21
12-23
13-13
21-22
15-15
28-19
7-30
23-15
21-24
20-9
16-23
21-16
23-19
25-10
18-25
15-22
13-14
23-11
19-17
14-13
20-17
19-6
26-12
15-22
31-20
29-17
14-21
26-19
147.7Avg total
78.2Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.067.0157.0+23.0100%
Season at home (2)90.067.0157.0+23.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.269.5147.7+8.780%
Last 5 (5)81.667.4149.0+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.377.0147.3-6.733%
vs Similar (13)74.377.8152.1-3.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.971.0151.9+9.985%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
82avg 76
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
90avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
67avg 76
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
79avg 76
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 76
H03/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 76
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 76
A15/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#3
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
21-35
24-25
31-21
16-15
16-20
31-18
18-23
29-21
17-26
22-20
21-14
22-22
25-11
22-16
24-26
18-22
21-20
19-12
22-23
24-33
24-22
26-24
15-22
12-30
16-24
25-17
30-33
18-20
18-26
29-19
18-25
19-11
15-19
27-16
19-28
14-24
25-17
14-17
20-15
171.6Avg total
85.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.576.0159.5+7.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)83.576.0159.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.985.7171.6+0.260%
Last 5 (5)84.489.4173.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.284.4164.6-4.230%
vs Similar (14)88.284.9173.1+3.364%
vs Weaker (5)89.475.6165.0+13.8100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Olimpia MilanoBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H26/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H28/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A31/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A02/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A04/02
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H08/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H11/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H14/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H17/02
Italian Cup
75.3Avg total
42.5Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.876.3+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.034.376.3+7.776%-
Last 30 away (13)38.537.876.3+0.646%-
Last 10 (10)42.532.875.3+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.829.474.2+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.038.077.0+1.033%-
vs Similar (13)40.136.977.0+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.335.276.5+6.169%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H03/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A15/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/02
Italian Cup
82.6Avg total
38.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.782.2-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.841.280.0-2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)41.842.083.8-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.882.6-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.282.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.843.480.2-6.620%-
vs Similar (14)42.443.185.6-0.743%-
vs Weaker (5)43.836.480.2+7.460%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
48.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.6
32.5%
31.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
74.2%13.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.5
54.1%
48.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.7
33.2%
31.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
74.2%15.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWLLWWW
Basket Napoli
WWLLLWWWWL
#2
League position
#1
+12.9
Net rating
-1.8
108.6
Offensive rating
108.4
95.8
Defensive rating
110.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.5%
3-point %
33.2%
59.3%
Assist %
58.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 108.4Defence95.8 · 110.2Shooting50.6% · 52.0%3-point %32.5% · 33.2%Ball care15.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds30.3% · 22.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano77-68
19/04/23Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli88-76
08/01/23Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano87-81 OT
16/04/22Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli90-67
25/09/21Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano63-73
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HVenezia100-77
14/02/24HTrento80-57
11/02/24HBrindisi69-55
08/02/24HReal Madrid81-76
04/02/24APistoia78-72
02/02/24AAnadolu Efes73-79
31/01/24APanathinaikos62-79
28/01/24HSassari80-65
26/01/24HBarcelona74-70
21/01/24APesaro85-65
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AReggiana87-78 OT
15/02/24ABrescia80-74
11/02/24ACremona83-90
03/02/24HBrescia83-104
28/01/24AVirtus Bologna89-101
21/01/24ABrindisi80-77
14/01/24HPesaro93-75
07/01/24AVenezia89-81
30/12/23HTortona81-76
23/12/23ATrento94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Italian Cup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+23.0+23.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Basket Napoli
Italian Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game83.5-83.5
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential+7.5-+7.5
Avg total159.5-159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%-50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano220100%90.067.0+23.0
2 Basket Napoli220100%83.576.0+7.5
3 Reggiana21150%79.579.5+0.0
4 Venezia21150%81.585.5-4.0
5 Brescia1010%74.080.0-6.0
6 Virtus Bologna1010%72.081.0-9.0
7 Pistoia1010%71.086.0-15.0
8 Trento1010%57.080.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1917171972
Basket Napoli2419171777
← all games of the day
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