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Cremona vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 90-83
20-18 26-18 19-29 25-18
Position#11
Record8-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.0
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#7
Record11-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.8
ItalyLega ARound 20· PalaRadi
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Cremona v Basket Napoli
29 Mar 2026
CRE88
NAP81
08 Mar 2025
CRE94
NAP85
11 Feb 2024
CRE90
NAP83
09 Mar 2022
CRE96
NAP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
75-68
75
68
+7
72avg 74
A03/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 74
H10/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 74
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
51-74
51
74
-23
38avg 74
A24/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
75-58
75
58
+17
76avg 74
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
51avg 74
A07/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
99-80
99
80
+19
101avg 74
H13/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 74
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 74
A04/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
12-16
26-22
19-14
13-24
26-7
13-21
18-24
18-18
22-13
22-22
21-14
11-16
11-16
25-22
4-20
18-13
22-12
15-22
20-11
17-14
15-20
20-13
8-17
26-21
27-16
23-21
23-22
18-24
13-16
15-17
25-21
12-19
23-20
22-26
25-18
15-17
17-22
26-20
22-27
148.0Avg total
74.6Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.079.0160.0+2.042%
Season at home (9)86.176.1162.2+10.067%
Season away (10)76.481.6158.0-5.220%
Last 10 (10)74.673.4148.0+1.240%
Last 5 (5)78.478.2156.6+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.080.3153.3-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.977.9158.8+2.950%
vs Weaker (13)83.174.4157.5+8.769%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 76
A02/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
89avg 76
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 76
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
82avg 76
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
90avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
67avg 76
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
79avg 76
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 76
H03/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-20
18-14
18-28
18-31
26-19
25-25
18-14
16-25
25-21
19-21
25-24
18-20
21-35
24-25
31-21
16-15
16-20
31-18
18-23
29-21
17-26
22-20
21-14
22-22
25-11
22-16
24-26
18-22
21-20
19-12
22-23
24-33
24-22
26-24
15-22
12-30
16-24
25-17
30-33
173.3Avg total
85.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.083.8169.8+2.258%
Season at home (9)84.881.9166.7+2.967%
Season away (10)87.185.5172.6+1.650%
Last 10 (10)85.787.6173.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)86.887.6174.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.286.8168.0-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.784.2170.9+2.564%
vs Weaker (4)90.075.0165.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
CremonaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A24/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H13/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/02
Lega A
69.4Avg total
35.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.275.2+0.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.835.877.6+6.060%-
Last 30 away (15)34.138.672.7-4.513%-
Last 10 (10)35.434.069.4+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.874.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.370.7-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.638.677.2-0.121%-
vs Weaker (13)38.235.874.0+2.354%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A17/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A23/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H03/02
Lega A
86.0Avg total
40.4Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.483.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.142.383.5-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.584.2-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.686.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.287.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.144.484.5-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.542.884.3-1.343%-
vs Weaker (4)45.035.280.2+9.875%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.2
53.1%
53.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.9
33.6%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws12.39.6
78.0%
76.3%9.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.2
33.1%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.116.5
78.2%
76.3%16.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLLWLWLWLW
Basket Napoli
LLWWWWLLLL
#11
League position
#7
+1.3
Net rating
-1.9
106.4
Offensive rating
110.0
105.1
Defensive rating
111.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
33.1%
61.6%
Assist %
57.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 110.0Defence105.1 · 111.9Shooting51.8% · 52.6%3-point %33.6% · 33.1%Ball care16.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.7% · 25.4%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cremona   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cremona wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Basket Napoli v Cremona80-70
09/03/22Cremona v Basket Napoli96-93 OT
05/12/21Basket Napoli v Cremona91-88
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ASassari80-86
28/01/24HVarese82-83
21/01/24AReggiana71-78
13/01/24HTrento99-80
07/01/24APistoia60-64
30/12/23HBrindisi75-58
24/12/23AOlimpia Milano51-74
17/12/23HTortona83-67
10/12/23HTreviso70-76
03/12/23AVarese75-68
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HBrescia83-104
28/01/24AVirtus Bologna89-101
21/01/24ABrindisi80-77
14/01/24HPesaro93-75
07/01/24AVenezia89-81
30/12/23HTortona81-76
23/12/23ATrento94-101
17/12/23AScafati85-91
10/12/23HReggiana87-89
02/12/23APistoia76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%67%20%
Points / game81.086.176.4
Allowed / game79.076.181.6
Point differential+2.0+10.0-5.2
Avg total160.0162.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%67%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game86.084.887.1
Allowed / game83.881.985.5
Point differential+2.2+2.9+1.6
Avg total169.8166.7172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1915479%88.575.9+12.5
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%88.476.0+12.4
3 Olimpia Milano2014670%78.872.8+6.0
4 Venezia2014670%82.076.9+5.2
5 Basket Napoli1911858%86.083.8+2.2
6 Reggiana1911858%81.781.7+0.0
7 Scafati1910953%84.985.8-0.9
8 Tortona20101050%79.278.3+0.8
9 Trento20101050%82.483.8-1.4
10 Pistoia2091145%77.983.2-5.2
11 Cremona1981142%81.079.0+2.0
12 Sassari2081240%75.781.6-6.0
13 Varese1971237%85.490.0-4.6
14 Treviso2061430%79.985.0-5.1
15 Pesaro1951426%78.285.9-7.7
16 Brindisi2041620%73.382.5-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2026192590
Basket Napoli1818291883
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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