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Basket Napoli vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 93-95 (OT)
18-21 23-17 20-21 18-20 14-16
Position#7
Record12-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record11-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.9
ItalyLega ARound 23· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Pistoia
02 Mar 2025
NAP70
PIS74
16 Mar 2024
NAP93
PIS95
25 May 2021
NAP80
PIS70
23 May 2021
NAP92
PIS78
10 Feb 2021
NAP79
PIS64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
90avg 77
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
67avg 77
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
79avg 77
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 77
H03/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 77
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 77
A15/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#3
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 77
A18/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#13
W
95-81
95
81
+14
93avg 77
H03/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
72-97
72
97
-25
56avg 77
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-11
22-16
24-26
18-22
21-20
19-12
22-23
24-33
24-22
26-24
15-22
12-30
16-24
25-17
30-33
18-20
18-26
29-19
18-25
19-11
15-19
27-16
19-28
14-24
25-17
14-17
20-15
24-19
19-17
17-17
17-19
18-26
19-18
30-24
28-13
11-21
22-23
17-34
22-19
168.8Avg total
83.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.684.5170.2+1.155%
Season at home (10)85.881.8167.6+4.070%
Season away (12)85.586.8172.3-1.342%
Last 10 (10)83.984.9168.8-1.060%
Last 5 (5)82.280.4162.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.184.8164.9-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.785.9173.5+1.860%
vs Weaker (5)89.475.6165.0+13.8100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 67
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
64-60
64
60
+4
58avg 67
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-107
69
107
-38
57avg 67
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 67
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 67
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 67
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 67
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
4avg 67
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
75avg 67
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 67
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-23
21-18
24-26
14-17
20-15
13-20
17-8
12-32
16-30
14-27
27-18
10-21
21-22
20-11
27-17
13-27
32-29
26-18
19-35
24-21
9-20
23-16
16-21
12-27
10-24
21-27
26-18
16-19
18-17
16-25
21-25
23-17
22-13
12-24
27-17
18-17
21-11
17-19
18-20
159.1Avg total
76.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.081.9159.9-3.950%
Season at home (11)74.574.8149.4-0.355%
Season away (11)81.588.9170.4-7.545%
Last 10 (10)76.083.1159.1-7.150%
Last 5 (5)74.079.6153.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.782.8161.5-4.155%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.275.8151.1-0.661%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
Basket NapoliPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H14/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A28/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H03/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A15/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H03/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/03
Lega A
80.9Avg total
38.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.282.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.241.881.0-2.738%-
Last 30 away (17)41.342.583.8-1.235%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.580.9-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.076.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.644.482.0-6.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.343.785.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker (5)43.836.480.2+7.460%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/03
Lega A
77.6Avg total
35.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.778.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.174.1-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.744.383.0-5.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.542.177.6-6.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.271.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.642.279.8-4.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.240.178.3-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.4
51.0%
53.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.3
31.8%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.0
76.9%
76.3%17.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.4
47.2%
53.1%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.9
39.4%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.19.5
67.4%
76.3%9.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LWWWWLLLWW
Pistoia
WWLLLLWLWW
#7
League position
#10
-2.7
Net rating
-12.4
105.8
Offensive rating
101.9
108.5
Defensive rating
114.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.8%
3-point %
39.4%
61.7%
Assist %
55.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 101.9Defence108.5 · 114.4Shooting49.4% · 52.7%3-point %31.8% · 39.4%Ball care13.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds22.0% · 23.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Basket Napoli wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ATortona72-97
03/03/24HTreviso95-81
18/02/24AOlimpia Milano77-72
17/02/24AReggiana87-78 OT
15/02/24ABrescia80-74
11/02/24ACremona83-90
03/02/24HBrescia83-104
28/01/24AVirtus Bologna89-101
21/01/24ABrindisi80-77
14/01/24HPesaro93-75
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ACremona74-67
03/03/24HTortona84-71
14/02/24AVenezia71-86
11/02/24AVenezia69-96
04/02/24HOlimpia Milano72-78
28/01/24ABrescia90-109
20/01/24HScafati78-71
14/01/24ASassari69-107
07/01/24HCremona64-60
30/12/23ATreviso89-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%70%42%
Points / game85.685.885.5
Allowed / game84.581.886.8
Point differential+1.1+4.0-1.3
Avg total170.2167.6172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLWWLW55%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game78.074.581.5
Allowed / game81.974.888.9
Point differential-3.9-0.3-7.5
Avg total159.9149.4170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2217577%88.176.2+11.9
2 Virtus Bologna2216673%88.476.3+12.1
3 Olimpia Milano2215768%79.372.9+6.4
4 Venezia2215768%82.176.5+5.7
5 Basket Napoli22121055%85.684.5+1.1
6 Reggiana22121055%79.881.1-1.3
7 Tortona22111150%79.678.3+1.3
8 Trento22111150%83.383.4-0.1
9 Pistoia22111150%78.081.9-3.9
10 Scafati22101245%82.986.8-3.9
11 Sassari22101245%76.581.4-4.9
12 Cremona2291341%80.579.0+1.6
13 Varese2291341%84.489.0-4.5
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2261627%79.187.1-8.0
16 Brindisi2251723%73.582.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Basket Napoli182320181493
Pistoia211721201695
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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