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Baskonia vs Forca Lleida Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game106.8
SpainACBRound 23· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Baskonia v Forca Lleida
06 Mar 2027
BAS v FLL
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
BAS93
FLL90
10 Nov 2024
BAS100
FLL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 84
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
93avg 84
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 84
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 84
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 84
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 84
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 84
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
106-83
106
83
+23
no box
H01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
31-21
20-24
13-19
24-21
21-18
23-17
25-17
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
171.2Avg total
83.6Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.582.8177.3+11.767%
Season at home (3)105.778.0183.7+27.7100%
Season away (3)83.387.7171.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)83.687.6171.2-4.020%
Last 5 (5)85.090.0175.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.395.2178.6-11.911%
vs Similar (13)82.583.9166.4-1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)103.584.4187.9+19.1100%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
L
87-114
87
114
-27
85avg 81
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
60avg 81
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
88-116
88
116
-28
78avg 81
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-116
95
116
-21
86avg 81
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
105avg 81
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
73avg 81
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
89-91
89
91
-2
80avg 81
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#6
L
98-109
98
109
-11
92avg 81
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-122
86
122
-36
66avg 81
H25/10
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
98-125
98
125
-27
no box
A31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-35
12-28
24-25
25-26
16-9
24-15
16-22
19-26
26-31
16-31
22-29
24-25
29-23
17-35
23-28
26-30
26-20
24-33
26-19
29-28
20-19
21-20
13-17
27-38
21-22
22-27
17-20
29-22
23-22
20-38
31-24
24-25
21-31
19-23
23-27
23-41
21-34
19-26
25-25
33-40
196.1Avg total
90.2Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.8106.8199.7-14.017%
Season at home (2)83.5108.0191.5-24.50%
Season away (4)97.5106.2203.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)90.2105.9196.1-15.720%
Last 5 (5)90.4108.2198.6-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)87.697.3184.9-9.830%
vs Similar (10)83.289.8173.0-6.630%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -8.2-8.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
BaskoniaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#11
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
86.5Avg total
41.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.185.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.442.788.1+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)37.843.681.5-5.815%-
Last 10 (10)41.944.686.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.887.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.448.489.9-7.011%-
vs Similar (13)39.141.480.5-2.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.839.987.6+7.988%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A13/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H17/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#6
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H25/10
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A31/10
ACB
94.5Avg total
42.3Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.347.988.2-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.947.087.9-6.123%-
Last 30 away (17)39.848.688.4-8.818%-
Last 10 (10)42.352.294.5-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.452.493.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.149.490.5-8.220%-
vs Similar (10)38.645.083.6-6.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
75.7%18.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.324.8
57.3%
55.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.0
31.7%
36.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.715.8
66.7%
75.7%15.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLLLLLLLWL
Forca Lleida
LLLLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#17
-3.1
Net rating
-12.8
96.5
Offensive rating
94.7
99.6
Defensive rating
107.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.2%
3-point %
31.7%
67.3%
Assist %
56.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 94.7Defence99.6 · 107.5Shooting51.7% · 53.7%3-point %34.2% · 31.7%Ball care15.5% · 15.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Baskonia   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Baskonia wins
1
Forca Lleida wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Baskonia v Forca Lleida93-90
09/11/25Forca Lleida v Baskonia86-80
26/01/25Forca Lleida v Baskonia74-78
10/11/24Baskonia v Forca Lleida100-99
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
13/10/26HDubai79-93
11/10/26HJoventut Badalona93-73
09/10/26HBesiktas84-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AMurcia98-125
25/10/26HReal Madrid86-122
18/10/26ABasket Zaragoza98-109
11/10/26AObradoiro CAB89-91
04/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-94
27/09/26AValencia105-100
29/05/26AMurcia95-116
24/05/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-116
17/05/26HGran Canaria75-72
13/05/26ABreogan87-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game94.5105.783.3
Allowed / game82.878.087.7
Point differential+11.7+27.7-4.3
Avg total177.3183.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game92.883.597.5
Allowed / game106.8108.0106.2
Point differential-14.0-24.5-8.8
Avg total199.7191.5203.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Valencia64267%99.087.2+11.8
3 Baskonia64267%94.582.8+11.7
4 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
5 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
6 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
7 Barcelona64267%97.095.0+2.0
8 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
9 Unicaja63350%88.384.5+3.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra61517%84.596.5-12.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa6060%84.3102.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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