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Baskonia vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-90
17-21 17-21 30-23 29-25
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#14
Record8-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game87.6
SpainACBRound 21· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Baskonia v Forca Lleida
06 Mar 2027
BAS v FLL
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
BAS93
FLL90
10 Nov 2024
BAS100
FLL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
77avg 83
H25/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
102-91
102
91
+11
97avg 83
H30/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 83
A01/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
89-109
89
109
-20
75avg 83
A03/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
91-97
91
97
-6
87avg 83
H06/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
95avg 83
A08/02
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
92-102
92
102
-10
86avg 83
A13/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
63avg 83
A15/02
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
79-108
79
108
-29
68avg 83
H26/02
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
81-97
81
97
-16
72avg 83
H06/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
21-13
21-18
23-20
19-23
27-22
29-26
27-20
19-29
16-21
23-16
27-23
29-32
27-25
15-27
18-25
27-17
24-31
17-28
23-21
26-14
13-11
32-23
26-27
24-29
26-17
23-28
19-28
13-14
17-22
21-12
25-21
16-35
19-33
23-25
21-15
20-24
17-34
23-26
21-13
179.3Avg total
87.9Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)92.987.0179.9+5.968%
Season at home (8)99.886.5186.2+13.288%
Season away (11)88.087.4175.4+0.655%
Last 10 (10)87.991.4179.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)85.090.2175.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)87.396.0183.3-8.715%
vs Similar (7)85.986.4172.3-0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)97.885.3183.1+12.590%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 73
H20/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 73
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
73avg 73
A02/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 73
H04/01
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 73
A10/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
68-50
68
50
+18
no box
A17/01
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
70avg 73
H24/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
65-101
65
101
-36
54avg 73
A01/02
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
90-99
90
99
-9
78avg 73
H08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
52avg 73
H15/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
24-18
24-20
14-22
24-33
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-21
19-16
30-24
23-18
13-22
21-22
20-13
23-30
19-28
20-21
31-22
24-16
16-4
13-19
15-9
24-18
16-23
15-20
24-15
18-14
15-25
17-27
19-19
14-30
19-25
24-29
27-23
20-22
18-24
21-25
18-24
24-20
166.1Avg total
80.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.587.6169.1-6.040%
Season at home (11)82.888.4171.2-5.536%
Season away (9)80.086.7166.7-6.744%
Last 10 (10)80.285.9166.1-5.740%
Last 5 (5)75.483.0158.4-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.087.8166.8-8.837%
vs Similar (11)84.588.4172.9-3.836%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
BaskoniaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H25/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H30/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A01/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A03/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H06/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A08/02
ACB
Monaco
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/02
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
35-68
35
68
-33
H26/02
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H06/03
Euroleague
89.4Avg total
42.2Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.944.590.4+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.644.994.5+4.879%-
Last 30 away (16)42.644.286.8-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)42.247.289.4-5.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.684.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.046.790.7-2.754%-
vs Similar (7)45.044.489.4+0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.941.890.7+7.170%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H20/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A28/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H04/01
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A10/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A17/01
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A01/02
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H15/02
ACB
81.9Avg total
36.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.682.5-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.443.181.5-4.825%-
Last 30 away (14)39.444.283.6-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)36.845.181.9-8.310%-
Last 5 (5)34.844.279.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.543.181.6-4.526%-
vs Similar (11)39.544.684.1-5.227%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.018.9
61.0%
50.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
42.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.215.4
84.6%
74.7%15.4
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.8
51.3%
50.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.0
31.7%
42.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.8
77.4%
74.7%18.8
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLWLWLLLWW
Forca Lleida
LLLWWWLWLL
#3
League position
#14
+2.1
Net rating
-12.4
91.9
Offensive rating
97.2
89.8
Defensive rating
109.6
55.6%
Effective FG%
49.7%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
32.8%
3-point %
31.7%
61.8%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 97.2Defence89.8 · 109.6Shooting55.6% · 49.7%3-point %32.8% · 31.7%Ball care15.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds- · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Baskonia   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Baskonia wins
1
Forca Lleida wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Forca Lleida v Baskonia86-80
26/01/25Forca Lleida v Baskonia74-78
10/11/24Baskonia v Forca Lleida100-99
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HParis81-97
26/02/26HValencia79-108
15/02/26ABilbao76-69
13/02/26AMonaco92-102
08/02/26AGran Canaria97-75
06/02/26HBarcelona91-97
03/02/26AOlimpia Milano89-109
01/02/26ATenerife85-89
30/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas102-91
25/01/26HJoventut Badalona87-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HBasquet Girona81-93
08/02/26HManresa90-99
01/02/26AValencia65-101
24/01/26HSan Pablo Burgos73-72
17/01/26AGran Canaria68-50
10/01/26ATenerife94-87
04/01/26HBasket Zaragoza77-87
02/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra87-79
28/12/25ABasquet Girona86-103
20/12/25HReal Madrid81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %68%88%55%
Points / game92.999.888.0
Allowed / game87.086.587.4
Point differential+5.9+13.2+0.6
Avg total179.9186.2175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%62%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%36%44%
Points / game81.582.880.0
Allowed / game87.688.486.7
Point differential-6.0-5.5-6.7
Avg total169.2171.2166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2018290%92.882.5+10.2
2 Valencia2116576%95.981.0+14.8
3 Barcelona2115671%89.680.0+9.7
4 Baskonia1913668%92.987.0+5.9
5 Murcia2114767%88.983.8+5.1
6 Unicaja2114767%88.484.7+3.7
7 Joventut Badalona2113862%84.980.6+4.3
8 Tenerife2112957%87.084.4+2.5
9 Bilbao22121055%84.485.6-1.2
10 Basquet Girona21101148%86.990.0-3.2
11 Manresa2191243%84.992.0-7.1
12 Forca Lleida2081240%81.587.6-6.0
13 Breogan2181338%89.693.6-4.0
14 Gran Canaria2071335%79.584.1-4.7
15 Basket Zaragoza2161529%86.791.8-5.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra2161529%85.493.4-8.0
17 San Pablo Burgos2151624%87.792.4-4.7
18 Granada211205%79.791.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1717302993
Forca Lleida2121232590
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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