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Baskonia vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 100-99
19-21 28-27 35-22 18-29
Position#7
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Position#16
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game84.7
SpainACBRound 7· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Baskonia v Forca Lleida
06 Mar 2027
BAS v FLL
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
BAS93
FLL90
10 Nov 2024
BAS100
FLL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
91avg 80
H12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 80
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
69-76
69
76
-7
58avg 80
A18/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 80
A20/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-57
80
57
+23
74avg 80
H24/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 80
H26/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 80
H29/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
65-67
65
67
-2
54avg 80
A01/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 80
A03/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
68-91
68
91
-23
60avg 80
A08/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-24
20-17
24-23
16-18
20-17
12-17
28-20
12-20
14-18
28-15
15-23
21-26
20-12
27-24
25-27
24-13
15-13
24-14
17-17
27-19
20-28
13-25
19-10
20-21
32-24
15-18
21-20
16-18
19-20
13-19
17-10
21-23
27-19
21-23
17-27
17-26
16-18
18-18
17-29
160.0Avg total
79.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.389.7177.0-2.333%
Season at home (3)88.389.7178.0-1.333%
Season away (3)86.389.7176.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)79.980.1160.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)77.283.0160.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)91.696.3187.9-4.729%
vs Similar (19)84.187.4171.5-3.342%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.280.2167.5+7.075%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Alicante
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
61avg 76
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
73-58
73
58
+15
63avg 76
A24/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 76
A08/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
85-70
85
70
+15
88avg 76
A09/06
Primera FEB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
91-101 OT
91
101
-10
80avg 76
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 76
H06/10
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
50avg 76
A12/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
75avg 76
H20/10
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 76
A27/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
68avg 76
H03/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
25-17
13-19
26-14
26-10
16-18
16-13
15-17
18-20
17-17
25-23
20-17
25-10
27-11
20-27
13-22
19-21
20-17
30-27
18-22
12-17
18-20
16-20
28-21
21-24
10-30
24-21
8-26
23-27
23-19
14-15
23-20
29-22
16-20
16-15
20-20
19-18
20-28
15-14
26-10
157.9Avg total
79.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.784.7163.3-6.050%
Season at home (3)79.076.3155.3+2.767%
Season away (3)78.393.0171.3-14.733%
Last 10 (10)79.878.1157.9+1.770%
Last 5 (5)76.281.4157.6-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.386.7160.0-13.333%
vs Similar (10)82.179.0161.1+3.170%
vs Weaker (17)84.971.4156.3+13.6100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
BaskoniaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A20/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H24/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H26/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H29/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A01/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A08/11
Euroleague
79.4Avg total
39.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.945.587.4-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.143.587.6+0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)40.047.287.2-7.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.779.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.286.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.348.093.3-2.743%-
vs Similar (19)40.744.885.5-4.226%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.044.086.0-2.025%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A24/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
52-21
52
21
+31
A09/06
Primera FEB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H06/10
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A12/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/10
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
ACB
79.2Avg total
40.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.436.978.3+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.580.1+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.336.376.6+4.069%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.479.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.083.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.745.781.3-10.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.138.478.5+1.740%-
vs Weaker (17)43.234.477.6+8.888%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.0
45.5%
54.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
35.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.314.4
78.7%
76.4%14.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.8
51.2%
54.0%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.5
30.2%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
76.4%14.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLWLWWLWW
Forca Lleida
WWWLLLWWWW
#7
League position
#16
-0.3
Net rating
-6.6
107.2
Offensive rating
97.8
107.4
Defensive rating
104.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
20.8%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.1%
3-point %
30.2%
56.3%
Assist %
62.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 97.8Defence107.4 · 104.5Shooting47.6% · 48.4%3-point %34.1% · 30.2%Ball care15.3% · 20.8%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Baskonia wins
0
Forca Lleida wins
No previous meetings.
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24ABarcelona68-91
03/11/24AGran Canaria86-92
01/11/24AParis65-67
29/10/24HOlimpia Milano88-83
26/10/24HJoventut Badalona79-82
24/10/24HAlba Berlin80-57
20/10/24ABarcelona93-89
18/10/24ALyon-Villeurbanne69-76
15/10/24HReal Madrid76-72
12/10/24HMurcia95-92 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HMoraBanc Andorra80-70
27/10/24ABreogan81-77
20/10/24HManresa83-81
12/10/24AUnicaja63-101
06/10/24HBarcelona74-78
29/09/24ABasket Zaragoza91-101 OT
09/06/24AEstudiantes85-70
08/06/24ASan Pablo Burgos80-77
24/05/24AAlicante73-58
19/05/24HAlicante88-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game87.388.386.3
Allowed / game89.789.789.7
Point differential-2.3-1.3-3.3
Avg total177.0178.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game78.779.078.3
Allowed / game84.776.393.0
Point differential-6.0+2.7-14.7
Avg total163.3155.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja76186%88.081.0+7.0
2 Valencia54180%87.279.6+7.6
3 Tenerife54180%85.680.4+5.2
4 Real Madrid75271%87.776.1+11.6
5 Barcelona64267%92.584.3+8.2
6 Manresa74357%82.977.0+5.9
7 Gran Canaria74357%78.977.4+1.4
8 Murcia74357%82.082.0+0.0
9 Basket Zaragoza63350%93.889.7+4.2
10 Forca Lleida63350%78.784.7-6.0
11 Bilbao73443%85.685.0+0.6
12 MoraBanc Andorra73443%84.984.6+0.3
13 Joventut Badalona73443%79.479.7-0.3
14 Baskonia62433%87.389.7-2.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%86.393.2-6.8
16 Basquet Girona72529%74.186.6-12.4
17 Breogan61517%71.886.3-14.5
18 Granada71614%74.182.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia19283518100
Forca Lleida2127222999
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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