Bayern host Baskonia in a EuroLeague clash on 19 November 2026, with the model favouring Bayern at 70% versus 30% for Baskonia, projecting a 91-85 win and a total of 175.2 points. Bayern finish 18th in the league after 11 games, 3-8, averaging 86.8 points and conceding 95.2, and have gone 0-4 at home, 86.5 points for and 93.8 against; their last five games include a 94-73 win over Wurzburg, a 99-95 win over Lyon-Villeurbanne and a 102-87 loss to Valencia. Baskonia sit 20th, 1-10 overall, 79.9 points scored and 91.9 allowed, and are 0-6 on the road, 75.8 points for and 90.0 against, with a 2-3 record in their last five, highlighted by a 98-93 win over Forca Lleida and a 66-80 loss to Partizan. In head-to-head history, Bayern lead 6-4 and last met on 7 January 2026 when Bayern won 96-89. The model sets Bayern's line at -5.5 with a 52% chance to cover, while the over at 175.5 carries a 48% probability; an overtime scenario is estimated at 5%. The next game will see Bayern try to extend their winning streak against a Baskonia side that has struggled both at home and away.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bayern win
70.0%fair 1.43
Best odds1.42
Implied69.0%
Edge+1.0pp
Baskonia win
30.0%fair 3.34
Best odds3.10
Implied31.0%
Edge-1.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 175 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 175.5.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
60.5%
@ 1.46-1.7pp
Under 170.5
39.5%
@ 2.40+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 175.5 · main line
Over 175.5
48.4%
@ 1.92-1.8pp
Under 175.5
51.6%
@ 1.94+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
Over/Under 180.5
Over 180.5
36.5%
@ 2.40-1.3pp
Under 180.5
63.5%
@ 1.46+1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.46
📊 3. Team Totals
Bayern total 86.5
Over 86.5
65.3%
Under 86.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern total 90.5 · main line
Over 90.5
50.1%
@ 1.81+0.1pp
Under 90.5
49.9%
@ 1.81-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Bayern total 94.5
Over 94.5
34.8%
Under 94.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baskonia total 81
Over 81
64.1%
Under 81
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baskonia total 85 · main line
Over 85
47.9%
@ 1.87-2.1pp
Under 85
52.1%
@ 1.87+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.87
Baskonia total 89
Over 89
32.3%
Under 89
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Bayern's side (positive = Bayern win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.8; Bayern win by 1+ in 62% of simulations.
Spread Bayern -8.5
BAY -8.5
40.8%
@ 2.21-0.2pp
BAS +8.5
59.2%
@ 1.54+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
BAY
1xBet
2.21
BAS
1xBet
1.54
Spread Bayern -5.5 · main line
BAY -5.5
52.2%
@ 1.92+1.9pp
BAS +5.5
47.8%
@ 1.94-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
BAY
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.83
BAS
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
Spread Bayern -2.5
BAY -2.5
63.2%
@ 1.54+4.3pp
BAS +2.5
36.8%
@ 2.21-4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
BAY
1xBet
1.54
BAS
1xBet
2.21
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
BayernBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half Spread Bayern -2 · main line
BAY -2
52.4%
@ 1.84+1.6pp
BAS +2
47.6%
@ 1.90-1.6pp
2nd half Over/Under 86.5 · main line
Over
49.5%
@ 1.89+0.1pp
Under
50.5%
@ 1.85-0.1pp
Bayern 2nd half total 44.5 · main line
Over
50.3%
@ 1.90+1.1pp
Under
49.7%
@ 1.84-1.1pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
BAY
58.4%
@ 1.65+2.9pp
Draw
4.1%
@ 17.00-1.3pp
BAS
37.5%
@ 2.34-1.6pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Bayern: 86.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
35.3
20.3
57.5%
55.2%
40.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
28.9
10.5
36.3%
35.7%
31.5
🏀Free throws
19.3
14.8
76.7%
77.1%
14.8
Their opponents take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Baskoniatheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Baskonia: 87.8 points a game allowed
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
40.5
23.2
57.3%
55.2%
46.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.9
9.1
35.1%
35.7%
27.3
🏀Free throws
18.6
14.1
75.8%
77.1%
14.1
Their opponents take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Bayern: 80.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
35.2
19.1
54.1%
55.2%
38.1
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
29.4
9.8
33.5%
35.7%
29.5
🏀Free throws
17.1
12.7
73.9%
77.1%
12.7
Their opponents take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Baskoniatheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Baskonia: 83.4 points a game allowed
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
40.5
22.5
55.6%
55.2%
45.1
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.1
8.4
33.5%
35.7%
25.2
🏀Free throws
17.4
13.1
75.4%
77.1%
13.1
Their opponents take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLLLWLL
Baskonia
LWLWLLLLLL
#18
League position
#20
+2.0
Net rating
-5.0
101.7
Offensive rating
94.9
99.7
Defensive rating
99.9
55.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.5%
3-point %
33.2%
66.1%
Assist %
65.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%
Profile
■ Bayern■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.
PythiaBasketballBETA
Bayern
Panathinaikos
Olympiacos
Valencia
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Crvena zvezda
Fenerbahce
Zalgiris Kaunas
Dubai
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Partizan
Anadolu Efes
Besiktas
Paris
Lyon-Villeurbanne
Virtus Bologna
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Olimpia Milano