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Bayern vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 112-109 (OT)
25-19 31-33 26-24 12-18 18-15
Position#15
Record9-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.6
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record12-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Baskonia
19 Nov 2026
BAY v BAS
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BAY96
BAS89
05 Dec 2024
BAY94
BAS80
30 Jan 2024
BAY112
BAS109
10 Jan 2023
BAY92
BAS79
23 Dec 2021
BAY76
BAS81
18 Dec 2020
BAY77
BAS66
25 Oct 2018
BAY77
BAS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
80avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
62-76
62
76
-14
52avg 75
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 75
A07/01
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
62avg 75
H09/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
86avg 75
A11/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
91-69
91
69
+22
90avg 75
H14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 75
A18/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 75
A21/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
64-76
64
76
-12
48avg 75
H25/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-81
98
81
+17
94avg 75
H28/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
22-20
23-23
14-20
12-19
15-15
20-16
15-26
27-16
24-23
16-18
24-28
18-24
18-21
17-19
18-28
22-22
17-16
20-19
22-24
24-12
20-27
13-14
34-16
19-19
24-11
23-21
16-14
23-25
15-19
25-16
23-13
19-20
10-20
21-19
14-17
21-27
31-11
17-17
29-26
161.9Avg total
81.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.581.6160.1-3.139%
Season at home (10)80.880.3161.1+0.560%
Season away (13)76.882.6159.4-5.823%
Last 10 (10)81.980.0161.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)84.272.8157.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.089.8168.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.979.8161.8+2.158%
vs Weaker (12)88.677.1165.7+11.583%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 67
H03/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
75avg 67
A05/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
85-99
85
99
-14
55avg 67
H07/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
83-93
83
93
-10
82avg 67
A09/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
80-69
80
69
+11
77avg 67
H12/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
90-82
90
82
+8
82avg 67
A14/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
91-90
91
90
+1
90avg 67
A18/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 67
H21/01
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
62-77
62
77
-15
51avg 67
H26/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 67
H28/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
13-25
24-16
25-20
23-24
19-23
26-15
17-27
20-35
23-16
23-22
19-26
22-21
17-22
20-28
24-22
14-17
19-15
26-17
21-20
14-23
23-13
26-30
27-16
20-30
23-22
26-10
22-28
20-26
29-21
27-21
32-27
13-16
16-29
19-13
14-19
24-14
20-24
22-19
23-22
169.4Avg total
84.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.482.4163.8-1.052%
Season at home (12)78.879.9158.7-1.250%
Season away (11)84.385.2169.5-0.955%
Last 10 (10)84.884.6169.4+0.260%
Last 5 (5)88.084.6172.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.579.5159.0+0.062%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.286.3172.5-0.256%
vs Weaker (4)86.881.2168.0+5.575%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
BayernBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/01
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A11/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A18/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H28/01
BBL
79.4Avg total
40.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.480.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.840.282.0+1.754%-
Last 30 away (17)40.338.879.1+1.559%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.979.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.279.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.043.079.0-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.340.881.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker (12)44.136.280.2+7.983%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H03/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A05/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A18/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/01
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H26/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
ACB
81.3Avg total
38.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.682.6-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.281.4+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)40.943.184.0-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.881.3-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.684.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.038.178.1+1.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.443.084.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker (4)41.242.283.5-1.050%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.2
49.6%
53.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.512.0
42.1%
36.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws13.910.5
75.5%
77.4%10.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.8
55.3%
53.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.6
36.7%
36.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.913.8
77.1%
77.4%13.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWLLWLL
Baskonia
WLWWWWLLLW
#15
League position
#9
+1.8
Net rating
+1.1
112.2
Offensive rating
113.1
110.4
Defensive rating
112.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
42.1%
3-point %
36.7%
57.2%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 113.1Defence110.4 · 112.0Shooting55.7% · 55.2%3-point %42.1% · 36.7%Ball care18.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
4
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
17/10/23Baskonia v Bayern68-76
10/01/23Bayern v Baskonia92-79
09/12/22Baskonia v Bayern78-53
21/01/22Baskonia v Bayern77-84
23/12/21Bayern v Baskonia76-81
12/03/21Baskonia v Bayern78-71
18/12/20Bayern v Baskonia77-66
08/02/19Baskonia v Bayern76-68
25/10/18Bayern v Baskonia77-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HCrailsheim Merlins98-81
25/01/24HLyon-Villeurbanne64-76
21/01/24AChemnitz86-73
18/01/24AAlba Berlin82-65
14/01/24HBamberg91-69
11/01/24AFenerbahce91-98 OT
09/01/24HReal Madrid71-92
07/01/24ARostock91-85
05/01/24AOlimpia Milano62-76
03/01/24AVirtus Bologna83-85
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HObradoiro CAB89-79
26/01/24HValencia62-77
21/01/24HMoraBanc Andorra108-95
18/01/24ACrvena zvezda91-90
14/01/24AManresa90-82
12/01/24HOlympiacos80-69
09/01/24AMonaco83-93
07/01/24HReal Madrid85-99
05/01/24ABarcelona85-89
03/01/24HPanathinaikos75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %39%60%23%
Points / game78.580.876.8
Allowed / game81.680.382.6
Point differential-3.1+0.5-5.8
Avg total160.1161.1159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %13%10%15%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%50%55%
Points / game81.478.884.3
Allowed / game82.479.985.2
Point differential-1.0-1.2-0.9
Avg total163.8158.7169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2320387%89.079.0+10.0
2 Barcelona2315865%82.479.6+2.8
3 Virtus Bologna2315865%81.381.0+0.3
4 Panathinaikos2314961%81.878.6+3.2
5 Fenerbahce2314961%84.081.7+2.3
6 Monaco23131057%81.479.9+1.5
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv23131057%85.886.8-1.0
8 Olympiacos23121152%77.975.3+2.6
9 Valencia23121152%76.976.1+0.8
10 Partizan23121152%83.783.6+0.2
11 Baskonia23121152%81.482.4-1.0
12 Olimpia Milano23101343%77.676.5+1.1
13 Crvena zvezda2391439%81.980.9+1.0
14 Anadolu Efes2391439%84.687.6-3.0
15 Bayern2391439%78.581.6-3.1
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2381535%79.081.3-2.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2351822%78.586.0-7.5
18 Alba Berlin2351822%76.084.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bayern2531261218112
Baskonia1933241815109
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