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Baskonia vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 112-89
25-21 25-27 33-23 29-18
Position#14
Record12-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#7
Record17-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Baskonia v Bayern
02 Apr 2027
BAS v BAY
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
BAS95
BAY73
20 Mar 2025
BAS112
BAY89
17 Oct 2023
BAS68
BAY76
09 Dec 2022
BAS78
BAY53
21 Jan 2022
BAS77
BAY84
12 Mar 2021
BAS78
BAY71
08 Feb 2019
BAS76
BAY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
41avg 77
A02/02
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 77
A05/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 77
H07/02
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
103-82
103
82
+21
90avg 77
H09/02
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 77
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 77
A02/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
54avg 77
H06/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
81avg 77
H09/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
90-97
90
97
-7
91avg 77
A13/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 77
A16/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
19-29
17-27
23-23
18-23
17-28
28-16
22-25
22-23
29-19
22-17
16-23
26-21
33-17
19-26
25-18
18-25
7-20
26-18
22-23
24-18
17-25
20-31
27-19
18-12
20-18
10-13
18-22
14-19
18-25
27-16
25-20
24-26
22-24
23-25
21-22
20-21
20-18
13-17
25-27
168.3Avg total
82.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.882.6163.3-1.841%
Season at home (15)84.179.7163.9+4.467%
Season away (14)77.185.6162.7-8.414%
Last 10 (10)82.985.4168.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)81.283.6164.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.491.4174.8-8.012%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.781.5163.1+0.253%
vs Weaker (7)89.182.7171.9+6.471%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 79
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-56
70
56
+14
65avg 79
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 79
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 79
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 79
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 79
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
68-69
68
69
-1
59avg 79
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
60avg 79
H17/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
20-19
16-23
16-17
14-22
28-13
20-9
8-12
20-22
23-26
30-25
20-22
15-23
23-24
30-24
20-22
12-17
30-25
29-14
23-16
20-22
32-15
25-18
23-27
26-19
22-19
22-15
17-25
15-13
22-23
16-17
15-16
17-26
20-25
30-14
25-32
10-11
18-19
19-17
23-15
161.0Avg total
82.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.886.7173.6+0.159%
Season at home (15)91.084.1175.1+6.980%
Season away (14)82.489.6171.9-7.236%
Last 10 (10)82.778.3161.0+4.450%
Last 5 (5)83.477.6161.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.895.2175.0-15.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.882.0167.8+3.862%
vs Weaker (12)84.872.9157.7+11.883%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
BaskoniaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/02
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A05/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H07/02
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H09/02
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A13/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/03
ACB
82.6Avg total
40.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.881.7-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.540.583.0+2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.543.080.5-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.280.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.044.283.2-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.541.981.4-2.340%-
vs Weaker (7)41.439.080.4+2.429%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H17/03
BBL
80.3Avg total
40.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.781.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.238.479.7+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.182.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.380.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.478.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.644.084.6-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.339.178.4+0.246%-
vs Weaker (12)43.838.682.4+5.267%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.1
49.1%
54.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.4
36.3%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.417.5
78.1%
78.0%17.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.817.1
57.4%
54.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.811.3
33.4%
36.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
78.0%14.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLWWLLWWLL
Bayern
WLLWWWLLWL
#14
League position
#7
-3.9
Net rating
+6.3
110.1
Offensive rating
112.6
114.0
Defensive rating
106.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
33.4%
64.4%
Assist %
65.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 112.6Defence114.0 · 106.3Shooting51.3% · 53.5%3-point %36.3% · 33.4%Ball care17.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
05/12/24Bayern v Baskonia94-80
30/01/24Bayern v Baskonia112-109 OT
17/10/23Baskonia v Bayern68-76
10/01/23Bayern v Baskonia92-79
09/12/22Baskonia v Bayern78-53
21/01/22Baskonia v Bayern77-84
23/12/21Bayern v Baskonia76-81
12/03/21Baskonia v Bayern78-71
18/12/20Bayern v Baskonia77-66
08/02/19Baskonia v Bayern76-68
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AReal Madrid78-83
13/03/25AAlba Berlin90-97
09/03/25HGran Canaria84-80
06/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas66-65
02/03/25AMoraBanc Andorra88-93
28/02/25APartizan73-86
09/02/25HGranada103-82
07/02/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-82
05/02/25AMonaco85-92
02/02/25AUnicaja73-94
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25HUlm70-62
14/03/25HAnadolu Efes92-97
11/03/25ABamberg68-69
09/03/25HHeidelberg87-78
06/03/25HCrvena zvezda100-82
02/03/25AChemnitz94-72
27/02/25AParis88-93
15/02/25HSyntainics MBC93-95
11/02/25HFrankfurt70-56
09/02/25AVechta65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%67%14%
Points / game80.884.177.1
Allowed / game82.679.785.6
Point differential-1.8+4.4-8.4
Avg total163.3163.9162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%27%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL59%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%80%36%
Points / game86.891.082.4
Allowed / game86.784.189.6
Point differential+0.1+6.9-7.2
Avg total173.6175.1171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)83% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3022873%86.981.2+5.7
2 Fenerbahce30201067%82.780.8+2.0
3 Panathinaikos29181162%86.882.7+4.2
4 Monaco30181260%86.783.0+3.7
5 Bayern29171259%86.886.7+0.1
6 Crvena zvezda30171357%81.880.7+1.1
7 Paris30171357%85.484.8+0.7
8 Barcelona29161355%87.684.4+3.2
9 Olimpia Milano30161453%84.985.8-0.9
10 Partizan29151452%82.879.5+3.3
11 Anadolu Efes29151452%85.882.6+3.2
12 Real Madrid29151452%84.282.4+1.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas29141548%77.678.1-0.6
14 Baskonia29121741%80.882.6-1.8
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne29111838%81.385.4-4.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%85.289.1-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna3072323%78.584.4-5.9
18 Alba Berlin2952417%79.491.3-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia25253329112
Bayern2127231889
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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