PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Baskonia vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 68-76
22-20 20-21 20-16 6-19
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Bayern
02 Apr 2027
BAS v BAY
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
BAS95
BAY73
20 Mar 2025
BAS112
BAY89
17 Oct 2023
BAS68
BAY76
09 Dec 2022
BAS78
BAY53
21 Jan 2022
BAS77
BAY84
12 Mar 2021
BAS78
BAY71
08 Feb 2019
BAS76
BAY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 68
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 68
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 68
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
89avg 68
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 68
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 68
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 68
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
68avg 68
A08/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
91-86
91
86
+5
85avg 68
A12/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
71avg 68
A15/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
19-19
19-18
16-18
16-28
23-20
27-30
25-21
19-21
21-25
22-25
14-12
23-19
26-18
18-20
21-22
13-18
11-20
24-23
28-27
18-20
22-11
27-16
25-25
23-19
24-24
20-19
10-17
20-13
25-20
17-23
28-25
25-21
26-26
25-14
15-25
24-23
21-11
20-24
20-22
165.8Avg total
84.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.082.5166.5+1.550%
Season at home (1)77.079.0156.0-2.00%
Season away (1)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.181.7165.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)87.079.6166.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.582.5160.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.183.7167.8+0.445%
vs Weaker (17)94.484.9179.4+9.588%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
65-54
65
54
+11
56avg 73
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 73
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 73
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 73
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 73
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 73
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 73
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 73
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
101-73
101
73
+28
103avg 73
H15/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
19-23
17-7
12-10
20-18
21-24
17-23
11-22
20-27
19-17
17-27
32-22
22-29
21-17
19-28
30-18
22-22
28-18
23-23
23-24
26-21
13-24
15-13
13-19
19-17
17-27
25-7
19-17
28-31
26-10
15-17
21-21
11-23
19-14
18-17
23-24
32-20
23-15
25-17
21-21
162.9Avg total
82.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.573.0148.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)82.980.0162.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)81.875.0156.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.080.3153.3-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.786.1165.8-6.411%
vs Weaker (17)82.173.2155.4+8.982%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
BaskoniaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A08/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A12/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A15/10
ACB
81.1Avg total
42.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.785.5+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.742.789.4+4.062%-
Last 30 away (17)41.740.982.6+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.181.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.683.2+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.084.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.142.282.3-2.118%-
vs Weaker (17)46.841.187.8+5.776%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H15/10
German Cup
83.4Avg total
42.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.879.6+1.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.138.882.8+5.353%-
Last 30 away (13)36.538.975.4-2.515%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.183.4+1.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.340.776.0-5.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.341.479.8-3.122%-
vs Weaker (17)42.237.479.5+4.847%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.4
54.3%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.5
33.3%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
77.4%13.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.0
53.7%
53.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.3
34.3%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.616.9
82.0%
77.4%16.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWLWLWLLW
Bayern
WLWWLWLLLW
#9
League position
#15
+2.1
Net rating
+5.5
109.1
Offensive rating
113.5
107.0
Defensive rating
108.1
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.3%
3-point %
34.3%
55.9%
Assist %
54.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 113.5Defence107.0 · 108.1Shooting52.4% · 52.7%3-point %33.3% · 34.3%Ball care18.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds32.7% · 35.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
4
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
10/01/23Bayern v Baskonia92-79
09/12/22Baskonia v Bayern78-53
21/01/22Baskonia v Bayern77-84
23/12/21Bayern v Baskonia76-81
12/03/21Baskonia v Bayern78-71
18/12/20Bayern v Baskonia77-66
08/02/19Baskonia v Bayern76-68
25/10/18Bayern v Baskonia77-71
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23ABasket Zaragoza85-80
12/10/23AAlba Berlin91-86
08/10/23AGranada90-81
06/10/23HReal Madrid77-79
30/09/23HBilbao92-72
27/09/23AMurcia76-88
24/09/23ABreogan88-79
30/05/23AJoventut Badalona76-83
27/05/23HJoventut Badalona91-99
24/05/23ABasquet Girona75-70
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HOldenburg101-73
12/10/23APanathinaikos71-78
08/10/23HHamburg90-79
05/10/23HAlba Berlin80-68
02/10/23AOldenburg67-77
29/09/23HSyntainics MBC96-87
02/06/23AUlm102-104 OT
30/05/23HUlm88-93
28/05/23HUlm69-87
21/05/23AGottingen65-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game84.077.091.0
Allowed / game82.579.086.0
Point differential+1.5-2.0+5.0
Avg total166.5156.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.580.071.0
Allowed / game73.068.078.0
Point differential+2.5+12.0-7.0
Avg total148.5148.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
2 Real Madrid220100%91.078.5+12.5
3 Barcelona330100%86.775.0+11.7
4 Valencia220100%73.569.5+4.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%80.576.5+4.0
6 Fenerbahce32167%80.776.0+4.7
7 Virtus Bologna21150%81.070.5+10.5
8 Crvena zvezda21150%84.076.0+8.0
9 Bayern21150%75.573.0+2.5
10 Baskonia21150%84.082.5+1.5
11 Olympiacos21150%78.077.5+0.5
12 Partizan31233%84.083.3+0.7
13 Panathinaikos31233%75.080.7-5.7
14 Anadolu Efes31233%81.092.7-11.7
15 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
16 Alba Berlin2020%77.085.5-8.5
17 Monaco2020%62.076.5-14.5
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3030%73.090.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia222020668
Bayern2021161976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.