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Bayern vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-79
21-18 16-21 25-21 28-19
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.1
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2020
Meetings · Bayern v Valencia
28 Jan 2027
BAY v VAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
BAY93
VAL89
28 Dec 2023
BAY85
VAL84
15 Dec 2022
BAY97
VAL92
13 Nov 2020
BAY90
VAL79
11 Mar 2015
BAY60
VAL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
88avg 78
A09/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
77avg 78
A14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 78
A16/10
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H18/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H23/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#8
W
97-60
97
60
+37
no box
A25/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#12
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
A26/10
German Cup
Real Madrid
#7
L
82-100
82
100
-18
73avg 78
A29/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
74-59
74
59
+15
72avg 78
H06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
90-78
90
78
+12
93avg 78
H08/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
31-9
19-18
19-18
15-15
19-10
26-30
25-27
9-28
16-17
23-13
27-13
22-20
18-22
26-20
23-33
22-18
17-16
22-19
13-15
31-14
18-14
27-19
21-13
21-16
23-12
17-20
19-15
17-27
28-22
16-21
21-30
18-14
15-17
22-20
19-8
27-16
17-24
22-19
24-19
158.4Avg total
83.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.976.1156.0+3.771%
Season at home (3)75.769.3145.0+6.367%
Season away (4)83.081.2164.2+1.875%
Last 10 (10)83.674.8158.4+8.880%
Last 5 (5)84.672.0156.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.080.4159.4-1.460%
vs Weaker (25)84.574.2158.8+10.376%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
W
93-77
93
77
+16
89avg 75
A08/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 75
H11/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
66-71
66
71
-5
58avg 75
H13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
94-82
94
82
+12
98avg 75
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 75
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
64avg 75
A27/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
73avg 75
A29/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 75
H01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 75
H06/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
81-99
81
99
-18
71avg 75
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
27-20
24-14
25-24
20-18
13-10
18-21
15-22
19-16
16-17
9-21
22-17
22-27
15-18
30-12
27-25
17-27
22-28
23-19
31-10
19-21
20-12
18-22
21-22
16-17
19-27
23-18
17-22
6-28
19-22
30-20
23-16
24-18
18-26
24-17
20-20
14-24
25-29
21-20
21-26
162.2Avg total
81.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.876.3156.2+3.567%
Season at home (3)72.371.7144.0+0.767%
Season away (3)87.381.0168.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)81.081.2162.2-0.250%
Last 5 (5)79.685.4165.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.080.8153.8-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.677.0162.6+8.680%
vs Weaker (14)84.781.2165.9+3.571%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
BayernValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A09/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A16/10
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#8
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A25/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/10
German Cup
Real Madrid
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A29/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H08/11
BBL
76.3Avg total
40.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.576.3+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.435.675.0+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)42.235.377.5+6.973%-
Last 10 (10)40.535.876.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.278.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.837.071.8-2.240%-
vs Weaker (25)42.035.277.2+6.872%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A29/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H06/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/11
ACB
79.2Avg total
36.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.279.3-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.279.3+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.241.279.4-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.479.2-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.880.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.038.467.4-9.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.940.680.5-0.740%-
vs Weaker (14)42.140.782.8+1.464%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.1
55.8%
52.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.2
37.3%
38.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
79.3%13.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.6
38.1%
38.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.712.2
83.0%
79.3%12.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWWWLWWW
Valencia
LWLLWWWLLW
#5
League position
#8
+5.9
Net rating
+0.0
112.9
Offensive rating
110.9
107.0
Defensive rating
110.9
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.3%
3-point %
38.1%
62.1%
Assist %
61.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 110.9Defence107.0 · 110.9Shooting55.9% · 54.8%3-point %37.3% · 38.1%Ball care16.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds29.4% · 29.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/20HVechta90-78
06/11/20HCrvena zvezda74-59
29/10/20AReal Madrid82-100
26/10/20ACrailsheim Merlins80-63
25/10/20ASyntainics MBC97-60
23/10/20HOlympiacos74-68
18/10/20HBayreuth89-95
16/10/20AFenerbahce75-71
14/10/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-82
09/10/20AAlba Berlin90-72
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/20HSan Pablo Burgos81-99
06/11/20HOlimpia Milano86-81
01/11/20HReal Madrid78-86
29/10/20ACSKA Moscow75-84
27/10/20AObradoiro CAB78-77
24/10/20HBasket Zaragoza93-84
22/10/20AZalgiris Kaunas94-82
13/10/20HBarcelona66-71
11/10/20HUnicaja66-71
08/10/20AReal Madrid93-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game79.975.783.0
Allowed / game76.169.381.2
Point differential+3.7+6.3+1.8
Avg total156.0145.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game79.872.387.3
Allowed / game76.371.781.0
Point differential+3.5+0.7+6.3
Avg total156.2144.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona87188%83.170.0+13.1
2 Bayern75271%79.976.1+3.7
3 Valencia64267%79.876.3+3.5
4 Zenit Petersburg32167%71.071.3-0.3
5 Olympiacos85362%76.673.9+2.8
6 CSKA Moscow85362%81.881.0+0.8
7 Zalgiris Kaunas85362%78.578.1+0.4
8 Olimpia Milano53260%80.478.8+1.6
9 Anadolu Efes74357%80.179.9+0.3
10 Real Madrid84450%80.281.2-1.0
11 Fenerbahce84450%73.275.2-2.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv83538%80.578.6+1.9
13 Crvena zvezda83538%75.075.9-0.9
14 Baskonia62433%78.277.0+1.2
15 Panathinaikos62433%80.081.3-1.3
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne51420%73.282.0-8.8
17 Alba Berlin61517%74.788.2-13.5
18 Khimki M.71614%76.083.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2116252890
Valencia1821211979
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