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Real Madrid vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 100-82
27-17 22-28 21-16 30-21
Position#7
Record1-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game74.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bayern
15 Dec 2026
MAD v BAY
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MAD93
BAY70
18 Apr 2025
MAD93
BAY71
03 Jan 2025
MAD88
BAY76
14 Dec 2023
MAD88
BAY73
06 Apr 2023
MAD79
BAY67
08 Apr 2022
MAD88
BAY97
29 Oct 2020
MAD100
BAY82
22 Feb 2019
MAD91
BAY78
05 Nov 2015
MAD101
BAY99
15 Jan 2014
MAD111
BAY87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
A27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
90-65
90
65
+25
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H20/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A23/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H25/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A27/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
22-14
21-12
24-29
16-15
13-18
20-19
14-24
19-17
20-27
14-24
24-25
18-12
26-22
20-11
26-20
25-25
24-16
21-16
24-28
19-10
23-21
13-23
15-24
23-25
17-19
21-10
23-23
14-18
13-30
25-16
20-15
18-23
26-11
25-10
24-33
19-17
12-14
26-18
27-16
157.3Avg total
81.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.282.2157.4-7.020%
Season at home (2)85.589.0174.5-3.550%
Season away (3)68.377.7146.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)81.475.9157.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)80.675.2155.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.883.4162.2-4.620%
vs Weaker (22)88.675.2163.8+13.495%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H17/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A19/06
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A09/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A16/10
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H18/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H23/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#8
W
97-60
97
60
+37
A25/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#12
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A26/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
27-15
23-23
18-28
23-18
22-18
11-16
18-21
14-15
17-17
24-22
15-16
21-27
31-9
19-18
19-18
15-15
19-10
26-30
25-27
9-28
16-17
23-13
27-13
22-20
18-22
26-20
23-33
22-18
17-16
22-19
13-15
31-14
18-14
27-19
21-13
21-16
23-12
17-20
19-15
157.8Avg total
82.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.674.8155.4+5.880%
Season at home (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
Season away (3)83.375.0158.3+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.675.2157.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)83.071.4154.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.476.4155.8+3.080%
vs Weaker (25)85.475.4160.8+10.176%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
Real MadridBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A16/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A23/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H25/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/10
ACB
75.0Avg total
38.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.277.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.038.480.4+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.036.275.2+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.375.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.674.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.048.075.0-21.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.638.276.8+0.440%-
vs Weaker (22)40.635.976.5+4.864%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H17/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A19/06
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H02/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A09/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A16/10
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#8
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A25/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/10
German Cup
74.3Avg total
40.1Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.135.576.6+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.836.175.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.434.977.3+7.580%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.274.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.474.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.034.868.8-0.860%-
vs Weaker (25)42.535.678.2+6.972%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.2
53.7%
52.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.9
37.7%
38.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws13.611.3
83.1%
79.3%11.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.0
54.8%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.9
36.1%
38.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
79.3%13.7
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWLWWLLW
Bayern
WWWLWWWLWL
#7
League position
#5
+7.2
Net rating
-0.6
109.3
Offensive rating
108.2
102.1
Defensive rating
108.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.7%
3-point %
36.1%
58.1%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 108.2Defence102.1 · 108.7Shooting55.0% · 54.5%3-point %37.7% · 36.1%Ball care18.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.3% · 24.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
22/02/19Real Madrid v Bayern91-78
21/12/18Bayern v Real Madrid72-82
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
05/11/15Real Madrid v Bayern101-99
13/03/14Bayern v Real Madrid85-83
15/01/14Real Madrid v Bayern111-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/20AReal Betis84-65
25/10/20HEstudiantes93-77
23/10/20ABarcelona72-79
20/10/20HObradoiro CAB84-77
16/10/20AOlimpia Milano70-78
14/10/20HKhimki M.94-85
11/10/20AGran Canaria90-65
08/10/20HValencia77-93
02/10/20ABaskonia63-76
27/09/20AJoventut Badalona87-64
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/20ACrailsheim Merlins80-63
25/10/20ASyntainics MBC97-60
23/10/20HOlympiacos74-68
18/10/20HBayreuth89-95
16/10/20AFenerbahce75-71
14/10/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-82
09/10/20AAlba Berlin90-72
02/10/20HOlimpia Milano79-81 OT
19/06/20ALudwigsburg74-73
17/06/20HLudwigsburg83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game75.285.568.3
Allowed / game82.289.077.7
Point differential-7.0-3.5-9.3
Avg total157.4174.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game80.676.583.3
Allowed / game74.874.575.0
Point differential+5.8+2.0+8.3
Avg total155.4151.0158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %20%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas65183%80.274.5+5.7
3 Bayern54180%80.674.8+5.8
4 Barcelona54180%78.673.4+5.2
5 Olimpia Milano43175%80.277.0+3.2
6 Baskonia32167%75.371.0+4.3
7 Valencia53260%78.675.4+3.2
8 Olympiacos53260%76.874.0+2.8
9 Fenerbahce63350%74.772.3+2.3
10 Panathinaikos42250%80.079.8+0.2
11 Crvena zvezda42250%77.077.2-0.2
12 CSKA Moscow63350%79.379.8-0.5
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%78.380.2-1.8
14 Anadolu Efes41325%76.578.5-2.0
15 Alba Berlin41325%77.587.8-10.2
16 Real Madrid51420%75.282.2-7.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3030%70.078.3-8.3
18 Khimki M.5050%75.684.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid27222130100
Bayern1728162182
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