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Bayern vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 96-79
30-17 17-18 26-26 23-18
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game77.0
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Hamburg
Germany
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game97.5
GermanyBBLRound 3· BMW Park
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bayern v Hamburg
25 Oct 2026
BAY96
HAM77
05 Oct 2025
BAY96
HAM79
29 Sep 2024
BAY81
HAM80
08 Oct 2023
BAY90
HAM79
14 Feb 2023
BAY70
HAM89
02 Mar 2022
BAY86
HAM75
17 Jan 2021
BAY85
HAM71
30 Sep 2019
BAY111
HAM55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
98-68
98
68
+30
99avg 80
H07/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
94-82 OT
94
82
+12
88avg 80
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 80
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 80
A18/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 80
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
67-53
67
53
+14
62avg 80
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 80
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 80
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
91avg 80
H02/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-25
24-16
29-12
14-28
22-13
22-21
21-17
19-19
18-17
17-16
28-14
22-21
15-14
7-21
20-23
20-17
22-20
20-22
17-22
19-13
13-19
17-12
18-9
28-21
20-20
17-20
16-16
21-23
27-24
22-15
23-15
22-23
19-24
20-21
18-19
24-28
26-27
27-16
20-17
159.2Avg total
83.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.077.0170.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)93.077.0170.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.475.8159.2+7.670%
Last 5 (5)83.476.4159.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
vs Similar (12)84.483.9168.3+0.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.875.8162.6+11.088%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 71
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
78avg 71
A26/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
93-114
93
114
-21
83avg 71
H30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 71
A03/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
76avg 71
H07/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
54avg 71
H11/05
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 71
H24/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 71
H28/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
85-100
85
100
-15
68avg 71
H30/09
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#11
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 71
A03/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
13-15
24-10
20-28
25-27
19-27
23-20
11-15
30-28
19-31
27-26
17-29
19-27
18-30
22-21
22-24
29-12
21-23
22-24
16-34
21-25
16-21
10-19
17-14
16-25
22-20
27-17
24-32
11-21
26-19
20-22
28-31
26-32
24-21
18-21
17-26
28-22
16-20
17-32
17-28
175.1Avg total
81.5Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.597.5179.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season away (1)78.0102.0180.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)81.593.6175.1-12.110%
Last 5 (5)80.293.6173.8-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.085.0161.0-9.022%
vs Similar (17)82.887.1169.9-4.253%
vs Weaker (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -7.2-7.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -7.2-7.2
BayernHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A24/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/06
BBL
Jena
#16
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/10
Euroleague
82.7Avg total
41.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.084.3+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.542.585.0+0.062%-
Last 30 away (14)42.041.483.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.182.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.488.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.046.582.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (12)42.644.887.4-2.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.839.382.1+3.575%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A03/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H11/05
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H28/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/09
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/10
BBL
87.9Avg total
41.6Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.182.9-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.442.884.1-1.425%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.681.5-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)41.646.387.9-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.286.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.245.682.8-8.311%-
vs Similar (17)40.642.883.5-2.229%-
vs Weaker (3)43.037.080.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.617.1
57.8%
53.8%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.2
33.7%
34.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.314.8
76.7%
73.5%14.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.1
54.4%
53.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.4
32.2%
34.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.116.5
68.5%
73.5%16.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWLLWWW
Hamburg
LLLLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#14
+10.6
Net rating
-14.7
112.5
Offensive rating
103.4
101.9
Defensive rating
118.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.7%
3-point %
32.2%
66.8%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 103.4Defence101.9 · 118.1Shooting54.0% · 51.5%3-point %33.7% · 32.2%Ball care19.0% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Bayern   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
20/04/25Hamburg v Bayern74-70
29/09/24Bayern v Hamburg81-80
24/03/24Hamburg v Bayern80-81 OT
08/10/23Bayern v Hamburg90-79
14/02/23Bayern v Hamburg70-89
22/10/22Hamburg v Bayern81-78 OT
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
27/03/21Hamburg v Bayern91-86 OT
17/01/21Bayern v Hamburg85-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25HCrvena zvezda97-88
30/09/25APanathinaikos79-87
26/09/25HJena93-77
26/06/25HUlm81-77
24/06/25AUlm67-53
21/06/25HUlm79-81
18/06/25AUlm64-79
15/06/25HUlm82-66
10/06/25AHeidelberg94-82 OT
07/06/25HHeidelberg98-68
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25AChemnitz78-102
30/09/25HHapoel Jerusalem85-100
28/09/25HSyntainics MBC85-93
24/09/25HBamberg89-94
11/05/25HUlm64-79
07/05/25HChemnitz88-93
03/05/25ASyntainics MBC81-102
30/04/25HBamberg93-114
26/04/25ALudwigsburg78-89
20/04/25HBayern74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total170.0170.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Hamburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game81.585.078.0
Allowed / game97.593.0102.0
Point differential-16.0-8.0-24.0
Avg total179.0178.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern110100%93.077.0+16.0
2 Wurzburg220100%82.070.5+11.5
3 Ludwigsburg110100%98.088.0+10.0
4 Syntainics MBC330100%91.081.7+9.3
5 Ulm330100%91.382.3+9.0
6 Trier330100%92.385.7+6.7
7 Frankfurt32167%90.782.0+8.7
8 Chemnitz32167%91.085.0+6.0
9 Bamberg21150%92.583.5+9.0
10 Alba Berlin21150%94.587.5+7.0
11 Vechta21150%84.586.0-1.5
12 Bonn31233%70.375.7-5.3
13 Jena31233%80.791.0-10.3
14 Heidelberg3030%80.787.7-7.0
15 Oldenburg3030%77.385.0-7.7
16 Rostock2020%79.087.5-8.5
17 Hamburg2020%81.597.5-16.0
18 Basketball Braunschweig3030%76.095.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern3017262396
Hamburg1718261879
← all games of the day
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